Diary: March 31 & April 1 2007

Lord Henry was the only runner from our list to follow today and he won at Ascot to maintain his 100% record over fences.  He could well be one to look out for at Aintree where ground and track should suit.

  

There is a real mixed bag of racing over the weekend, really something for everyone.

  

I will start with Newcastle where the turf flat season gets under way with the traditional opener, The Lincoln, switched to the Tyneside track this year.

  

Our old friend Zero Tolerance heads the weights with 9 stone 10.  He is probably weighted up to the hilt but would still have a chance if the ground were to ride on the soft side.  He was 4th last year off 103 and is now running off a mark 1 lb higher.  That was in pretty soft ground at Redcar though.  Last year’s winner, Blythe Knight, also appreciated the soft ground that day. He has been running well over hurdles since and is only 3 lbs higher in the handicap.  Both Zero Tolerance and Blythe Knight might find the ground just not quite soft enough to overcome their higher weights.

  

Rio Riva has been laid out for this and goes well fresh.  He seems to go on any ground and is consistent.  I wouldn’t rule him out but coming from stall 7 he may not have the best of the draw.

  

I am going to look at those drawn high for my main fancies.  The giant Gentleman’s Deal won at Lingfield last Saturday and must be on the shortlist.  He has won his last 4 on the bounce but they were on the all weather.  His record on turf is not as good.

  

Mutawaffer is drawn 20 but is on a losing streak of 19. Despite that the handicapper does not seem to want to drop him too much and I am going to pass him over.  Audience is the sort that seems to pop up at a big price from time to time.  I remember a 33/1 success a couple of years ago.  He is not badly handicapped and there are worse each way shouts.  My Paris might try to make all from stall 19.  He is another on a fair mark but historically does not win at this time of year.  Selection time! To be honest I am not confident but at the prices I must just take a chance with Audience each way.  Rio Riva is worth a saver in case the experts have the draw bias wrong.

  

Rising Shadow should have conditions to suit in the 3.15.  He has never won first time out before however.  Pivotal Flame is the other one I like in this.

  

Cadwell stepped up on previous efforts last time out when 2nd on the all weather.  He is an interesting runner in the 4.30.

  

Princess Valerina won a 6 furlong maiden last season for Barry Hills.  Looked the type to improve at 3 and should get the mile OK in the Kempton 2.25.

  

Water Mill looked potentially useful when winning at Kempton on his only start last term.  He is back at Kempton for the 2.55.  He is trained by Andrew Balding whose father won this race in 2000.

  

At Nad Al Sheeba, Youmzain and Best Alibi are of interest in the Sheema Classic.

  

The main jumping action comes from Ascot where young Rachel Green may have a winner with Fountain Crumble in the 3.40.  She is well worth her 7 lbs claim.

  

There are plenty of old favourites in the 4.15, such as Fork Lightning and Mister McGoldrick.  Tamarinbleu represents our current list to follow though and has a realistic chance based on his win at Ascot in December.  He is quite versatile with regards to trip and he goes well fresh.

  

Barry Fenton won on Roznic for our list to follow this week and I am hoping he can do the same on Presenting Express in the 4.50. Emma Lavelles’s charge is a bit high in the weights but should really appreciate the ground and is normally a good weight carrier..  If he gets into a rhythm he could go well.

  

Another that should like the better ground is Paul Nicholls’ Earth Man in the 5.25.  He has had injury problems and this will be his last run over hurdles before he goes chasing.  Warningcamp looks the one to beat in this though. He won well at Wincanton last time and there may be more to come.

  

We have a couple of interesting runners from our jumps list to follow on Sunday.  Up at Hexham Double Default looks the one to beat in the 3.40.  He is only really marking time over hurdles as his future lies over the larger obstacles but he does look the one to beat here nonetheless.

  

Pepperoni Pete has been very disappointing on his last 2 runs but a break, a tongue tie and better ground might well do the trick in the 2.20 at Newton Abbot.

  

I will be back on Sunday evening.

 

Continue reading “Diary: March 31 & April 1 2007”

Diary: March 30 2007

The Elite Racing Club has enjoyed a successful jumps season with most of their winter team registering a win.  Inherent added to the club’s tally today winning over hurdles at Towcester this afternoon. A former4 bumper winner she tends to race a little keenly but hopefully will settle better when she gains’ more experience. 

 

The turf flat season starts on Saturday so I am looking out for pointers from the all weather races this week. The latest to catch my eye was Captain Jacksparra a winner over 7 furlongs at Lingfield today.  He looked one to watch when 4th on his debut last year behind a horse called Ebn Reem and he is certainly one for the notebook.

 

 

Lord Henry was an impressive winner over fences in the summer.  He was useful over hurdles but always looked likely to make a better chaser.  He runs in the 2.55 at Ascot and should have conditions to suit.  Royal Shakespeare is the obvious danger.  He is the only runner from our list to follow tomorrow.

 

Continue reading “Diary: March 30 2007”

Diary: March 29 2007

Some winners give you more pleasure than others.  Roznic was one that I got a particular “buzz from today.  He is one of the “darker” horses on my list to follow, from one of the less fashionable yards.  He did the job well at Kempton this afternoon with his jockey Barry Fenton judging his effort to perfection.  Roznic’s previous wins had all come with cut in the ground and today he handled the faster surface well.

  

I see that Stoop to Conquer won over hurdles today.  He is a horse I have always liked and was a fair stayer on the flat for John Dunlop.  There should be more races to be won with him under both disciplines.

  

The new flat season is almost upon us so I need to take some notice of the results on the level.  I see that Mount Hermon won today on the AW.  He looked promising as a juvenile and looks one to follow.

  

My main focus tomorrow will be on Elite Racing Club runner Inherent in the 4.30 at Towceester.  She won a bumper when trained by Clive Cox and was 2nd on her hurdles debut for new trainer Henry Daly. 

  

See you tomorrow

 

Continue reading “Diary: March 29 2007”

Diary: March 28 2007

I had high hopes of Urban Tiger at the start of the season.  Twice a winner on the flat he looked a likely type for a hurdles campaign. After 3 runs he is yet to get of the mark however and he has been somewhat disappointing.  His two wins of the flat came on good to firm so it is possible that better going over hurdles may see an improvement.  He runs in the 2.55 at Kempton.

  

Roznic won 3 times in quick succession last season but has not recaptured that sort of form this term.  There was some promise on his last run when 3rd at Fakenham though.  He runs in 4.35.  His 3 wins lasts season were all on soft ground.

 

Continue reading “Diary: March 28 2007”

Diary: March 28 2007

I had high hopes of Urban Tiger at the start of the season.  Twice a winner on the flat he looked a likely type for a hurdles campaign. After 3 runs he is yet to get of the mark however and he has been somewhat disappointing.  His two wins of the flat came on good to firm so it is possible that better going over hurdles may see an improvement.  He runs in the 2.55 at Kempton.

  

Roznic won 3 times in quick succession last season but has not recaptured that sort of form this term.  There was some promise on his last run when 3rd at Fakenham though.  He runs in 4.35.  His 3 wins lasts season were all on soft ground.

 

Continue reading “Diary: March 28 2007”

Remember

Remember


Remember me when I am gone away,
Gone far away into the silent land;
When you can no more hold me by the hand,
Nor I half turn to go yet turning stay.
Remember me when no more day by day
You tell me of our future that you plann'd:
Only remember me; you understand
It will be late to counsel then or pray.
Yet if you should forget me for a while
And afterwards remember, do not grieve:
For if the darkness and corruption leave
A vestige of the thoughts that once I had,
Better by far you should forget and smile
Than that you should remember and be sad.

Christina Rossetti

Continue reading “Remember”

Diary: March 26 2007

Our list to follow supplied 3 winners in Saturday. Karello Bay proved the best of our 3 runners in the mare’s novice hurdle final at Newbury, winning with something in hand.  Miss Mitch stayed on well in 2nd and she looks to have a future over fences.

  

Alderburn defied top weight to land the opener at the Berkshire track under Tony McCoy, having a little too much class for her rivals.  At Bangor-on-Dee Annie’s Answer won for the second time this season over hurdles with Tony Dobbin doing the steering.  The best of our other runners was Snap Tie who was second in the bumper under a penalty.

  

On the flat the giant Gentleman’s Deal took time off from his stud duties to land the valuable Winter Derby. Elsewhere on the Lingfield card King Orchisios notched his 4th career win.  He is one of those horses that always seems to win at a nice price. His 4 wins have come at 5/1, 9/1, 20/1 and 8/1.

  

There is nothing much that takes my eye about Monday’s racing.  I will be looking out for Sha Bihan in the 4.00 at Stratford.  He is owned by the Elite Racing Club (and therefore partly by me!)  He put up a good performance on his last run when 2nd at Newbury and runs off the same mark at Stratford.  I am hopeful of a good run.

  

That is about it for today.

 

Continue reading “Diary: March 26 2007”

Diary: March 24 & 25

Alderburn goes well fresh and runs in the 2.25 at Newbury after an 87 day break. The ground will suit him and he has the benefit of AP McCoy in the saddle.  On the debit side he has to carry to carry a big weight and has gone up 6lbs in the ratings as a result of 1 length win at Kempton last time out.  He should go well though.

  

Harringay represents our list to follow in the 2.55.  Henrietta Knight’s mare won a decent novice at this track last season, but after a promising debut over fences has been disappointing in two subsequent efforts.  The ground will suit but she will have to produce her best form to figure at the finish.

  

We are well represented in the 3.30 (the race won last season by Harringay) as there are 3 list horses involved.  The lightly raced Miss Mitch won on rain softened ground last time at Hereford.  Anything she achieves over hurdles will be a bonus as she looks to have a future over fences next season.  Wyldello was also a winner at Hereford but on her last run was beaten in 3rd place at Kempton.  Karello Bay won at Wincanton in February but was then beaten out of sight last time at Kempton.

  

I don’t think there is a lot to choose between these three.  In fact Karello Bay beat Wyldello by a neck when they met in a bumper at Sandown last season.  I will give Wyldello Bay my each way selection as her trainer Alan King is in such fine form.

  

Snap Tie is an interesting runner in the bumper at 5.05.  He was an impressive winner of a Limerick bumper last season but was considered disappointing when only 5th on his last start.  Subsequent events have put a different perspective on that performance though; as the winner went on to take the Cheltenham Festival bumper, while the runner up has won twice since over hurdles.

  

Annie’s Answer represents our list in the 2.45 at Bangor.  She won a weak race at Huntingdon last time.  She will have to improve on that effort to score here but she showed a good attitude at Huntingdon and has won in point to points and bumpers.  She has an each way chance.

  

Kayceecee has been expensive to follow this season.  He was well backed on his last run when unseating at Market Rasen.  He runs in the handicap chase at 3.20.

  

Nobody Tells Me has failed to build on his promise as a novice hurdler last season.  He is tried in a tongue tie for the first time in the 4.25.  He is a course and distance winner.

  

We have a couple of runners in the 4.55.Launde won at Aintree and Haydock earlier in the season but has gone up the weights as a result and has struggled a bit on his last couple of runs.  Fourty Acers won first time out at Ludlow but was then pulled up in heavy ground at Sedgefiled.  He has had a break since then and better ground may well bring about a return to form.

  

It isn’t long now to the start of the flat turf season. As an appetiser there is a good card at Lingfield tomorrow.  The listed race at 3.50 features a few old favourites.  Border Music loves the all weather at Lingfield having won on 3 of his 5 visits there.  He showed his well being by beating the track record at Wolverhampton last time out in listed company.  Celtic Mill can boast some wins in decent company.  He took the Group 2 Temple Stakes at Sandown in 2005.  The fast starting King Orchisios did a great job for my list to follow last season with wins at 9/1 and 20/1.  He was a winner last time out at Lingfield.

  

The big race at Lingfield is the Winter Derby at 3.15.  There is a strong line up that includes Illustrious Blue who will be on my flat list to follow for the coming season.  He has won 5 of his last 8 starts.  Among his rivals there is Alfie Flits who won in listed company at Windsor on the final day of lasts season and Gentleman’s Deal who boats 6 wins on the all weather.

  

There are no runners from our list to follow running on Sunday.

 

Continue reading “Diary: March 24 & 25”

Diary: March 23 2007

I missed one of my horses to follow today – and it won, luckily it wasn’t 100/1.  Amstecos, trained in Northern Ireland, just held on from the rallying Ossmoses, another of our “listers,” in the novice hurdle at Ayr.  Ossmoses is entered in the Grand National and this was en excellent prep race for him.

  

Turning to Friday’s action, the jumps racing comes from Newbury.  Mark the Book goes for a quick fire hat trick in the opener at 2.10.  This big chasing type has scored twice in heavy ground and will be hard to beat if handling the better ground.

  

Mister Quasimodo has failed to complete on his last two starts over fences and is back over hurdles in the 5.00.  He has a bit to do off joint top weight.

  

I will be back tomorrow for a preview of the weekend’s racing.

 

Continue reading “Diary: March 23 2007”