Diary: February 1 2010

Sandynow is a horse I like and sets the standard in the Hereford 2.35. The main danger is likely to come from Gus Macrae who is trained by Rebecca Curtis, a trainer in good form lately.

Somersby should have too many guns for his rivals in the 3.05 although he will be at very short odds. Den of Iniquity is a nice type and could be the one to make the favourite work a bit.

At Plumpton Vamizi is better than his bare form figures suggest and he could belie long odds in the 3.15. Latin America won a couple of bumpers at Fontwell last season before finishing down the field in the Champion bumper at Cheltenham. He looks an interesting runner in the 2.45.

At Punchestown Silver Birch (pictured below) should go close in the 12.55. Luska lad is my selection in the 3.00.

silver_birch

At Limerick Ballyburke comes from a stable bang in form and has an each way chance in the 3.40.

Today’s picture is courtesy of the artist Sarah Aspinall.

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Diary: January 30 2010

There are competitive jumps meetings at 3 venues in the UK tomorrow weather permitting.

Starting in the 1.30 at Cheltenham tomorrow I have a short list of 3 who will all be suited by plenty of give in the ground. Den of Iniquity, Ernst Blofeld and Midnight Chase all look fair value. Ernst Blofeld comes into the race in good form and will not lack for stamina. He is the selection.

Exmoor Ranger is probably going to run at Doncaster but if he does go to Cheltenham he would be my selection in the 2.05.

Inchidaly Rock is unbeaten in two starts over fences and is a course and distance winner so is one for any shortlist in the 2.35. He is taking on more experiences rivals here and it is possible that he is better going right handed. Madison Du Berlais is a class act on his day but has struggled at Cheltenham in the past. These were the two I most fancied but they have enough question marks about them for me to shy away from a bet.

The 3.10 is quite a hot race. General Miller won well at Cheltenham on his hurdles debut after winning twice in bumpers while Fiulin is an interesting recruit from the flat. Royal Charm though looks one of the best young prospects in the Paul Nicholls yard and this step up in trip should suit him. He is my selection.

The Cleeve Hurdle at 3.40 is likely to be run at a decent pace so stamina will play an important part. Bouggler is one to consider at a big price while the likes of Katchit and Tidal Bay could not be ruled out, Tidal Bay in particular given the form of the stable. Mr Thriller had looked progressive until beaten by Sentry Duty in a 3 runner race at Cheltenham and now tackles 3 miles for the first time. The Pipe team are in form and Mr Thriller is one to consider but my main fancies are the progressive pair Lie Forrit and Time for Rupert. Time for Rupert won a handicap over course and distance in December on soft ground and is lightly raced. Lie Forrit I another that steps up in class after winning in handicaps but he has proven stamina and acts on soft ground.

inglis drever

Turning to Doncaster and the 1.10 Character Building has his first run since his win in the Kim Muir Chase and his main target will probably be the Grand National. The trip here looks to be on the short side for him and he will probably need the run. Merrydown was a winner at Kelso on soft ground last seaspon. He is a nice type but hasn’t run for 276 days. The percentage call may be Clova Island who is a consistent performer and looks each way value at around 17/2.

The giant Mad Max looks the one to beat in the 1.45. His main rival will probably be another great big horse in the Howard Johnson trained Quwetwo. A real clash of the giants this and a race well worth watching. Mad Max has the benefit of a recent run which may give him the edge.

In the 2.50 The Betchworth Kid, a useful stayer on the flat, looks the one to be on.

Victor Dartnall had a winner today with Giles Cross and I fancy his Exmoor Ranger in the 3.25. Alegralil is 4 from 4 at present having won twice in bumpers and also two hurdle races. He has done everything asked of him so far and will take some stopping in the 4.00.

From the same stable as Alegralil, Alderley Rover is my only selection at Uttoxeter where he runs in the 3.00.

Today’s picture, courtesy of the artist Lisa Miller, is of 2008 Cleeve Hurdle winner Inglis Drever.

Diary: January 29 2009

 

We have been on quite a good run over the last 7 days with the following winners highlighted;

Qozak 2/1, Wishfull Thinking 11/8, Peddlers Cross 11/8, Medermit 11/4, Vino Griego 4/5, Roberto Goldback 5/2, Premier Sagas 4/5, Mirage Dore 9/2, Solwhit 5/6, Quiscover Fontaine 1/1, Stormy Weather 5/2, The Nightingale 11/10, Door Boy 4/9, Tara Royal 8/15, Mille Chief 2/9, Carole’s Legacy 15/8, Sona Sasta 8/1.

David Pipe has his team in fine form at present and anything he runs at the moment is worth a second look. It wouldn’t surprise me if his Good Man Jack ran much better than his recent form might suggest in the Chepstow 2.55.

Giles Cross has only completed the course once in his last 4 starts but on that occasion he was a decent second at Chepstow, a course where he won over hurdles. He is not on a bad handicap mark and he gets my vote in the Chepstow 2.20.

Jungleand looks on a fair mark in the 4.05.

Sereth won in listed company on the flat in Germany and went on to finish 3rd in the 2009 Cesarewitch. He made a winning start over hurdles before finding one too good next time out. He has solid claims in the Doncaster 1.55. In the 3.05 at the Yorkshire track newcomer Blue Nymph looks the type likely to do well over hurdles. She was only out of the first two twice in 7 starts on the level and there have been good reports about her coming out of John Quinn’s stable.

Dual bumper winner McMurrough won over hurdles at Kelso in November before finishing 7th to Diamond Harry at Haydock. Provided the ground is not too testing I would give him an each way chance in the 4.15.

newbury small

At Newbury the 2.05 should be a penalty kick for Tataniano but he will be long odds on. Aiteen Thirtythree was touted as a potential superstar before being well beaten on his debut for Paul Nicholls when he was beaten 52 lengths by Reve De Sivola. He has to be better than that and is worth another chance in the 3.15.

Tony McCoy rides The Vicar for Hen Knight in the 3.50. He won at Haydock last season and the runner up that day has since won twice.

Today’s pictures are courtesy of the artist Lisa MIller.

Diary: January 28 2010

I see that Tony McCoy has 3 outside rides at Ffos Las tomorrow. The two he rides for trainer Rebecca Curtis look quite interesting. Praxiteles (1.55) is particularly well bred and showed promise on his hurdles debut. He should go well. Black Jack Blues is a dual bumper winner and was second over hurdles on his latest start. Bred to appreciate the trip in the 2.30 he looks worth considering.

Carole’s Legacy won at Exeter last month on unsuitable soft ground and ridden by Andrew Tinkler. Although Cool Friend is weighted to reverse the form of that race I will stick with the Nicky Henderson runner on better ground and with Barry Geraghty in the plate in the 3.05.

Silks DP

In the 3.40 I am going for a couple of outsiders in Devon Native and Sona Sasta. I had hopes for Qualypso D’Allier this season but he has unseated on both his starts. It is impossible to be too confident but if he can put in a clear round he wouldn’t be far away. Rather a big if though I am afraid. He runs in the 4.10.

Alan King’s Bakbenscher takes on some decent rivals in the Warwick 2.55 but having now got the confidence boost of a win over fences he should be good enough here.

Today’s picture is by courtesy of the artist Kirsten Harris.  Follow the link below for more information on this artist.

Kirsten Harris

Diary: January 26 2010

 

Both tomorrow’ jumps meetings are subject to inspections so I won’t go into a lengthy preview.  I have come up with one selection at each of the meetings. 

At Leicester I will go for Pliny each way in the 1.40 and at Sedgefield I like the chances of Tara Royal in the 1.30.

Diary: January 25 2010

 

Well, we had some winners over the weekend but there were also a couple that “got away.” I looked at Mirage Dore at Market Rasen but the form of the stable just put me off. In the event the horse jumped really well and won with something in hand giving rookie trainer Rose Dobbin her first ever winner. Mirage Gore looks a horse to follow and I am sure that the trainer will also go from strength to strength. Incidentally the horse in owned by the trainer’s parents.

Another winner that was findable was the grey Woodlands Genpower at Towcester. His last 3 wins had all come at Towcester and were all gained in the month of January. Given also that the horse had winning form on heavy ground and was a course and distance winner and 15/2 starts to look a generous price.

Anyway, onwards and upwards – let’s have a look at the racing on offer tomorrow.

Tricky Trickster won the National Hunt Chase at the Festival last year before moving from Nigel-Twiston Davies to Paul Nicholls. He is the big hope to give Nicholls a first Grand National success but in the meantime he is being campaigned over hurdles top protect his handicap mark for Aintree. He has his first run of the season at Fontwell in the 1.05. He won’t be fully wound up but should win.

City Affair

There are only 5 runners in the 1.35 but 4 of them have a live chance. I think the two to concentrate on are Chariot Charger and The Nightingale. The former has had two runs over fences already and despite falling last time looks a good prospect. The Nightingale is well thought of by the Ditcheat team however and can win on his chase bow.

Great Endeavour could be a value bet in the 2.45. After an excellent 3rd behind Lie Forritt in a competitive Cheltenham handicap hurdle he made a winning debut over fences at Towcester. Although short on chasing experience he did win an Irish point to point and with his stable in top form he is my selection.

At Lingfield my tentative selection is Rigadine de Beauchene who may be able to be more competitive now tackling handicap company. On pedigree he may need further so we won’t give up on him if he fails here.

Newcastle selections; 1.15 Stormy Weather; 1.50 Door Boy; 3.00 Washington Irvine; 3.35 Daldini.

Today’s picture is courtesy of the artist Trudy Redfern.