February 18 2011

 

I have been going through a decent spell lately and that continued today with a 33/1 winner in Merango Bay. Tomorrow’s racing looks difficult with a mixture of short priced favourites and nigh on impossible handicaps but we will see if we can dig out a winner or two.

Newbury stages the rescheduled Totesport Trophy where there are any number with chances. Salden Licht won at Exeter on New Year’s Day and the third that day, Hunterview has won well since, franking the form. Salden Licht has gone up 10 lbs in the rating since that win though. He is a course and distance winner and has to be on the short list. Bothy was runner up to Menorah in the Greatwood, albeit getting tons of weight. There is the suspicion that he has been aimed at this for a while. The ground (soft) should suit. Get me out of here, winner of the race last season is one that could leave his moderate form this season behind while Notus de la Tour would come into the picture on testing ground.

The 3 I like most are Rebel Dancer, Soldatino and Recession Proof. Rebel Dancer was runner up in the Gerry Fielden Hurdle over course and distance in November where he was beaten by the useful Tocca Ferro. The 5th horse that day has won since. Rebel Dancer seems to handle any ground and is on the upgrade. Soldatino comes from the all conquering Nicky Henderson stable and has very strong form having won the Triumph Hurdle last season. Recession Proof is lightly raced and has won 2 of his 3 starts over hurdles. He also has plenty of race experience from his days on the flat.

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The remainder of the Newbury card makes little appeal from a betting angle. What a Friend and French Opera should win their races as should Aiteen Thirtythree although Glenwood Knight and Tarablaze are no mugs.

At Sandown Megastar looks the likely winner of the 3.55 but the odds will be skinny.

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