On the 24th August 2003 I developed a complex theory about a horse called What-A-Dancer ridden by a certain K Fallon. It was a winning bet (those were the days) but since then both horse and rider have rather suffered the slings and arrows of outrageous fortune. What-A-Dancer runs in the 7.00 at Chepstow tomorrow, a race he won in 2005. In fact he is a dual course and distance winner. There is no Kieren Fallon of course and 5 lbs claimer James Millman has the ride. At 16/1 the 10 year old gelding has an each way chance.
Coup D’Etat is hardly the form horse in the 8.10 as he is on a 16 run losing sequence. He is running off a mark of 72 having been as high as 91 at one time. I am working on the basis that he has a win in him somewhere. His last success came on 11 June 2005 so he has won at this time of year if you subscribe to that sort of theory.
In the 8.00 at Goodwood I see that Vanquisher has a first time visor. He has finished second in half of his 6 starts and it might be now or never tomorrow.
In the 3.15 at Sandown the well regarded Revivalism represents trainer John Gosden who has won the race twice in the last 3 years. Raincoat won last years running.
There are two runners from our list to follow in the 3.50. Monte Alto should be al the better for the step up in distance after finishing 3rd at Leicester. Magic Mountain has been running better than his form figures suggest. Tried in blinkers for the first time here.
The 4.25 is a nice little race. The giant Clear Sailing is well related and I am hopeful that he can build on the promise shown last season. The main danger will be the talented Greek Well a recent winner over course and distance. He was favourite for the Derby at one stage last season.
The lightly raced Prince Evelith would be my fancy for the 2.50 at York. The soft ground could be a problem though as his 3 wins have all come on good to firm.
In the 3.50 both Dr Sharp and Macorville should appreciate the soft ground.
We have two runners from our list to follow in the sprint at 4.35, Pacific Pride and that old rogue Bo McGinty. John Quinn does well with his sprinters and his Pacific Pride has shown form at York before. He is possibly better at 6 furlongs but is not out of it here. Bo McGinty has been running well and has a good draw. He is probably better on fast ground though. The other one that looks interesting is the well handicapped River Kirov. He ran well when 2nd at Windsor a couple of runs ago and his last run was too bad to be true and is best ignored.