Diary: January 1 2007

I hope there are some readers out there and you are not all out celebrating!  If you are thinking of making merry tonight you are likely to get wet on the outside as well as the inside.

 

With all the rain we’ve had heavy ground was very much the order of the day at Haydock on Saturday with the most taking performance coming from Skippers Brigg in the concluding novice hurdle over the brush hurdles. Len Lungo's gelding had recorded a bloodless win at Ayr last time but was forced to dig deep to fend off the Kate Walton trained Nevertika (picture below).

  nevertika

He showed a willing attitude throughout and produced a particularly fluent jump at the second last. He stayed on strongly after the final obstacle and looks the sort to make a smashing chaser next season.

 

Kate Walton incidentally is one of my links so you can read all about her horses on her website.

 

The 5 runner chase earlier on the card went to the ex German Limerick Boy who is trained by Venetia Williams for the Favourites Racing Syndicate.  Both Crozan and Royal Rosa were disappointing and it was left to the grey Royal Emperor to chase the winner home.  Limerick Boy has always had ability but has often spoiled his chanced with fencing errors.  I thought he jumped well yesterday and he certainly travelled better than anything else despite the bottomless ground.  When he was trained in Germany he won a Group 3 on the flat and he is one of that quite select band to have won decent races in all 3 codes.

 

The horses on my list to follow have had a bit of a lean time of late but at least Wyldello ran well on her hurdles debut today and should be a winner before long.

 

I enjoyed watching Florida Dream win the handicap chase at Warwick this afternoon.  He was a lucky horse for me last season and is one I always keep an eye out for.  He jumped well today but lost a bit of ground by jumping to his right much of the time.  He will probably be kept to right handed tracks in future.  I was interested to see All Sonsilver run such a good race in second.  He hasn’t won since Pontious was a pilot but used to be quite decent, being rated at 112 at one stage when trained by Martin Todhunter.  He is now owned and trained by Peter Kelsall and was running off a mark of 88 and was 7 lbs out of the handicap.  He went off at a huge price – 50/1 – and I just wonder if perhaps I should have given him a write up last night!  His brother All Silver won 7 times over fences in France.

 

The main racing on New Year’s Day is at Cheltenham.  Paul Nicholls has a good record in the opener at 12.30 and is looking to win it for the third year in a row – he saddles Beau Michel this time.  This one is a full brother to a horse that was placed in two Irish Nationals so it came as a bit of a surprise when he seemed to tire when stepped up to 2.5 miles last time.  He is back in trip tomorrow but carries a big weight.  He will be ridden by 10 lbs claimer Harry Skelton whose father is a top show jumper and his brother is assistant trainer to Nicholls.  Beau Michel is reportedly held in high regard but has something to prove after his defeat last time.

 

With only 4 runners it should be possible to solve the 1.05.  Cornish Rebel, Best Mate’s brother, has top weight and rightly so on the best of his form. He was only beaten a short head in a Scottish National and has been 3rd in both the Hennessey and the Welsh National in his time.  He has never won on anything wetter than good to soft though and being by Un Desperado that is what you would expect.  He has a huge weight and has been known to be a bit faint hearted.  I am going to pass him by.

 

Fork Lightning has never won on anything softer than good to soft but as a full brother to The Listener there is a better chance that he might handle it.  He hasn’t won since taking the National Hunt Handicap at the 2004 Festival at this track. His record at Cheltenham is quite good, having only been out of the first 3 once in 6 goes.  He was third there in April ’06 when Parson’s Legacy was 2nd. Fork Lightning is 8 lbs better off with that rival for a 6 length deficit.  In 8 runs in soft or heavy ground Parson’s Legacy has not won once and he may not like it. The Bajan Bandit on the other hand has won on soft or heavy 9 times. His record at Cheltenham does not read well and he is 5 lbs higher than his last win over fences which came nearly a year ago when beating Royal Emperor.  He acts on the ground though and was staying on behind United over hurdles at Haydock last time.  He gets the vote.

 

My Way de Solzen was beaten by Fair Along last time at Sandown but can get back to winning ways over this longer trip in the 1.40.

 

The 2.15 looks tricky.  Lacdoudal won the Whitbraed, or whatever it is called now, at Sandown last season.  His best performances have been in decent ground and I would be inclined to take him on for that reason. Le Volfoni acts on the ground and although not that well handicapped he gets a tentative vote.

 

jumps1

 

Paul Nicholls sends Ladalko over hurdles in the 2.50 after the horse has had a couple of falls over fences.  He has plenty of ability, acts on the ground and should be on the premises.

 

I am going to take a chance with a bit of an outsider in the 2.00 at Catterick. Himalayan Trail makes his chase bow after only 2 runs which shows that the stable really think he will make a chaser.  He has form on heavy ground and reportedly jumps well.

  

Kilmackilloge was an impressive winner on his chase debut at Kelso and I will take him to follow up in the 3.10.  Dominic Elsworth rides.

 

Blue Splash makes his chase debut in the 2.25 at Exeter.  His full brother Ungaro has already won 3 times over fences this season.

 

Mister Quasimodo should be up to winning the 3.35 and get off the mark over fences.

 

The only runner from our list to follow in Ireland tomorrow is Rhacophorus in the 12.45 at Fairyhouse.

 

May I wish everyone a prosperous 2007.

 

Continue reading “Diary: January 1 2007”

Diary: December 30 & 31 2006

It was a miserable afternoon for most of the runners from the list to follow one or two running real stinkers and only Arrive Sir Clive managing to get his head in front.

  

One race that I was looking forward to today was the handicap chase at Newbury named after the great Mandarin.  In the event it didn’t disappoint and we were treated to a close finish. The bold jumping ex Irish pointer Irish Raptor attempted to make just about all but was collared by Tango Royal after a blunder 2 out. The grey, who had been switched off at the back by the peerless Tony McCoy nearly ran out of gas up the run in as the brave Irish Raptor came back at him to get within half a length with the rest well in arrears.

  

This was Tango Royal’s first win since July 2005 when he landed one of the big summer handicaps at Market Rasen beating Impek.  You can’t miss Tango Royal during a race as he is almost white and sports red blinkers.

  

Mandarin incidentally was twice a winner of the King George and won the Cheltenham Gold Cup in 1962.

  

Despite all the rain we have had recently the going at Ascot will probably not be too testing tomorrow and that should suit Henry Daly’s Nocivo.  This ex bumper winner was considered a promising type until injury put him out of action.  He returns after a 401 day absence in the 12.40.

  

Witness Run, who won an Irish point to point in 2005 is another that will like the ground.  He carries top weight in the 2.20.  He was second here earlier this month and the extra 2 furlongs he will need to travel tomorrow shouldn’t trouble him.

  

The handicap chase at 3.00 looks particularly trappy.  Character Building has been raised 9 lbs by the handicapper without even running! This is because a horse that he had run against previously has won since.  Anyway I think that Character Building is a nice horse and he can go well.  Jaunty Times just gets by tentative vote.  He was second at Ludlow last time out and will be suited by the ground.

  

French Saulaie represents our beleaguered list to follow (list to avoid?) in the Haydock 12.35.  Although only 5th at Cheltenham last time this looks a weaker race and the soft ground should suit.

  

I see that Flintoff runs in the 1.05.  He has been second on his runs so far this season – now there must be a parallel somewhere!

  

The 1.35 at Haydock was won last season by Florida Dream carrying 11 stone 11.  I considered 3 at the top of the weights for this.  Chickapeakray is not over big and may not be suited to carrying big weights.  Both Clemax and Calvic handle heavy ground and they are my two against the field. The two met at Ayr in April when Calvic, giving away 16 lbs won by 10 lengths.  Given the huge pull in the weights today Calvic is the selection.

  

Good Citizen, like Calvic, is trained by Tom George.  A winner 18 days ago at Sedgefield in heavy ground, he seeks to follow up in the 2.05.  He has gone up 8 lbs for that win but clearly revels in the mud and is going the right way.

  

There is a small but quality field for the 3.10.  Crozan seemed to lose his way last season but came back to form when a short head second to Tamarinbleu at Ascot. If he can maintain that form he will be hard to beat.  Royal Rosa will appreciate the ground.  He has been hard to keep right but if he still retains all his ability despite injury problems he would be bang in there with a shout.  Royal Emperor has not shown much recently but can’t be written off.  He carries 6 lbs less than when 3rd in last seasons Scottish National and he has won twice at Haydock and likes the ground.  Interesting 5 of his 7 career wins have come in fields of 8 or less. 

  

Limerick Boy does not lack for ability but his jumping has tended to let him down.  Tight one this but I will go with Royal Rosa.

  

Skipper’s Brig is well thought of by connections and is my selection for the 3.40.  He has already shown that he goes well on heavy ground and is my best bet of the day.

  

Up at Musselburgh I give Celtic Carisma an each way chance in the 12.25 as long as the ground rides good.

  

Formerly trained on the flat by Mick Channon Ahmedy did well on his hurdles debut finishing 2nd at Catterick.  He jumped well that day, likes good ground and should run well in the 12.55.

  

Three ex flat horses look set to dominate the betting in the 2.25, Leslingtaylor, Let’s Roll and Crocodile Dundee.  This is a bit of a guessing game. Leslingtaylor has a penalty and I just wonder if Let’s Roll might want a stiffer track so I will take a chance that Crocodile Dundee is ready first time out.  Crocodile Dundee won a Group 3 in Copenhagen in 2004 so I hope he can bring home the bacon tomorrow!

  

Locksmith has been one of thje more disappointing horses on my list to follow.  He has left the Pipe stable and I see that his new trainer has him running over hurdles in the 3.25.  Spotlight in the Racing Post says that he is “best watched” at present and I would not disagree with that assessment.

  

My big hope on Sunday is Wyldello for the in form Alan King yard in the 2.35 at Warwick.   She is a half sister to the high class hurdler Morello who was trained by Mary Reveley.  Wydello has not been out of the first 2 in her 4 runs in bumpers and looks to have the scope to make a serious impact over hurdles.

  

In the 3.05 I fancy the two top weights, Florida Dream and Flash Cummins.  The former is a full brother to the great Florida Dream and did well for me last season when I had him on my list to follow.  Flash Cummins is unexposed over fences and this step up to an extended 3 miles could see him improve further.

  

Our only list horse at Punchestown is Ballytrim in the 12.40 but he is another best watched at present I feel.

  

Star of Wonder to Cold Turkey

  

How did your Christmas go?  Well, the cat had the last of the turkey this morning but there are still a few beers left so I can celebrate any winners I get tomorrow.

  

As we near the end of 2006 now seems a good time to look at the exploits of my jumps list to follow. At first glance things look OK, apart from Kauto Star with 3 Grade 3 wins of the bounce list horses have captured a number of the top prizes, the Hennessey, the Welsh National, The Fighting Fifth, the Greatwood Hurdle, The Rehearsal Chase etc. The winners of those races were some of the more obvious horses though that would be on most lists to follow and many of the darker choices on my list have either disappointed or not run at all.

  

We lost Missed That to a fatal injury and numerous others seem to be out of action with injury problems, Trabolgan, Star de Mohaison, Money Trix, The Market Man and One Sniff being just some I can mention.

  

I am hoping that some of those that have not appeared yet will make up for lost time in the New Year.  One such is Cold Turkey, who is trained by Gary Moore near Brighton.  Cold Turkey has been a splendid servant to connections with 15 wins to his credit.  14 of those were on the flat and I was rather hoping that his trainer would map out a campaign in handicap hurdles for him. 

  

Anyway back to the successes of the list.  Kauto Star has the most wins, with 4 while 3 horses have won at odds of 10/1 or bigger, Ungaro (14/1), Cerium (12/1) and State of Play (10/1).

  

Happy New Year!

 

Continue reading “Diary: December 30 & 31 2006”

Diary: December 29 2006

On what was a pretty desperate day for some of the horses on my list at least The Listener and Beef or Salmon were first two home in the big race in Ireland.

  

Not many British trained horses make the crossing to Ireland for the Lexus Chase and even fewer win when they get there. Best Mate being the only previous British trained winner I can recall off the top of my head.  All the more merit therefore when The Listener pulled off a notable success in the Lexus Chase today, accounting for Irish stars Beef or Salmon and War of Attrition in the process.

  

The Gold Cup remains a bit of a puzzle but if the ground rides soft then The Listener would have to come into the reckoning.

  

Newbury stage a good card tomorrow that starts with a novice chase that has been won by Paul Nicholls in 3 of the last 4 runnings, with Kauto Star taking the honours in 2005.  Nicholls is not represented this time around in what looks like a two horse race between Killaghey Castle and Fair Along.  Fair Along has won his last two races at the expense of highly rated rivals in Natal and My Way de Solzen.  His front running style will be suited to Newbury and he will take all the berating.  Killaghey Castle beat Briareus on his chase debut and that horse has won since.  Killaghey Castle looks to have a future over fences but he is giving 7 pounds to Fair Along and will not find it easy to peg back that rival.

  

The novice hurdle at 2.40 looks fiercely competitive.  Irish raider Kanpai has won his last 6 and is the form pick.  Massini’s Maguire beat Wichita Lineman by half a length at Cheltenham last month and there will probably not be much between the pair again.

  

The two runners from our list to follow are progressive types.  Sir Jimmy Shand has won 4 of his 5 career starts is has won both over hurdles.  This represents a big step up in class though.   Roll Along has a similar profile having won all 5 starts. Like Sir Jimmy Shand he has far more on his plate here.

  

Nicky Henderson trains Sir Jimmy Shand and he saddles Schiehallion in the bumper that closes proceedings at 3.40.  He looked a decent prospect when winning a bumper here on heavy ground las t month.  I have added him to my list to follow on the strength of that performance which will probably be the kiss of death.

  

Our only list runner in action at Taunton is Pepperoni Pete who was a beaten favourite when disappointing last time out at Ascot.  The 2.20 is a much weaker race and he should win.

  

In Ireland Brave Inca and Iktitaf clash at Leopardstown in the 14.55.  Ruby Walsh rides Brace Inca for the first time with Tony McCoy committed at Newbury.  This could turn into a tactical affair and I fancy Iktitaf to just shade it.

  

My other main hope at Leopardstown is Arrive Sir Clive in the 2.55.

  

The Elite Racing Club – Part 3

  

During the 2006 flat season the club were only able to run one juvenile, and that was Tredegar who comes from a winning family and is a half brother to Eisteddfod. He did well for us last season winning at Newmarket and Wolverhampton and he should be able to go on from there.  One that didn’t make it to the race course was Sister Act who is a full sister to Soviet Song.  Obviously hopes will be high for her when she makes her debut as a 3 year old.

  

The club have a few 2 year olds that should be making their racecourse debuts in 2007.  I will point out 3 for you to keep an eye out for.  Harlech Castle is out of the mare Ffestiniog, that has produced 4 winners so far.  His sire was Royal Applause a champion Sprinter so Harlech Castle should be a speedy type.

  

Marbles is by Marju, Soviet Song’s sire, out of Baralinka, a half sister to Soviet Song.  Marju has quite a good record with his 2 year olds so this is another worth watching.

  

Lastly there is Warsaw Waltz who is by the same sire as Court Masterpiece and Rakti.  The bad news for Warsaw Waltz is that she is a half sister to Travolta who was not exactly grease lightning and ended up in selling hurdles. 

  

That ends my whistle stop tour of the Elite runners.  I will keep you posted on their progress.

 

Continue reading “Diary: December 29 2006”

Diary: December 28 2006

Well Kauto Star made it 4 out of 4 in the King George.  His critics are quick to point out that the challengers he will face at Cheltenham from across the Irish Sea were absent and that his jumping at 4 out and at the last was not very pretty.  He was too good for his rivals at Kempton though and he once again quickened away from his field in taking style.  Will he get away with similar jumping errors at Cheltenham?  Probably not, but against that going left handed should suit him and at Cheltenham he will be given a more patient ride. Just at the moment I would not take a very short price about him for the big one.

 

 

middleham20in20snow

  

There were mixed fortunes for the horses on my list to follow. Both Monet’s Garden and Straw Bear were bitterly disappointing on Boxing Day, with no obvious excuse.  Looking at today’s racing Rasharrow jumped very sketchily and did well to grab 4th in the end.  He will need to jump a good deal better than that if he is to compete at the top level.

  

I gave Lord Sam a write up in my Boxing Day preview and I was particularly pleased to see him show great resolution to land the handicap hurdle at Wincanton.  He has lost his way in the last couple of years but had been showing signs of a return to form.

  

The list to follow had its successes.  Kauto Star of course, Ungaro and Troll on Boxing Day and Nickname, You Sir, Halcon Generlardais, Voy Por Ustedes, Merdeka, Alderburn and De Valira today.

  

I probably overlooked the obvious when not tipping Halcon Generlardais as he had serious claims on stamina, jumping and liking for the ground. I allowed the trend factor to rule my choice as not many have carried more than 11 stone to victory in the Welsh National. In the event Alan King’s ex French gelding was always going well and his jumping was a key factor.  He was given a very nice ride by the underrated Wayne Hutchinson.

  

Voy Por Ustedes gave Alan King an across the card big race double with an impressive win in the Desert Orchid Chase at Kempton.

  

The focus tomorrow is firmly on Leopardstown which stages the valuable Lexus Chase.  Before that though there are a couple of runners from our list in the Grade 1 novice chase at 1.30.  O'Muircheartaigh was pulled up at Fairyhouse 3 weeks ago but before that had beaten Knight Legend at Punchestown and that horse later ran a good race at Ascot.   Mossbank was 5th in that Fairyhouse race.   The form of that race is working out well and I expect the winner, Cailin Alainn to follow up.

  

Strangely Brown represents the list in the 2.00.  Recent efforts have not been encouraging and he is one to watch at the moment.  Ruby Walsh has the ride.

  

The Lexus Chase at 2.35 has a small but very select field. The Listener and Beef or Salmon are the runners from our list to follow.  The Listener ran a cracker when giving Star de Mohaison plenty to do on the first day of the month. My preference though is for course specialist Beef or Salmon who showed his well being with a win over hurdles recently.

  

In the bumper at 3.40 I fancy Siegemaster who is a half brother to Our Vic.

  

There are 2 jumps meetings in the UK, at Catterick and Leicester.

  

The old Racing Channel used to do a video of horses to follow.  They did a tour of the country asking various trainers to name their horse to follow.  It used to yield quite a few winners.  I remember a horse called Hugo de Grez being featured on one of those videos some years ago now.  He is quite an interesting horse for a number of reasons.  Of his 9 career wins 6 have come at Carlisle.  Brian Storey rode him in 5 of those wins and having retired from the saddle now trains him.  Hugo de Grez runs in the 1.20 at Catterick tomorrow.  Do I think he will win?  He has some claims as he won recently and is not on a bad mark. Being a Carlisle specialist I am not sure that Catterick is necessarily going to suit him – he has never actually run there before.

  

The Dukes Speech (2.20) was 3rd behind Straw Bear and Conna Castle at Aintree over hurdles last season and I had hopes he would do even better over fences this season.  He showed some promise wjen 3rd at Kelso last time out and shouldn’t be far away.  Howard Johnson’s Lennon, unbeaten over fences is going to be hard to beat though, especially at a track that should suit his front running approach.

  

Elverys may have been unlucky at Musselburgh last month as he was a faller when going well 4 out.  He can gain compensation in the 2.50.

  

An unusually large number of my list to follow are yet to appear this season and I know that some have been injured. I will draft in a few reinforcements over the next week or so starting with Secured who runs in the 3.00 at Leicester.  He is a half brother to Mister Mustard and won over hurdles in January.  I am hoping he will pop up at a decent price at some stage to justify his inclusion in the list.

  

The Elite horses – part 2

  

I started looking at some of the horses belonging to the Elite Racing Club yesterday.  Tonight I want to consider the chances of some of the national Hunt horses that should be appearing in club colours during the second half of the season.

  

When the current campaign began my main hope was probably Kadount. If you go back a couple of years he had some very smart form in his novice chasing season.  He was mixing it with the likes of My Will, Ashley Brook and Fota Island.  He failed to win last season and seemed to have lost his sparkle.  A move from Alan King to Lenny Lungo followed and I could just picture Kadount returning to form in some northern handicap chases.  It hasn’t happened yet, in fact he has only has one run when he was pulled up over hurdles.  I remain hopeful though.

  

Penzance won the 2005 Triumph Hurdle but wasn’t able to add to his tally subsequently over hurdles. He has now been sent novice chasing and won a small race in May.  Since then he has been placed a few times and has taken on some of the better novices but he is looking a little hard to place.

  

Trompette was an import from France and is with Nicky Henderson.  This mare looks on a reasonable hurdles mark and she won in February and March last season, both at Plumpton.  She looks the sort that could land a handicap hurdle between now and the end of the season.  Henderson trains the veteran Dancing Bay who has done the club proud over the years.  He now also has Dancing Bay’s half sister Spanish Lace.  This daughter of Hernando won on the all weather at Wolverhampton and as the saying goes “could be anything!

  

Rehearsal is a nice dual purpose horse with Len Lungo who doesn’t want the ground soft so he could be one to look out for in the spring.

  

One I am particularly looking forward to is Roi de L’Odet who is with Nicky Henderson.  This one had plenty of flat form in France before coming to the UK but has been injured ever since I joined the club.

  

I will be back tomorrow night with the 3rd and concluding part of this feature.

 

Continue reading “Diary: December 28 2006”

Diary: December 27 2006

 

xmas

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

I will concentrate on a preview of Tomorrow’s racing here.  I will have a look back at today’s action tomorrow night.

  

Starting at Chepstow Sue Smith’s Bougoure represents the list to follow in the opener at 12.20.  Bougoure won at Catterick and Market Rasen over hurdles and has shown enough in a couple of runs over the larger obstacles to have a chance here.

  

Madison Du Berlais won 3 times earlier in the year but is yet to come to hand this season.  Both trip and ground should suit and he could be given an each way chance in the 12.55.

  

Another David Pipe runner, Doc Row has a squeak in the 1.30.  He looks on a fair mark over hurdles and stays this trip well.

  

There are 3 runners from the list to follow in the Welsh National at 2.05.  Halcon Generlardais jumps, stays and will like the ground.  On the negative side horses carrying more than 11 stone have a poor record in the race.  Kinburn has been second in both his starts this season.  His chances have not been helped by jumping errors but if he gets it right in that department he could run well.  All in the Stars has not shown his best form in his last few starts and may be a bit high in the weights.  He is a thorough stayer though and would have claims on his best form.  I will give him my tentative each way selection.  Others that could go well are Simon, L’Aventure and Preacher Boy.

  

Paul Nicholls trained the winner of the bumper at 3.45 last season and has a good prospect in the race this time with Mutual Respect.

  

The 1.10 at  Kempton features two from our list to follow, Killaghey Castle and Rasharrow.  Killaghey Castle looked impressive last time when beating Briareus, a good winner since.  The form looks solid and he gets the selection.

 

 

un_storia  Rachel Green takes on some of the big name jockeys in the 1.45 on Fountain Crumble.  She is a very capable rider though and the combination should go well. 

Voy Por Ustedes had to give best to Kauto Star in the Tingle Creek but there was no disgrace in that and he can get off the mark for the season in the 2.30.

  

Alderburn was disappointing on his reappearance this season but has had a good break since and has AP McCoy in the saddle in the 3.05.  Our other list runner is King Barry who was well beaten at Ascot last time out and may not find the going to his liking.  Alderburn has the better chance of the two I would say although he is probably better on a galloping track.

  

Midas Way was 4th to Afsoun in a listed hurdle at Newbury last time.  He should come on for that and has an each way chance in the 3.40.

  

The following horses from our list to follow are running in Ireland.

  

Leopardstown 1.30 Nickname

 

2.00 Catch Me and De Valira

 

2.35 Oulart

 

3.10 Numbersixvalverde

 

Limerick 1.10 You Sir

 3.20 Merdeka Other selections; 

Limerick 12.40 Fred’s Benefit

 

met5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The Elite Racing Club

  

As some of my regulars will know I belong to the Elite Racing Club, which means that, along with 17,999 other people I am the proud owner of 20 or so racehorses.  I thought readers might be interested to read about the club horses and their prospects for 2007. The opinions expressed here are very much my own thoughts as I avoid expressing any official club views for obvious copyright reasons.

  

Now that the club’s star filly Soviet Song has been retired the two best known names on the flat are probably New Seeker and Eisteddfod (I always rely on my spell check for that one!)  Although New Seeker is rising 7 he showed he is no back number by winning for the second time in listed company this year in the Guisborough Stakes run at Redcar.  Although he has only won 7 races in his career he does seem to specialise in valuable races.  He has won the Totesport International Handicap twice and has also won 2 races at Royal Ascot, the most recent being the Royal Hunt Cup when it was run at York.  He was also 2nd in the Lincoln a couple of seasons ago.

  

He is effective over 7 furlongs and a mile and likes to make the running. I am hoping that he can land another listed race in 2007 or just possibly find a Group 3, possibly abroad.

  

Eisteddfod is a product of the Elite’s own breeding programme as he is out of a former winning club horse, Ffestiniog.  Eisteddfod is a classy sprinter who won a Group 3 in 2005.  He didn’t manage to register a win last season as for one reason or another things just didn’t seem to drop right for him.  Given some cut in the ground I am confident that he will get back to winning ways in 2007.

  

There is a lot to like about the professional way in which the club is organised.  For example, the horses are spread amongst 7 or 8 trainers, partly to reduce the risk of them all being hit with sickness at the same time, but also to allow club members from different parts of the country to enjoy stable visits.  Elite also like to have a number of versatile dual purpose horses in their string to maximise opportunities.  The likes of Dancing Bay, Rehearsal and Monolith come into this category.  Monolith is a good example of the dual purpose horse.  He won the Pontefract Cup on the flat this year and followed that with a victory in a valuable handicap hurdle at Cheltenham.

  

I will be having a look at the prospects of some more Elite horses tomorrow.

  

Did you know?

  Lester Piggott rode the last ever winner at the old Manchester racecourse in November 1963.  It was not quite enough to catch Scobie Breesley for the jockey’s title though.  Breesley of course sadly died the other day. 

 

 

Funnies

  

An amusing comment heard on the Morning Line programme last week when Richard Hoiles pointed out that he could never marry a woman called Olive!

  

11 lords a leaping

  

Well, one Lord leaping 11 timers (I was using a bit of Yuletide poetic licence)  Lord Oaksey rode the Grand National 11 times, getting round on 4 occasion and once finishing a close up 2nd.

  

I hope Christmas has gone well.  See you tomorrow.

 

 

Continue reading “Diary: December 27 2006”

Journey of the Magi

Journey of the Magi

'A cold coming we had of it,
Just the worst time of the year
For a journey, and such a long journey:
The ways deep and the weather sharp,
The very dead of winter.'
And the camels galled, sorefooted, refractory,
Lying down in the melting snow.
There were times we regretted
The summer palaces on slopes, the terraces,
And the silken girls bringing sherbet.
Then the camel men cursing and grumbling
and running away, and wanting their liquor and women,
And the night-fires going out, and the lack of shelters,
And the cities hostile and the towns unfriendly
And the villages dirty and charging high prices:
A hard time we had of it.
At the end we preferred to travel all night,
Sleeping in snatches,
With the voices singing in our ears, saying
That this was all folly.

Then at dawn we came down to a temperate valley,
Wet, below the snow line, smelling of vegetation;
With a running stream and a water-mill beating the darkness,
And three trees on the low sky,
And an old white horse galloped away in the meadow.
Then we came to a tavern with vine-leaves over the lintel,
Six hands at an open door dicing for pieces of silver,
And feet kiking the empty wine-skins.
But there was no information, and so we continued
And arriving at evening, not a moment too soon
Finding the place; it was (you might say) satisfactory.

All this was a long time ago, I remember,
And I would do it again, but set down
This set down
This: were we led all that way for
Birth or Death? There was a Birth, certainly
We had evidence and no doubt. I had seen birth and death,
But had thought they were different; this Birth was
Hard and bitter agony for us, like Death, our death.
We returned to our places, these Kingdoms,
But no longer at ease here, in the old dispensation,
With an alien people clutching their gods.
I should be glad of another death

T S Eliot

Continue reading “Journey of the Magi”

Review of the flat 2006

Review of the flat season 2006

Another flat season – another look back, mainly at the fortunes of the horses on my list to follow.

Lincoln, board games and a Knight

Did you know that the Lincolnshire Handicap used to be run at Lincoln? The race was won by a horse called Mighty Gurkha in 1964 but the knives were out for the course and it closed later that year. . Another interesting fact about the Lincoln is that the winners of the race from 1926 to 1937 are the names of the horses in the board game Totopoly.

But I digress. The 2006 season could hardly have got off to a better start when one of my "listers" Blythe Knight, won the Lincoln at 22/1. The race was moved to Redcar as Doncaster was undergoing a facelift and the winner appreciated the prevailing soft going. This was the 3rd time that one of my "list" horses had won the big early season handicap, and like his predecessors, Pablo and Strands of Gold, Blythe Knight was unable to add to his winning tally during the remainder of the season. He has however since won over hurdles for his trainer John Quinn.

The Prescott theory

If the season got off to a flying start it certainly hit a flat spot in mid summer when winners were in seriously short supply. Luckily the tried and tested theory of following Sir Mark Prescott’s 3 year olds stood me in good stead. The most prolific of these was a strapping filly called Alambic who notched 6 wins from 10 starts and was only once out of the first 3. She ran up a sequence of 5 wins between the 10th of July and the 9th of August. Her career best display came in her final win when she galloped clear at the 2 furlong pole in a 14 furlong handicap as Musselburgh beating another horse from the list, Cool Customer by 3 lengths. She started at 4/1 and this in fact was the only win where she didn’t start as favourite.

During the same period 3 other horses from the same stable were racking up the wins, Liberate (4), Warsaw Pact (4) and Prince Picasso (3). Although their later wins were at cramped odds each initial success came at a generous price, 7/1, 12/1 and 15/2 respectively. Liberate won by a total of 19.5 lengths with winning distances between 11 and 16 furlongs. Like so many runners from this yard he has since gone hurdling and has already won twice for new trainer Philip Hobbs. All Warsaw Pact’s wins were over 12 furlongs and the last 3 were on the all weather. He has also joined Philip Hobbs. Prince Picasso is by the same sire, Lomitas, as Liberate. His wins came in small handicaps at Yarmouth, Brighton and Carlisle.

The sprinters

One of the stars of my list to follow was the sprinter Reverence, trained in the north west by Eric Alston, not one of the fashionable big names. The fragile five year old gelding was a late starter and due to injury didn’t make his racecourse debut until May 2005. His connections displayed an enormous amount of patience and persevered where others would perhaps have faltered. This all paid off when he popped up in this years Group 2 Temple Stakes at Sandown in May before going on to greater things when stamping his authority in the Group 1 Nunthorpe Stakes at York in August. An exhilarating and close fought finish followed this performance with a victory over the evergreen Quito in the Group 1 Betfred Sprint Cup at Haydock.

 

His career reads eight wins from fifteen starts with prize money totalling £455,099. With very few miles on the clock and providing he doesn’t meet with any setbacks over the winter months he will be back to fight his corner, and crown next season.

 

 If Reverence was the top sprinter in 2006 there were other sprinters on my list to follow that more than earned their keep. Pride of place should probably go to Borderlescott who won twice, at 10/1 and 12/1. After picking up a competitive 6 furlong handicap at York he went on to win the Stewards Cup at Goodwood. In his next outing he was 2nd to Fonthill Road in the Ayr Gold Cup.

Purely from the point of view of profit King Orchisios was one of the star sprinters on my list. Things looked far from promising when he was beaten in his first 5 starts but he found his form in a Haydock handicap just holding off the challenge of Burning Incense by a short head at 9/1. He was well beaten in his next 4 starts before popping up again, this time at Wolverhampton at 20/1 setting a new course record in the process.

Roger Charlton has become renowned for his handling of sprinters with the likes of Avonbridge and Patavellian. His lightly raced 3 year old Exmoor gave me some early season success, winning on his 3rd outing at Chepstow at 8/1 but his form tailed off and I exactly broke even with him as he ran 9 times with just the one victory.

Fullandby was another sprinter that won twice for the list to follow. Although his wins came at 4/1 and 5/1 he didn’t show a profit as he ran 12 times. His best runs were in defeat. He ran an absolute blinder to finish 2nd in the Great St Wilfred Handicap at Ripon and, stepped up to 7 furlongs, ran 2nd again in a valuable handicap at Ascot. He was 28/1 and 12/1 respectively for these two efforts so would have rewarded each way support. He is probably best over 6 furlongs on soft ground.

Greek Renaissance was a sprinter who probably under achieved. He is a half brother to Machinist, who is trained by Dandy Nicholls and has won some decent sprints. Greek Renaissance, trained by Marcus Tregoning ended the season with form figures of 012212 with the wins coming at 4/5 and 7/2. He started favourite on 5 of his 6 starts and probably didn’t appreciate the tacky ground on the last of his runs.

 

The sprint kings

I always aim to have a couple of Dandy Nicholls sprinters in my list to follow. Moss Vale had been a high profile big money "signing" for Nicholls from Barry Hill’s yard. He was the most successful of my Nicholls listers this time winning 3 times from 10 starts, with a couple of Group 3 successes at the Curragh sandwiching a Group 2 win at Chantilly. In France he was chased home by another horse from the list, Benbaun.

Benabun actually filled the runner up spot in his first 4 outings, including a short head 2nd in the Group 2 King’s Stand at Ascot. It was no more than he deserved when he did finally get his head in front in a Group 3 over 5 furlongs at The Curragh at the end of August.

Another Nicholls runner, Tax Free, was one of my main hopes for the season. Unraced as a 2 year old he had won 4 of his 5 starts in 2005. He showed promise when 3rd behind Moss Vale and Benbaun at Chantilly.

After winning at Leicester Tax Free was out again a few days later to break the 12 year track record when winning a listed race at Goodwood. David Nicholls said the gelding hadn't really been right since he lost a shoe at Royal Ascot

My other Dandy Nicholls runner was the 6 year old Indian Trail who won once from 9 starts in a competitive Newcastle handicap at 11/4.

If Dandy Nicholls is generally regarded as the Sprint King, Milton Bradley is not far behind him. His Meikle Barfil, a maiden at the start of the season, was something of a dark horse on my list. The pundits were none too complimentary about his chances when he lined up at Salisbury for his 8th run of the campaign, having been quite well beaten in his other runs. I gave him a hopeful write up though as the handicapper had started to take a few liberties with his rating and he duly obliged at 16/1. That was one success amongst a row of duck eggs but although he ran 11 times in total that solitary visit to the winner’s enclosure was enough to insure he made a profit.

Another Milton Bradley sprinter, Harrison’s Flyer, has been something of a standing dish on my list to follow. I was hoping that he would come in at some stage at long odds but it wasn’t to be. He was probably a bit too consistent and there were numerous placed efforts amongst his 15 starts which meant the handicapper didn’t cut him very much slack. His one win came at Brighton in September at 6/1 so no profit on this one I am afraid.

Iffraaj and Bygone Days

Perhaps surprisingly 2 of my most successful sprinters came from the Godolphin operation. Iffraaj is a horse I had followed before. I fancied him for the July Cup but he couldn’t quite get to the winner, Les Arcs and was a very creditable head second. Moss Vale was 5th by the way. Big race success was only postponed for a fortnight however, as he was a wide margin winner of the Group 2 Lennox Stakes at Goodwood. He rounded off his season, and indeed his career, with a Group 2 success at York over 7 furlongs where the drying ground would have suited him. He was then retired to stud. A horse that possessed both class and courage and was very versatile with regards to trip, he was a winner of 7 of his 13 starts.

The other Godolphin sprinter to grace my list to follow was Bygone Days. To be honest I had more or less given up on this one as after running in Dubai in the winter and spring he took a long time to appear in the UK. When he did arrive he did so with some purpose, winning both his starts. The first was in a listed race at Hamilton where he accounted for Ayr Gold Cup winner Fonthill Road and Eisteddfod. He then won a Group 3 at Newmarket from a couple of other listers, Borderlescott and Tax Free. However, the winning margin could not have been narrower, and it's hard to escape the conclusion that Borderlescott would have held on but for hanging badly left under pressure.

Finding the Zs

One of the problems of following a long list of horses’ is remembering the names and spotting them when poring over the declarations. Anything beginning with "Z" is a boon as they always seem easy to spot. I was particularly thankful to the trio of Zeds this season as they all pulled their weight. Zidane may have let himself down somewhat on the World footballing stage but the horse of the same name picked up handicaps at Thirsk and Newmarket. In particular, he produced a memorable performance at Thirsk as he was virtually last entering the final quarter of a mile in the six furlongs handicap sprint. He is a half brother to Frizzante a horse I have had on previous year’s lists to follow.

From a financial point of view Zidane broke even but another Z, Zowington ensured a profit for the season by winning an Epsom handicap first time out at 11/1. He ran 7 times so with 11 points in the bank from that Epsom victory we had no worries about his profitability. Zomerlust only won once from 10 starts but as that came at 16/1, when he showed his rivals a clean pair of heels in the spring, he more than paid for his keep. He came close to doing even better as he was 2nd of 26 in the Ayr Silver Cup at 10/1, only beaten a head.

The Royal Hunt Cup and other handicaps

Although I have quite a good record in the Lincoln I have been a lot less lucky in the big mid season mile handicap, The Royal Hunt Cup. Cesare ended quite a drought for me in the race winning at 14/1. Cesare had been sent off favourite for the Lincoln but in the rain sodden ground at Redcar could only finish 12th behind Blythe Knight. With the benefit of a favourable draw at Ascot he was a worthy winner holding off another horse from our list, Stronghold by a neck with Hinterland 4th and Pinpoint 6th.

It came as no surprise to see the first two home in the Royal Hunt Cup drawn low, in stalls three and two respectively. Cesare handled the fast ground better than many expected, just edging out Stronghold, who was better fancied than his 14’1 starting price suggests

Cesare added to his Ascot success with an impressive win in a conditions event at Warwick, beating Mostashaar. Cesare is lightly raced for a 5 year old having only had a total of 12 starts, from which he has won 6. He runs in the familiar red and white silks of the Cheveley Park Stud.

Stronghold, Hinterland and Pinpoint, who were all close up at Ascot had their own moments during the season. Prior to the Ascot race Stronghold had won a listed race at Lingfield and just been beaten a short head in a similar contest at Goodwood. Stronghold had been giving Cesare a stone at Ascot and on that form and his listed win he was entitled to try his luck in group company. He went to Goodwood again for a competitive group 3 over 7 furlongs and won under Richard Hughes, beating Byron by a length.

Hinterland was a profitable choice for the list. He won a mile handicap at Epsom at 7/1 in early June before taking a valuable heritage handicap at Sandown over the same distance.

Pinpoint is trained by former jockey Walter Swinburne, who is fast making a name for himself in the training ranks. Pinpoint ran 5 times winning a big handicap over 10 furlongs at Newbury in the middle of these at 7/1. He ran up to this form when finishing 3rd in the Cambridgeshire.

Another handicapper top show a profit was Brian Meehan’s Star of Light. He ran pretty consistently in his 6 outings but his only win came first time out in a heritage handicap at Newmarket over 9 furlongs at 9/1.

Of the 3 year old handicappers, Sir Gerard proved a good choice. After winning a handicap at Beverley he narrowly missed out in a valuable handicap at Haydock.

Sir Gerard went for a disappearing gap between the winner and Kalankari approaching the final furlong and had to be switched. He stayed on gamely under pressure, but the post was always coming too soon.

He quickened well to land the 30 runner Britannia Stakes at Royal Ascot at 9/2. On his last run in the Totesport Mile at Goodwood he ran really well to take 4th from the "coffin box" in the number I stall. He powered through after being switched two furlongs out to beat another horse from our list, Easy Air, landing quite a punt in the process.

A decent handicapper can pay his way with just one big price win. One such was Michael Jarvis’s Consular. Given a bit of a chance by the handicapper he was only beaten about half a length at Epsom, but was still allowed to go off at 16/1 a couple of runs later in Haydock’s Old Newton Cup. Neil Callan kicked on from 3 out to account for a couple of other list horses, Ouninpohja and Star of Light. Raised to a rating of 96 from 90 Consular was unable to add to his winning tally but with a 16/1 success from 6 runs he was another profitable choice.

Consular’s half brother Ordnance Row did even better for me. A winner in the soft at Doncaster as a juvenile he didn’t show a lot in his first two outings at 3, but shaped well when 5th at Chester on his 3rd outing. Given some ease in the ground Ordnance Row was able to improve on that the next day at the Roodeye landing a valuable and competitive mile handicap. Matt Henry gave him an enterprising ride and he quickened off the bend and kept on gamely.

I have been quite successful following the Reveley stable over the years. Celtic Carisma was the representative from that stable this season. She was last on her seasonal reappearance but won a small 2 mile handicap at Southwell at 12/1 under Tom Eves. That was her only success from 8 runs and she has since been placed over hurdles.

A horse like Compromiznotension is a godsend to anyone with a list to follow. You can hardly miss him when scanning the deccies! Having shown some promise as a 2 year old he was a bit of a disappointment on his first two runs in May. I didn’t hold out much hope of getting a win out of him at that stage but he returned after a break in September to record 3 wins in 4 attempts. The wins came in a maiden at Newcastle and handicaps at Pontefract and Ayr, all over a mile. The winning odds were 9/2 (twice) and 7/1. He is related to winners in Greece, Sweden and the UAE.

Cool Customer was another 3 time winner. He was kept busy with 11 runs but as his wins came at 7/1, 8/11 and 11/2 he was another profit maker. Jamie Spencer partnered him on all 3 wins. He was also 2nd on 4 occasions, once to the prolific Alambic. The wins all came at a mile and a half.

Fear to Tread and Roman Quest are a couple of handicappers that more than paid their way. Fear to Tread was a major money spinner as her wins at 12/1 and 4/1 came from only 6 starts. Both wins were in little handicaps at Warwick, but hey – who cares – she made me a nice profit. Roman Quest’s 8 runs yielded wins at 6/1 and 9/1 so he also proved a nice little earner. A tall gelding given the statutory 3 runs to qualify for handicaps he won first over 6 furlongs at Folkestone in early season. That win had come on soft ground but he showed his versatility with regards to ground conditions by winning on a much quicker surface at Goodwood. He did OK for a horse that had gone off at 66/1 and 100/1 on his first two starts as a juvenile

I kept Halla San on my list after he gained a couple of wins in the previous season for Lynda Ramsden. When the Ramsden’s relinquished their licence Halla San moved to Richard Fahey’s stable and again enjoyed a successful campaign with five runs, 2 wins and one of those at 10/1. The successes came at Beverley and Goodwood, the latter under a strong finish from claimer Jamie Moriaty.

I made a small profit on Whispering Death named after the West Indian fast bowler Michael Holding. He won handicaps at Thirsk and York over 2 miles and 2 miles 2 respectively. He was also far from disgraced on his last run, which was when 6th in the Cesarawitch. Whispering Death followed the winner for much of the way and ran a fine race in sixth. He is unexposed as a stayer – this was his first defeat in three races at 2m-plus – and he is the sort to continue to make his mark next season.

Degas Art looked like proving an expensive flop as far as making profit is concerned as his only win in his first 6 efforts was gained at 2/5 in a maiden. There was better to come however as David Elsworth’s charge triumphed in a listed race at Newmarket in testing conditions at the end of September at 10/1. With all the other runners migrating to the centre of the track Kerrin McEvoy made all on Degas Art racing on the far side in splendid isolation.

Controversy

Confide was involved in one of the season’s more controversial incidents. His wins came in a Catterick maiden and a handicap at Ayr, both over 7 furlongs but it really should have been 3 wins. Confide had his rivals comfortably beaten in a mile handicap at Carlisle but jockey Robert Winston took things too easy inside the final furlong and Confide was collared close home. Winston received a 28 day ban as a result.

Confusion

Yorkshire trainer Julie Camacho does well with her small string and I included 4 horses from her yard in my list to follow. The most successful was Rio Riva who won 2 of his 7 starts and was 2nd twice. He showed himself to be versatile with regards to going by winning at Redcar (good to firm) and in a decent handicap at Ripon (soft). He probably favours some ease in the ground for preference.

I spent much of the season getting Rio Riva mixed up with River Bravo of Peter Chapple-Hyams. The latter won a 7 furlong handicap at Haydock on his seasonal return off a mark of 86.

Odds and ends

Luca Cumani is a trainer worth following, and his 3 year old Futun nabbed a couple of wins as well as two 2nds in his 5 runs. He won a maiden at Leicester and a handicap at Haydock at 7/1. He stays a mile and a half but is not short of speed. Tends to race freely.

Minority Report, another from the Cumani stable, also won twice. As a 6 year old he was one of the older horses on the list but soon justified his selection with a decisive win in the Thirsk Hunt Cup. He disappointed in the Royal Hunt Cup but came back to win a conditions event over 7 furlongs at Goodwood.

Roger Charlton’s Burning Incense turned into a useful handicapper. He put a string of unlucky defeats behind him when winning at Windsor and he showed a smart turn of foot to take a competitive handicap at Newmarket. He also ran well in defeat. He just failed to mow down King Orchisios at Haydock, and in his final run when 2nd at Ascot off 94 (the Windsor win had come off a rating of 78)

Raucous was only having his 4th career start when winning a 12 furlong Ripon Maiden in August. A well-grown, rangy individual, with plenty of scope, he has the size and shape to develop into a decent horse. As he was 8/1 and only ran twice in the season he was one of the more profitable selections.

Superseus won first time up in a mile maiden at Newmarket. Trainer Hughie Morrison had toyed with the idea of running him in the 2,000 Guineas so he is obviously well thought of at home. He had been gelded by the time he won his second race, a 1 mile handicap at Ascot towards the end of September at 11/2.

James Fanshawe;’s Spectral Star won the middle of her 5 starts in a modest 12 furlong Leicester handicap at 8/1 so showed a profit, as did Sant Elena , who won once from 8 starts at 12/1, beating Greek Renaissance at Kempton on the all weather.

Art Deco, trained by Charlie Egerton won the Dee Stakes at Chester at 8/1 This was an inspired ride from Frankie Dettori, who kicked for home about a quarter of a mile out. The horse proved this was no flash in the pan when finishing 4th on the French Derby. In his 3rd and final run he was only beaten just over 3 lengths by rail Link in a Group 1 at Longchamp.

Dr Sharp didn’t show a lot in his first 5 runs but he nearly pulled off a major surprise when 3rd behind Detroit City in the Cesarawitch at 100/1. On the strength of that run I really fancied him next time out over 2 miles back at HQ. He duly won at 9/1 a real gritty pillar to post success for this dour stayer.

Signatory trained by John Gosden has joined Noel Meade in Ireland for a career over timber. This 4 year old son of Kris S had a liking for ease in the ground was sent off favourite for the Ebor at York but disappointed. The pick of his efforts came in Newmarket in May when defeating River Alhaaath by 3 lengths.

Willie Haggas

I had a few Willie Haggas runners in my list to follow and one of them, Primary, helped to get my season off to a good start. The Sandown Classic Trial at the end of April is not the strongest Group 3 in the World, but Primary could do no more than win which he did at 4/1. His other win came in a listed race at San Siro in June. That wasn’t the full extent of his globetrotting as he also ran in a Grade 1 at Arlington, where this Giant’s Causeway colt finished 3rd of the 6 runners in the Secretariat Stakes.

Heaven Knows, another Haggas runner won first time out in what was a bit of a slog in the mud at Thirsk. He was a beaten favourite next time out at Sandown but came back on his final run to show a smart turn of foot to land a handicap at Chester.

Another from the same stable, Edaara had been expensive to follow having gone down when favourite on his first two starts but he came nback after a 110 day break to win a Leicester maiden.

Geoff Wragg didn’t have particularly good year and I had to wait until September before his 3 year old Hotel Du Cap appeared. After an absence of nearly a year he made a pleasing reappearance when 2nd in a Leicester maiden. He looked one to be on next time and he duly bolted up at Kempton winning by 9 lengths in a 12 furlong maiden.

Sir Michael Stoute

I have a pretty indifferent record following Sir Michael Stoute and once again I managed to pick a few duds. City of Troy, Kalarni, Greek Well, Hard Top and others all failing to record a single victory. The most profitable was the filly Allegretto. After winning a Chepstow maiden she went up to Haydock to win the Group 2 Lancashire Oaks in decisive fashion at 13/2. Upped to Group 1 class in the Yorkshire Oaks she was no match for Alexandrova but she stayed on in courageous fashion to finish 3rd. She again didn’t lack for resolution in her last run when occupying 3rd place in the Park Hill Stakes where she perhaps didn’t quite see out the longer 14 furlongs. Scottish Stage won a listed race at odds on and Sindirana struggled to win the Lingfield Oaks trial but both failed to win again. The enigmatic Rob Roy also managed to win once, in the Betfred Mile a Group 2 at Sandown but didn’t win again and is now racing in America. His best run was when 2nd to super filly Pride in the Champion Stakes.

Things began "stately enough, with Public Forum winning a 1 mile handicap at Sandown at 7/1 first time up. Many paddock judges felt he was badly in need of the run beforehand but he belied that theory and also the drop back in trip to beat Hail The Chief. Drifting out in the betting from 7/2, he stayed on strongly under Richard Hughes

As he had an entry in the Irsh St Leger I had hopes he would add to his tally when tried over further but it didn’t turn out that way. His next 3 efforts were disappointing but he did show a glimmer when a staying on 5th on his final outing at Newbury.

Book of Music didn’t always get the best of luck in his first 4 starts but came good in a strong handicap over 10 furlongs at Ascot in October at 9/2. With Donacster having a facelift the November Handicap was run round Windsor’s figure of 8 track. Book of Music was well fancied and kept on stoutly for pressure suggesting that we might see him in a better light next term.

There were high hopes for Rohaani, who was 2nd in the Roseberry where Kempton’s tight turns and short straight may not have suited him. He went on to gain a battling success in a York handicap at 5/1 but finished the season well down the field in the Cambridgeshire. Mostashaar, a half brother to Maarahel, had won the Britannia Handicap the previous season but was largely out of sorts until winning on his 6th and final start on the all weather at Lingfield over 7 furlongs. Unlike Mostashaar, Queens Best, another Stoute runner, did show a profit winning one of her 3 starts at 3/1. Her win came in a 1 mile handicap at Ascot.

I retained Peeress on my list after her successes of 2005 and she again ran consistently well. Her one win came in the Lockinge when she had the likes of Soviet Song and Court Masterpiece behind. On the day, in testing conditions, the mile trip took some getting but Peeress acts well on soft ground and was clearly best on the day. She very nearly added a second Group 1 win in September at Leopardstown just failing to catch Red Evie and going down by a short head. Other horses from the list to follow were Flashy Wings (3rd) and Nannina (4th).

Nannina had earlier returned to her best on the fast ground to beat one of the strongest Coronation Stakes fields I have ever seen.

The Derby and other Group races

The Derby gave us one of the most thrilling finishes seen at the Epsom Classic for many a long year with Sir Percy flashing home late to pip the maiden Dragon Dancer on the line. Having tipped Sir Percy I was happy enough with the result, although as the runner up was also on my list to follow and started at 66/1 he would have done wonders for my stats. In truth though, exciting finish apart this was probably an ordinary renewal. Sir Percy had a few problems after Epson and only ran once more when well beaten in the Champion Stakes. He has clearly been difficult to train. Dragon Dancer failed to win in his remaining 4 starts.

Horses from our list to follow captured many of the season’s top prizes and the Eclipse at Sandown went to Brian Meehan’s David Junior. Another Group 1 winner was Court Masterpiece who beat Soviet Song in the Sussex Stakes. This consistent 6 year old was not winning out of turn having finished 3rd in the Lockinge and 2nd in the Queen Anne Stakes.

Battle of the giants

The Ballydoyle versus Godolphin battle is a bit like the Chelsea/Man U situation in football with one suspects little love lost between the protagonists in both cases.

Honours this time went to the team from across the Irish Sea who were winning classics while the "boys in blue" were having trouble winning anything. Two of Aiden O’Brien’s superstars were the colt George Washington and the filly Alexandrova.

Aiden O’Brien obviously thinks the world of George Washington and he was strongly fancied for the first colt’s classic.

Although on his toes throughout, George Washington never became as restless as he did when walking around the same area before last year’s Dewhurst – a race from which he was subsequently withdrawn.

Word was about beforehand that the colt had produced some mighty impressive sectional timings in his work at Ballydoyle, and In the event he did everything expected of him, quickening through the middle of the pack to put his seal on the race by the final furlong. As usual he started to idle once he hit the front, but there was never any danger of Sir Percy catching him.

The colt’s subsequent refusal to enter the winner’s enclosure was, I gather, not unexpected. George Washington is a prima donna of the first order – one of the most ‘arrogant’ horses his trainer has ever known –

Sir Percy gave an indication of better things to come, staying on strongly in the closing stages

In bottomless ground at the Curragh for the Irish guineas George Washington was unable to pick up and had to give best to Araafa. After a break he returned in the Celebration Mile at Goodwood but raced far too keenly and could only finish 3rd, again raising doubts about his temperament.

Much has already been written and discussed about the performance of George Washington in the Group 1 Queen Elizabeth II Stakes. The vibes from Ballydoyle in the days preceding the race had been very positive, to such extent that the son of Danehill was as short as 5’4 in one place on Wednesday. Then doubts began to build when the rain started to fall through the course of Friday, leading the colt to drift to as long as 4.2 on Betfair on the eve of the race.

That was too big for some, especially those who were aware of how fast the track at Ascot would dry and the forecast for dry weather.

As the race drew near George Washington attracted steady support down to a solid 13’8 favourite. The money proved well founded, with the colt producing a seriously impressive performance.

It’s most unusual to see a Group 1 – especially one of this calibre – won on the bridle. It’s fair to add that there were a few other reasons why Mick Kinane was never going to rush for the whip, but nobody could disagree with the jockey's post-race assertion that the colt won ‘at half-speed’. George Washington conclusively reversed Irish Guineas form with Araafa, with the consistent Court Masterpiece a creditable third.

Whatever people say about John Magnier’s Coolmore operation, the outcome here and the canny manner in which the team prepared him for the race – with particular reference to that Group 2 at Goodwood – establishes beyond doubt their status as the worlds most professional and, one has to say, most astute of racing operations. He probably didn’t stay or act on the dirt surface when 6th in the Breeders Cup.

Alexandrova proved a class act, turning the Oaks into a procession and followed up in the Irish equivalent, again winning very much as she pleased. She completed the Group 1 hat trick with another effortless win in the Yorkshire Oaks. She was beaten over 10 furlongs at Longchamp in October. That may have been down to the shorter trip or to her just being "over the top."

I had quite a long wait to get any joy from the Godolphin representatives on my list. Echo of Light, by Dubai Millenium, was by far the most profitable, winning 3 times. His first win came at 7/1 in the Group 3 Summer Mile on Lingfield’s all weather track. Kerrin McEvoy had the ride as Frankie Dettori has opted to ride the other Godolphin runner in the race. The Italian was on board for the next win when Echo of Light ran his rivals ragged to make all in a Group 2 at York over 9 furlongs, with the 3rd win coming in a Group 2 at Longchamp in the Autumn.

Into the Dark had won all his 4 starts in 2004 but had failed to add to his tally in 2005. He clearly has his quirks and did not appear until mid September when well beaten at Southwell, hardly a promising start. His critics were still not over impressed when he was 2nd to Degas Art at Newmarket but he came good on his 3rd and final start in a 10 furlong listed race back at HQ where he quickened away to win by 6 lengths.

A Godolphin quartet

Rampallion, Seabow, Sharpsburg and With Interest all provided me with late winners from the Godolphin yard.

Rampallion had won a Newmarket maiden on his only start at two and returned to Newmarket to win a handicap despite an absence of nearly a year. He just pipped his stable companion Prior’s Hill. He was a good short head second at Windsor after that on a track that might not have suited him. He looks the type that could do better next year.

Seabow had gone into my notebook when 6th in a Newmarket bacxk end maiden, a race where River Bravo was 5th. He was another that had to wait a year before racing again when he ran out an impressive winner of his maiden at Nottingham and provided the list with a 9/4 winner. Reappearing only a week after his belated seasonal bow, he relished the step up to ten furlongs to beat Galactic Star with something in hand.

Sharpsburg, a son of Giant’s Causway, had produced a most eyecatching performance to finish 2nd in a Newbury maiden as a juvenile when trained by John Gosden. Snapped up by Godolphin, he won on his only start as a 3 year old, a maiden at Salisbury. He looked a useful performer in the making but sadly had to be put down in October.

The last of the late flowering Godolphin quartet was With Interest. He has been most impressive when producing a scintillating turn of foot to beat Ordnance Row, another lister, in a 19 runner 7 furlong maiden at Newbury in October ’05. Trained then by Andrew Balding he was acquired by Godolphin. Despite being off the track for over a year he looked fit and well on his return when winning a 5 runner minor event at Nottingham in November, Confidently ridden and getting to the front readily. He is open to further improvement and could make his mark at a higher level.

Peppertree Lane

I have always been lucky with horses from Mark Johnstone’s stable. Atlantic Waves only ran twice as his season was curtailed by injury. He won the 8 runner Feilden Stakes at Newmarket in April from the unlucky in running Olympian Odyssey but was below par when finishing down the field in the Epsom Derby.

The real star from the Johnstone yard however was Peppertree Lane who notched up 5 wins. He progressed into a smart performer during the season. He won a maiden at Ripon in April, and handicaps at York, Ripon, Haydock and Ascot. The Haydock success came in a heritage handicap, the Old Borough Cup over 14 furlongs. Ridden by Kevin Darley, he had to fight off the persistent attentions of stable companion Quizzene. He was the only 3 yaer old in the 13 runner field and won as 9/2 favourite.

His win as Ascot came over 12 furlongs but as it was run at a fact pace in testing conditions it played into Peppertree Lane’s hands. He was once again favourite, this time sent off at 7/2.

25/1

If Peppertree Lane was one of the most prolific winners on our list, the honour of best winning odds went to Classic Punch. A half brother to the late great Persian Punch by the brilliant sprinter Mozart, Classic Punch had looked a horse to follow on the promise shown in his 2 outings as a two year old. In the event he didn’t really live up to expectations and only won 1 of his 6 outings. That win came in an 18 runner maiden at Windsor at 25/1.

Who else do I need to give a mention to ? Tungsten Strike won the Henry ll Stakes at Sandown and was 3rd to Yeats in the Goodwood Cup, while Innocent Air, after an indifferent start to the campaign won a listed arce at Newmarket over 10 furlongs in Ocrober at 16/1. Her trainer HJogn Gosden reported that the filly had not been right earlier in the year and that she would not now race again in the UK.

Best of the rest

That then was about it from the list to follow. I have just picked out a dozen or so other horses that deserve a mention. The super mare Ouija Board has been the subject of much more eloquent praise than ever I could bestow so I will leave her out of this section.

Three of the elite

Another mare bowed out this season. Soviet Song for long the darling of the Elite Racing Club was not the force of old but still managed to land the Group 2 Windsor Forest Stakes at Ascot in June, from Sir Michael Stoute’s Echelon. Soviet Song had just seemed to lose that burst of acceleration that had served her so well over the years and connections decided to retire her at the end of the season. She had still managed to finish 2nd in the Sussex Stakes, behind Court Masterpiece. In a glittering career "Sovie" won 9 times, 5 of them at Group 1 level.

There were some amongst the Elite faithful who thought that New Seeker was in decline but he proved his critics wrong in no uncertain terms. He had some top handicap form over the years, twice a winner of the Totesport International, he had also won the Britannia Stakes and the Royal Hunt Cup as well as finishing 2nd in the Lincoln. During last season he moved from Clive Cox to Paul Cole and the change of scene obviously did him good as he made all in typical fashion on his debut for his new trainer in listed company at Redcar in September.

Another Elite club horse, the dual purpose Monolith, trained by Len Lungo is a bit of a favourite of mine and he won the two and a half mile Pontefract Cup in June. Thrilling stuff in this long-distance handicap, with Monolith getting up in the shadow of the post to nail the aggressively-ridden Our Monogram.

The winner, who had a mountain to climb from six furlongs to go and catch the clear leader, was given a wonderful ride by Paul Hanagan, who kept him up to his work in terrific style and was handsomely rewarded for his heroic efforts.

The underdog

The 1000 Guineas produced a fairytale ending with the Pam Sly trained Speciosa winning. She may not be mentioned in the same breath as George Washington but this was one for the underdog and her success is richly deserved. Her trainer is better known for saddling jumpers around the gaff tracks.

Zero Tolerance, one of those memorable zeds from a previous year’s list stepped up from handicap class to win listed races at York and Haydock over a mile. Both were on his favoured soft ground. He has earlier finished 4th in the Lincoln.

More sprinters

The remarkable Quito won 3 times in listed class at Haydock (twice) and York, making 18 career wins in the UK. Now a 9 year old he came close to winning a Group 1 for the first time in the Betfred Sprint Cup only beaten a neck by Reverence. Sierra Vista as always won a handicap at a nice price, this time it was Haydock at 16/1.

In 2005 Fonthill Road was runner up in both the Stewards at Goodwood and the Ayr Gold Cup and it was good to see him capture one of the big sprints this season. He suffered from a back problem in the earlier part of the season but returned to land the Ayr Gold Cup by a length from Borderlescott.

Sticking with the sprinters Further Outlook and Smokin’ Beau were a couple of old timers that tasted success in their old age. Further Outlook was in fine form at the age of 12 and won 4 times, a seller and 3 claimers. A grey front runner with courage in spades, he has certainly not lost any of his enthusiasm for the game. He duly took his place in the greys only sprint at Newmarket and finished a very creditable 5th.

Echelon enjoyed a successful season, winning Group 3 races at Lingfield and Epsom while Detroit City took time off from a blossoming hurdles career to win the Cesarawitch. Another list horse from previous seasons, Sleeping Indian, won a Group 2 at Newmarket in mid October.

The globetrotter

My horse of the year though has to be the 8 year old Collier Hill. Coming into this season he had won 12 times. His first win was a Catterick bumper, and on his CV he can boast a Kelso maiden hurdle, The Stockholm Cup (twice), a Group 2 in Cologne, a listed race at Hamilton and a handicap in Dubai. Most famously he also won the Irish St Leger in 2005.

His globe trotting continued this season when he landed the Woodbine Canadian International and the Hong Kong vase, both by a nose.

 

See you next year!

 



Continue reading “Review of the flat 2006”

Diary: Boxing Day

There is a real air of anticipation about the King George this season. Is Kauto Star really as good as some pundits are saying?  Timeform know a thing or two when it come to ratings and they have him down as the 6th highest rated chaser of all time – or at least since they started rating horses.  The 5 above him include Arkle, Mill House and Desert Orchid – illustrious company indeed.

  

But will he win on Boxing Day?  The answer is of course he will!  If this were a handicap Timeform reckon Kauto Star would be giving 18 lbs to his nearest rival.

  

If only horse racing were that simple!  It seems to me that there are only 2 ways in which Kauto Star can lose.  Either he falls, and he has done before; or either Racing Demon or Monet’s Garden have improved beyond their known form.

  

Common sense tells me that Kauto Star will probably win – the track will suit him and Timeform know their business. His price is too short though and I think you have to look for value elsewhere. Exotic Dancer could hardly be in better form but just has too many possible negatives against his name.  He is coming from handicaps and that does not usually work in this race.  He does not have a good record going right handed and there is just a small question mark about his stamina.

  

Racing Demon is a possible. It is hard to say just how good he is.  He could be very good indeed and seems best going right handed.  Monet’s Garden is another that will be suited by the track.  If you are going to make all anywhere then Kempton is probably the place to do it.  Monet’s Garden is fresh and if he gets into a rhythm he just might get Kauto Star off the bridle and the straight at Kempton is short.

  

I will go for Monet’s Garden to bring back memories of the grey ghost of Christmas’ past – the late Desert Orchid.

 

  

By the way I liked the Racing Post “Pipe and Slippers” headline about Niall Madden riding Puntal.  Why didn’t I think of that?

  

The 12.35 at Kempton looks to be between the front 4 in the betting. We have 2 “national hunt” horses in De Soto and Kicks for Free up against 2 ex flat types in Lincoln winner Blythe Knight and Nicky Henderson’s debutante Khyber Kim.

  

I quite like supporting ex flat horses at Kempton. Khyber Kim was rated 106 on the flat and clearly commands respect.  McCoy rides Blythe Knight who has already won over hurdles.

   

De Soto has had injury problems.  He was second in the 2005 Cheltenham Festival bumper behind the ill fated Missed That.  His recent win at Taunton could signal a change of fortunes for something of a forgotten horse.  Kicks for Free lost his unbeaten record over hurdles when 2nd to the useful Tribal Bay at Cheltenham.  He might have won had he not rattled the last though and his form looks solid.  He just gets the nod.

  

The 1.10 features 4 from our list to follow in a competitive event.  Yes Sir ran up 7 straight wins in the summer and his front running style could pay off.  According to John has the perfect record with 6 wins from 6 starts.  He impressed me when winning at Carlisle 2 starts ago and he has chances although this is his hardest task yet.  Most of his wins have been with plenty of cut in the ground and I just wonder if that is essential to him.

  

Ungaro has won both his starts over fences and is in fine form.  The extra distance today may suit but is not absolutely guaranteed to. Lastly we have Aztec Warrior who has plenty of ability but made a number of jumping errors on his last appearance when 4th at Cheltenham. This is a tricky race and I am reluctantly going beyond my list horses for my tip.  I fancy the talented Bold Fire from the Paul Nicholls stable who gets all the sex and age allowances.  

 

 

The Stan James Christmas Hurdle normally goes to a well backed runner and this year looks likely to go the same way. Straw Bear will be all the rage and given enough ease in the ground he will certainly be hard to beat.  If the ground dries then Noble Request, Afsoun and Desert Quest would enter the equation.  Noble Request has a good record going right handed and on lively ground I would fancy him to reverse the form with Straw Bear.  I would be tempted to suggest Afsoun each way if there were 8 runners as I feel we haven’t seen the best of him yet. 

  

Yaboya is our representative in the 3.00.  I backed him last time he ran and just arrived in the bookies in time to see him fall.  He was in contention against more experienced rivals that day and would have been in the first 3 had he not crashed out.  He has top weight on Boxing Day but if he stands up he shouldn’t be far away.  He has been raised 4 lbs since falling which seems harsh but I still think he has an each way shout.

  

It was difficult to find a selection at Market Rasen but in the end I have plumped for Custom Design.  He has won twice over course and distance and his trainer has a good strike rate at this track.  Custom Design’s trainer Geoff Harker trains just outside Thirsk.

  

Nicky Richards has his stable star Monet’s Garden in the big race at Kempton but he also has one runner at Sedgefield.  Echo Point goes in the beginners Chase at 1.35.  He was 4th last time at Carlisle after being off the track for a year and that run should have put him spot on for this.

  

I gave out Troll as a tip to a mate who was going to Haydock Park in early November but the horse could only finish 11th of 13.  My reputation as a tipster was once again in tatters.  Lenny Lungo has his team in good form at present and I am prepared to give Troll another chance in the 2.10.

  

Grecian Groom runs in the Towcester 1.15.  He has been one of my more disappointing list horses and it is hard to fancy him.

  

In the 2.55 Chopneyev seeks to follow up his facile win the other day.  Formerly a decent hurdler he looks one to keep on the right side.

  

At Wetherby in form John Quinn saddles Day to Remember in the 12.50.  This one was previously trained by Ed Vaughan on the flat & won a 10f Newmarket handicap in May.  Looks a useful recruit from the flat, he won very easily on his hurdles debut at Market Rasen and is potentially very smart: one to follow.

   

The 1.25 at Wetherby is the Rowland Meyrick Chase that was won by Therealbandit last season who sadly suffered a fatal injury reecntly.  Ossmoses represents our list to follow. He was 4th over hurdles recently but is better over fences.  He stays well and likes plenty of give in the ground. He is certainly one for the short list.  The grey Silver Knight is a course specialist having won 4 from 8 here.  He is a dour stayer that revels in testing conditions.  This race also features a couple of old favourites in Sir Rembrandt and Truckers Tavern.  Sir Rembrandt was 2nd to Best Mate in the 2004 Gold Cup and 3rd to Kicking King a year later.  Truckers Tavern was runner up to Best Mate in the 2003 Cheltenham showpiece.

  

I just feel that this might go to the progressive King Killone who won last time, jumps well and seems to be on an upward curve.

  

The Wincanton 2.40 sees the return to the racecourse of Lord Sam.  He won 9 of his first 10 races but has failed to win any of his subsequent 9 runs, failing to complete in 5 of them.  At his best he ran 3rd to Hardy Eustace in one of the novice hurdles at the Cheltenham Festival and had Foreman in 4th.  He did show glimpses of that old form last season and I certainly hope he can recapture his best form.

 

We have a horse from our list to follow in this race with Leading Contender.  He put a couple of disappointing efforts behind him when winning at Chepstow.  He has more to do here but the additional 2 furlongs will be in his afvour.  He holds an each way chance.

  

Bien Bronze is a former points winner who also scored in a bumper at Killarney.  He is my fancy for the 12.25 at Leopardstown.  He is by the same sire as the great Florida Pearl.

  

Top the Charts is due to make his seasonal reappearance in the 2.00.  He was 2nd in the Ascot Stakes last flat season and looks well handicapped.  He is best on good ground.

  

There are 3 runners from our list to follow in the 2.35.  Glenfinn Captain has already won for us when making all to beat Khetaam in October and should be fully primed for this more demanding task.  Conna Castle has something to prove after falling when beaten last time out at Punchestown.  Last season’s Coral Cup winner Sky’s the Limit has not set the world alight over fences yet.  There could be more to come from this one and I wouldn’t rule him out.  Glenfinn Captain looked very good last time and is the selection.

  

Cuchulains Son, the ride of Katie Walsh, looks the right sort for the bumper  at 3.40.

  

Bye for now

 

Continue reading “Diary: Boxing Day”

The Oxen

The Oxen

Christmas Eve, and twelve of the clock,
"Now they are all on their knees,"
And elder said as we sat in a flock
By the embers in hearthside ease.

We pictured the meek mild creatures where
They dwelt in their strawy pen,
Nor did it occur to one of us there
To doubt they were kneeling then.

So fair a fancy few would weave
In these years! Yet, I feel,
If someone said on Christmas Eve,
"Come; see the oxen kneel

"In the lonely barton by yonder coomb
Our childhood used to know,"
I should go with him in the gloom,
Hoping it might be so.

Thomas Hardy

Continue reading “The Oxen”

Diary: December 23 2006

Saturday’s racing has an odd look about it with the 3 jumps meeting at the “gaffs.” 

  

Secret Ploy won 3 times in bumpers at top tracks and although he didn’t win over hurdles he was placed in top class company.  He will need to overcome an absence of 647 days in the 12.50 at Bangor.

  

Raslan was beaten into second place by Warne’s Way on his hurdles debut at Fomtwell.  He returns to the same track tomorrow in the 1.30.

  

Raslan is trained by David Pipe who saddles Classified in the 2.40. Classified was not far off the top as a hurdler and he won well over fences on his chase debut at Taunton recently.  Although he will be 11 in a few days he does not have many miles on the clock.  I would expect him to win this.

  

David Pipe also trains our only list horse running at Fontwell in the 3.40.  Nobody Tells Me was 6th behind Star de Mohaison at Cheltenham on his seasonal return.  I wondered if connections would send him over fences next but he stays over hurdles for the time being.  His main rivals are all trained by ladies.  Amanda Perrett trains Big Moment whose last run was when 6th in a big flat handicap at Windsor. Big Moment has plenty of weight but has a touch of class and the booking of Timmy Murphy is worth noting.  Big Moment is also a course and distance winner.

  

Fenix is trained by Lucy Wadham.  He only has 2 careers wins to his credit, one at this unusual track.  He has run well in decent handicaps many times though.  He won a couple of runs ago and as a result has gone up in the weights.  Border Castle was a winner on the flat for Sir Michael Stoute but is now with Venetia Williams.  He has done well over hurdles and won a Cheltenham handicap last time.  I will stick with Nobody Tells Me but this is a very competitive looking affair.

  

Opera De Coeur (Hereford 1.10) ran so badly when pulled up last time at Uttoxeter that I hope it was just too bad to be true and there was something amiss on the day. He was very ill last year and I just wonder if that may have had a lasting effect.  He likes soft and I am prepared to give him another chance. He is up against 3 decent ex hurdlers, Genghis, Trouble at Bay and Ursis.  Genghis was second on his chase debut and looks the big threat.

  

The card at Navan gets under way with the Santa Claus maiden hurdle at 12.15.  One horse to take away from this race may be Slash and Burn – Irish pundits reckon he is one for the future.

  

Have a great Christmas and I hope to see you again for my preview of the Boxing Day cards which will be online on Christmas Day.

 

Continue reading “Diary: December 23 2006”