Assuming Salisbury goes ahead there will be 4 runners from our list to follow on Thursday.
Tax Free is one of the more confident choices in this season’s list to follow. He has won 4 of his 5 career starts and could be a bit special. He may well win the 2.40 at Goodwood but it is possible that he will not handle soft ground as he was twice taken out of races last season when the ground was on the soft side.
We had a winner from Willie Haggas’s yard on Saturday and I am hoping that Edaara can oblige in the 4.20. She ran well enough when 2nd in a maiden at Newmarket on her first outing of the season but form figures of 322 are just starting to look a little worrying. I am also not really convinced about the trip as her pedigree suggests that this 9 furlongs might be getting towards the outer limits of her stamina. Still, I live in hope!
Trafalgar Square is probably one of the riskier “listers” but I feel that his form figures do not quite do him justice. He was finishing well last time out at Lingfield 12 days ago, but did not get a clear run. My concern with him is that both his wins have come over 7 furlongs, as opposed to the 8 he tackles in the 5.30.
I usually have a sprinkling of Sir Mark Prescott 3 year olds in my list to follow. So far this season the tactic has only yielded one winner but we have a qualifier in the Salisbury 8.15 with Liberate. He is very much the classic Prescott type having had 3 runs as a juvenile over inadequate trips but he was rather disappointing when only 4th on his handicap bow 12 days ago. He was favourite that day so presumably better was expected . Worth another chance.
So we have 4 listers, all with a chance but equally all with a question mark against them for one reason or another.
Aprt from those 4 I imagine that Dazed and Amazed will be hard to beat in the 6.15 at Salisbury but he will surely be long odds on. He made a bright start to his career when 3rd on his debut at the Wiltshire track.
Be lucky
ahorse 