Not a great day on the tipping front today but I did manage to tip Adagio who won the Craven Stakes pretty comfortably. He is being quoted at around 6/1 for the 2,000 Guineas.
I have not said a lot about the 2 year old races so far as I usual like to wait until May before taking a view on the form. There is an interesting runner in the 1.40 at Newbury tomorrow however. Harlech Castle is bred to win races as all 5 of his brothers and sisters have won, notably useful sprinter Eisteddfod and last years dual winner Tredegar. Of those 5 only one managed to win first time out though. The sire Royal Applause gets plenty of two year old winners who are often at home on quick ground. Whatever Harlech Castle does tomorrow he is one to keep a close eye on as you would expect him to land a race or two before the season is out.
There are a couple of runners from our list to follow in the 2.10. Princess Valerina has had the benefit of a run already this season when she was 5th at Kempton. She is entered in the 1,000 Guineas and is probably capable of better than she showed at Kempton. Escape Route is going to be my selection however. She showed an impressive turn of foot to take a Lingfield maiden last October and comes from an in form yard.
For the initiated Green Manalishi is named after an early hit single by Fleetwood Mac. He is a speedy individual who likes quick ground. He won the 2.40 last year and should go well again.
Getting back to the list to follow Medicine Path is the form pick in the 3.15. He was placed in Group 1 and 2 company lasts season and you would have to fancy him if he gets the trip. That is by no means certain on breeding but there is a fair bit of stamina on the dam’s side.
The 3.50 will be a race I will take a keen interest in as there are 4 runners from our list to follow. Tebee was slowly into her stride on her only start last season but ran on well when getting the hang of things. She was 5th that day at Lingfield and shaped with enough promise to suggest she can make a winning 3 year old. Composing stayed on well in a maiden at Salisbury on her only start as a juvenile to finish 3rd. Eternal Path is also a once raced filly having come 3rd at Newmarket. She is well bred and looks one to follow. Mirthful makes up the quartet. She was 7th on her only start at Newbury lasts season in a race that has produced numerous winners. A selection would be rather guesswork but if pushed I would go for Eternal Path.
In the 4.25 I will be watching Sister Act who is a full sister to classy miler Soviet Song.
River Thames was 3rd in Group company as a 2 year old and looks to have dropped to a fair mark. He makes his first appearance fro his new trainer Kevin Ryan in the 4.15 at Thirsk. This is a horse to follow this season I am sure.
Obstructive showed enough in 3 runs lasts season to suggest he can win a handicap. He has an each way chance in the Lingfield 5.15.
The dry spell has played havoc with the fields at the Ayr meeting and I don’t have too many ideas. Mill House Girl is an Irish raider in the 4.00. Mick Fitzgerald has been booked to ride and this one looks worth a close look.
Locksmith (4.35) deserves to get his head in front after form figures that read 3223 in his last 4 runs. Up against some decent rival here but should again give a good account.
See you tomorrow
ahorse 