Diary: January 20 2010

The best of the action in the UK tomorrow is at Newbury. The first race is at 1.00 where Braveheart Move has his second run over timber. A decent flat performer when trained by Sir Mark Prescott I had hopes that he would take to hurdling but his first run, at Kempton was very disappointing. I will take a watching brief with him for the moment.

You’re the Top and Copper Bleu look the pair most likely in the 1.30. You’re the Top has won 4 on the bounce but is yet to encounter really soft ground. Copper Bleu is proven on the ground and he get my vote.

There are 3 runners that interest me in the 2.05. Court In Motion is a half brother to Bensalem and was 3rd in a decent bumper (the winner has since won over hurdles) back in November. Praxiteles is another to consider. He is very well bred being by Sadler’s Wells out of a Darshaan mare. A winner on the flat at Lingfield he was a promising 4th on his hurdles debut at Ffos Las. He is ridden by AP McCoy which is another plus. This pair are respected but for my selection I am going with Wishfull Thinking, a horse I have always rated. A former winning Irish pointer he won well in soft ground on his hurdles debut in December at Hereford.

wild cane ridge haydock

In the 3.50 I thought about Miss Sarenne and Calusa Crystal but I don’t really have a strong view on the race.

Up at Newcastle I like the Don McCain trained Wymott in the 1.40. He won at Kelso last time hardly coming off the bridle and there should be more to come from him.

Today’s picture, courtesy of Sarah Clegg, is of the grey Wild Cane Ridge who runs up at Newcastle in the 2.15 and although not having shown much form recently will at least relish the testing ground.

Diary: January 17 2010

I had 3 winners today but all were odds on.

Tomorrow’s card at Ffos Las looks tricky. The beginners chase at 2.10 is particularly trappy and a case could be made for all 6 runners. I initially thought that Pennek would be worth a small interest but I understand that Alan King’s horses have been held up in their work and anyway stable jockey Choc Thornton has elected to ride King’s other runner Blazing Bailey.

David Pipe might have the answer to the 3.20 with Fred’s Benefit who should come on for his run at Cheltenham last month and will like the ground.

ffos las

In the bumper at 4.25 it might pay to side with Made in Time trained by Rebecca Curtis. AP McCoy has the ride for a stable that does well in this sphere.

Selections at Fairyhouse; 12.30 – Arvika Ligeonniere; 1.30 – Aran Concerto; 2.00 – Cousin Vinny;

Thurles 4.00 – Prince of Milan (ew).

My thanks to Patricia Luke for use of the photo of Ffos Las racecourse.

Diary: January 16 2010

There does seem at least a chance of some racing over the jumps tomorrow so here goes with the first preview for quite a while. From a betting point of view I would recommend a degree of caution as of course we can’t be certain of the level of fitness of the horses after their enforced lay off.

In the opener at Kempton Jonjo O’Neill gives a hurdles debut to Braveheart Move who won 3 times on the flat last season when trained by Sir Mark Prescott. Ex flat horses from the Prescott yard traditionally do well over timber with Inglis Drever being the best example. Tony McCoy has the ride and this 4 year old son of Cape Cross, sire of Sea the Stars, is clearly one to look out for.

The Nicky Henderson trained Mad Max lost his unbeaten record last season when eighth at the Cheltenham Festival in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle but he has always been a chaser in the making and he makes his debut over the larger obstacles in the 12.55 tomorrow. The stable often win with their novice chasers first time out but Mad Max is a real giant of a horse and may take some getting fit. The market should be a guide to his chances.

katy huntingdon

In the Lanzerote Hurdle at 2.45 Tasheba, a winner on heavy ground at Sandown last time, should give us a run for our money. Aachen and Gee Dee Nen are others with possibilities but I will burden Tasheba with my selection.

Aigle D’Or has been disappointing over fences so far having promised much on the basis of his hurdles form. I am prepared to give him another chance in the 3.15 where there are question marks against quite a few of his rivals.

Tazbar was no match for Long Run at Kempton but meets nothing of that calibre in the 1.20 at Huntingdon tomorrow and he looks the likely winner.

Luska Lad in the 2.20 is my best bet at Naas while in the 3.50 Prince of Milan can go well at a big price.

On the all weather at Lingfield there are only 4 runners in the 3.10 but they don’t lack for experience with a combined age of 32. Eisteddfod usually likes small fields and is not without a chance. There were excuses for his defeat over course and distance last time. On this occasion though I just prefer Atlantic Story who has won 5 times at the track with 3 of these over tomorrow’s distance.

Today’s picture is by kind permission of the artist Katy Sodeau.

Diary: January 13 2010

Well we still don’t have any jumps racing but it is good to see Southwell are staging an all bumper card tomorrow which will give jumps trainers a chance to run some of their horses.

Nicky Henderson sends a strong team to Southwell and looks the trainer to follow. All the Henderson runners look worth considering but I particularly like the look of Line Freedom in the 2.40. She was an impressive winner on her only previous start which was at Cheltenham last April.

 

Review of the flat 2009 – Part 4

Here are the next 10 of the horses that caught my eye during the 2009 turf season.

50 – Nanton. For number 50 in my list I have plumped for the remarkably versatile Nanton. His best run of the 2008 season came when he was runner up in the Cambridgeshire over 9 furlongs. In 2009 he proved that he stays a good deal further and he was rewarded for some consistent efforts in various big handicaps when beating Manyriverstocross in the competitive Mallard Stakes at Doncaster, a handicap over 15 and a half furlongs. There were also a string of excellent performances in defeat. He was 2nd in Redcar’s Zetland Gold Cup, 4th in the Royal Hunt Cup, runner up in a Heritage Handicap at Haydock, 4th in the Ebor and 3rd in the Cambridgeshire. Best suited by a strong gallop he invariable comes with a sustained late run and is at his best in multi runner handicaps.

49 – King of Wands proved a successful horse to follow with 3 wins from 5 starts. Named after the tarot card that focuses on finance and business John Dunlop’s 3 year old certainly rewarded his followers with 3 wins from 5 starts. His opening mark of 76 looked potentially lenient especially as he looked the type to benefit from a step up in trip as a 3 year old. His wins came in handicaps at Folkestone, Salisbury and Sandown. At Salisbury he beat the subsequent Ebor winner Darley Sun giving that rival weight. He also ran second to Penang Princess at Sandown.

48 – Glass Harmonium won a maiden at Yarmouth on his second start as a juvenile and was predicted to be one of Sir Michael Stoute’s better 3 year olds. In the event he probably didn’t quite live up to expectations finishing out of the frame in both the Craven Stakes and the Dante. He earned his place in this list though with a couple of creditable performances. His one win of the year came in the Hampton Court Stakes, a listed race at Ascot where he came in at 8/1. Arguably he put in an even better effort when runner up beaten a head in a Group 3 at Newmarket in mid October.

47 – Invisible Man, owned by John Gosden and running in the colours of Princess Haya of Jordan was a progressive 3 year old handicapper. He won 3 times all over a mile, a maiden at Newmarket, a handicap at the same track and a handicap at Pontefract. He was ridden by Robert Havlin each time.

46 – Spring of Fame was bought by Godolphin from former trainer Mikael Magnusson but failed to live up to expectations falling short of top class lacking a turn of foot. Dropped a little in class though he stayed on well to beat Cloudy Start in a class 2 conditions event at Newmarket. He also won a listed contest at Deauville.

Deauville_2

45 – Bab Al Salam confirmed the promise shown when winning his only start at two when winning 4 handicaps during the season. He won at Sandown over a mile off 81 and then over a mile and a quarter off 86 at Lingfield. He then defied a 5 lbs raise in the weights to complete the hat trick at Bath. He lost his unbeaten record when a disappointing 3rd at Newmarket but bounced back to form on his final outing with a fluent success at Kempton over 10 furlongs.

44 – Stoic – Jeremy Noseda’s colt Stoic missed the early part of the season with splint problems but after an encouraging return to action at Windsor won off a mark of 84 on his handicap debut at Sandown ridden by Tom Queally. He followed up with a win at HQ under Shane Kelly and made it 3 from 4 when dead heating with Penitent in a competitive mile handicap at Kempton. He looks an interesting prospect for mile handicaps next season.

43 – Saga De Tercey made his racecourse debut in a bumper at Huntingdon winning easily under the highly promising Rhys Flint. The sort of horse that trainer Alan Swinbank does so well with the 4 year old by Sagacity duly won his maiden on the flat when odds on at Musselburgh. A second at Carlisle in a ladies race was then followed by another success, this time at Catterick when he got back up having been headed inside the final furlong. Neil Callan was on board on this occasion in a 14 furlong handicap. A highly creditable second in a handicap at York was followed by another win this time at Thirsk where he was given a fine ride by Neil Callan and stayed on too strongly for his rivals. A disappointing 8th of 10 in the Cesarewitch trial at Newmarket on his final start he nonetheless deserves his place on the list with 3 wins and 2 seconds. –

42 – Roman Republic was a typical Mark Johnston 3 year old, tough and consistent. He was highly rated as a 2 year old being sent off a hot favourite on his racecourse bow. Although he ran poorly that day he made amends on his next run and in 2009 he won decent handicaps at Doncaster and Goodwood at the rewarding odds of 6/1 and 9/2. His final 2 starts of the season, both in Heritage handicaps saw the Cape Cross colt at his best. The form of his second to Firebet at Newmarket was boosted when the winner went on finish 2nd in the Group 3 Gordon Stakes. Roman Republic then landed the Summer Vase Handicap at Goodwood in gritty fashion, a race his trainer has an enviable record in.

41 – Your Old Pal seemed to surprise his own connection when winning his only run as a 2 year old on heavy ground at Newbury where he won by 6 lengths. In 2009 he won a 7 runner listed race at Newmarket by a head from Palavicini and was then a good 4 length 2nd to Father Time in the King Edward the Vll Stakes at Royal Ascot. He ran 4 times in all during the season and with his win coming at 13/2 he was a profitable horse to follow.

Picture by courtesy of the artist Karen Davis.

Diary: January 2 2010

 

I won’t spend too much time on the preview tonight as the prospects of racing at Sandown seen none too good.

Carole’s Legacy, Easter Legend and Jaunty Flight all look worth considering in the mare’s novice hurdles at 1.05.  Carole’s Legacy has been running over fences winning at Wincanton and Exeter.  She is a tough sort and couldn’t be ruled out here although really testing ground would not be in her favour.  Easter Legend is another with a taking attitude.  She won a handicap hurdle at Ascot in November on good ground. Jaunty Flight makes her season debut having been chasing last season.  She likes plenty of give in the ground and did win first time out last season. Assuming the ground is soft or worse Jaunty Flight is probably the percentage call. On better ground the other two would be preferred.

ClearOverTheLast

In their write up about the 2.05 the Racing Post say that there are question marks against a number of these. a comment I would have to concur with. In the circumstances I will look for some value.  The Vicar has possibilities. He handles give in the ground, has had a run which should have put him spot on and has AP McCoy in the saddle.  At an even bigger price Officier de Reserve formerly with Paul Nicholls but now trained by Venetia Williams looks on a fir mark as he is 3 lbs lighter than when 4th in last season’s Welsh National.

I quite like Ph Crick, a festival winner last season, in the 2.35 now that Alan King’s horses are running better than a few weeks back.  He has shown his best from on a decent surface however which is a slight worry although eh did win on heavy ground at Plumpton earlier in his career.

My selections for the final two races on the card are Oscar Whisky (3.10) and Qozak (3.40).

Today’s picture is courtesy of Margaret Barrett.