Diary: October 20 2011

 

Taking tomorrow’s meetings in alphabetical order the first race I looked at was the Brighton 3.05. Sholaan has the ability to win a race like this but his ru last time cast doubts about his determination and on pedigree there is sufficient doubt about him staying a mile to make the 2/1 on offer a bit too skinny.

Sluggsy Morant has won a couple of races already this season and at around 8/1 would have an each way chance in the 5.10. Once again the 6/1 currently quoted doesn’t look value.

At Carlisle Horsham Lad is of interest in the 3.55. He is a point to point winner.

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The best race at Carlisle though is the 5.00 where 3 horses with decent hurdles form all make their chase debuts. Aikman has won 3 times over hurdles and looks an outstanding prospect for novice chases. He comes here in good form having won over hurdles at Kelso last month. There is perhaps a slight doubt about his jumping and the trip here is almost certainly sharper than ideal. Bold Sir Brian is an outstanding looking animal and won a Grade 2 hurdle at Kelso last season while Frascati Park won over hurdles twice including a race at Ascot where he beat the highly rated Sprinter Sacre.

They seem likely to go a decent clip, in this which could put pressure on Aikman’s jumping so at the prices I have a slight preference for Bold Sir Brian. They should all pay to follow over the course of the season though.

Charlie Longsden is a trainer in form at the moment and his Tatispout is one to watch in the 2.40.

Lastly I am hoping for a good run from Pineau de Re at Thurles in the 4.25.

Thanks to Emily Russell for today’s photo.

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