I am writing my notes rather earlier than usual so I don’t know the evening results at this stage.
Of the horses featured on last nights preview old Further Outlook made it 4 in a row at Southwell. He came in at 7/1 too. I see that he was claimed by all weather specialist trainer Gay Kelleway – who is to say that Ms Kelleway won’t get even more wins out of the horse. If there is something to learn from this race it is be careful about tipping horses on a 23 run losing sequence! Still I wasn’t the only one interested in Danehill Stroller as he went of at 4/1 favourite. This was a claiming race and Further Outlook and Danehill Stroller were 2 of the 3 claimed, for £8,000 and £4,000 respectively.
Mick Channon is going well at present, his 3 year old Airbuss just got up to beat our list horse Safqa at Nottingham on Saturday. He saddled Silca Soprano to win the nursery at Southwell today, a 13/2 Russellform tip!
We have a few runners from the list to follow in action at Goodwood tomorrow. There are a couple in the 2.05, Pagan Sword and Coup D’Etat. In the last 9 years the winner with the lowest BHB rating ran off 93 and if that trend continues you can forget more than half the field, including our pair. Pagan Sword is 6lbs higher than his highest winning mark. Kerrin McEvoy rides and he has a good record on the horse, 3 wins form 4 rides. Coup D’Etat was a bit unlucky at Sandown last time and seems to be going the right way.
We also have 2 runners in the 2.40. Both are likely to start as outsiders but that shouldn’t necessarily deter us as 3 of the last 12 winners of this race have started at 12/1. Classic Punch would be a popular winner as he is a half brother to the late great Persian Punch. He seems unlikely to get the rain that he probably needs to show his best though. Jadalee might not fund this a sufficient test of stamina.
Connections of Iffraaj will be hoping the rain stays away for the 3.15. He seemed a winner waiting to happen when beaten a short head by in form Les Arcs 18 days ago and he is my best bet of the day.
There are a number of 2 year olds that have been featured in these pages in the 3.50 including two from Jeremy Noseda’s yard, Winning Spirit and Bahama Mama. Winning Spirit made all to win easily at Redcar on has last start. I was more impressed with Bahama Mama’s win at Sandown. She was caught in a pocket but still managed to come through with an impressive turn of foot.
Aiden O’Brien’s newcomer Brave Tin Soldier looks an interesting runner in the 5.00. He is particularly well bred.
Ordnance Row represents the list to follow in the 20 runner handicap at 5.35. He showed promise last season and made a belated seasonal reappearance at Ascot on Friday. He should strip fitter for that but his winning form is on soft ground.
We also have one runner at Beverley. Halla San was on my list last season and won a couple of races. He was with Lynda Ramsden them but is now trained by Richard Fahey. This is his second run of the season and I fancy he will go well.
Look out for a two year old called Miss Haversham could be said to have great expectations in the 2.55. Seriously though I feel this one does have possibilities longer term but the trainer has a poor record first time out.
I will be catching up with responses to e-mails over the next day or two.
ahorse 