Diary: May 7 2007

It was a very busy weekend with mixed fortunes for the horses featured in my Friday evening preview.

  

On Saturday Flores Sea and Hearthstead Maison were winners for our list to follow while We’ll Come, Eastern Anthem and Finalmente were others to run with plenty of promise.

  

 I am not sure if Mark K is reading these notes but if so, well done to your brother for his write up on Cockney Rebel.

  

Sunday went well for our list horses.  Superseus, Sixties Icon, Finsceal Beo and Tax Free taking the first 4 races at Newmarket.  Sixties Icon quickened most impressively and looks set for a successful year.  The filly Finsceal Beo won with some ease and will be hard to beat against her own age and sex as the season unfolds.  I thought that Arch Swing ran a super race in second in the filly’s classic especially as she was rather marooned in the centre of the track.

  

It was a good weekend for north of the border trainer Len Lungo who had a win double with Kadount over hurdles and Monolith on the flat.   

  

There are 4 meetings on Bank Holiday Monday and I will start at Kempton where Lucarno looks the one to beat in the 3.30.  He was unfancied at 50/1 when runner up at Newbury but showed plenty of ability that day and can go one better here.

  

In the 4.00 I will be keeping an eye on Garden Party who is a half brother to Border Castle a winner on the flat and over hurdles.

  

Acheekyone could be the answer to the handicap at 4.30.  He was hampered when 6th in the Newbury Spring Cup and the form of that race has worked out well.  The winner, Pinpoint, was only just touched off by Superseus at HQ yesterday, while the 8th home, My Paris, was a winner on Saturday.

  

Up at Newcastle there are 2 representatives from our list to follow in the 4.35.  Feeling Wonderful was a winner in soft ground at Catterick last season so some rain would probably help his cause.  Tomorrow’s Dancer did not get a  clear run at Wolverhampton on his last outing and is better than the bare form figures suggest.

  Captain Jacksparra has not been out of the first 2 in his last 4 runs.  I am hoping that he will give our list to follow a winner in the 3.10 at Warwick.  

Mofarij is a half brother to the recently ertired Iffraaj, a winner of 3 Group 2s.  If Mofarij is that good then the 4.20 at Windsor should be within his compass.    

  

See you tomorrow  

    

Continue reading “Diary: May 7 2007”

Diary: May 5 & 6 2007

The focus over the weekend will be on the Guineas meeting at Newmarket and that is where I will start today’s jottings.

  

We’ll Come ran 3 times last season all at Newmarket.  He came to my attention as he was twice runner up to horses I was following, Tudor Prince and Tredegar.  He has since been gelded and looks the type to do well in handicaps this season.  He runs in the 2.10.  The concern could be his stamina over this trip but his brother won over a mile at 2 so fingers crossed.  Thunder Storm Cat of Paul Cole's could be the danger.

  

The Cheveley Park Stud filly Echelon has run consistently throughout her career and has won twice at Group 3 level.  The 9 furlongs of the 2.45 is probably about as far as she wants to go but she has won over the trip at Epsom and I would expect her to be involved at the business end of the race.

  

The 2,000 Guineas looks far from straightforward.  Adagio impressed when winning the Craven but that race has not been a great trial in recent years.  There is no denying that Adagio is a nice colt but may be more of a Derby sort.  I can see him running well though.  Dutch Art lost his unbeaten record in the Greenham at Newbury and may be more of a sprinter.

  

Al Shemali does not look good enough on the strength on his 4th behind Petara Bay.  Aiden O’Brien has two runners.  Duke of Marmalade looked a smart colt last season but suffered an injury on his 3rd and last start when chasing home Strategic Prince at Goodwood.  The trip and ground will not be a problem for him.  Eagle Mountain, who is by Rock of Gibraltar, won the Beresford Stakes at the Curragh last season but looks more of a stayer and may find things happening to fast for him.

  

Haatef won a maiden at The Curragh before stepping up markedly on that effort to finish 4th in the Dewhurst. There is plenty of speed in his pedigree and that raises possible doubts over his stamina.  Halicarnassus, trained by Mick Channon, was 3rd behind Major Cadeaux and Dutch Art in the Greenham and will like the fast ground.

  

Strategic Prince was 3rd in the Dewhurst last season behind Holy Roman Emperor and Teofilo.  Neither of those rivals reopposes today and Strategic Prince will be more at home of the fast ground.  He gets my selection in an open looking renewal.

  

If the Guineas was tough to solve the sprint handicap at 4.00 is a real puzzle.  I started with a short (ish) list and tried to whittle it down.  Mecca’s Mate might fund the ground a bit quick while although Firenze is respected the lack of a recent run is a negative.  Dark Missile is another that may need the run and is also possibly better in small fields, while Fullandby would prefer easier ground.  I am going to take a chance with Indian Trail who won this race in 2005. He si not the most consistent but has had a recent run when apprentice ridden but I see that Richard Hughes is booked tomorrow. Another that could run well at a big price is Bentong who broke the track record at Salisbury last season.

  

In the 4.35 I like the look of the Godolphin runner Eastern Anthem.  He won a mile maiden at Nottingham and looks the sort to improve with time.

  

Mark Johnston has two runners in the 5.10, including Hearthstead Maison, one of our horses to follow.  This race is over 10 furlongs and I have a feeling that this one will come into his own later in the season over a longer trip.

  

Finalmente is aptly named in the 5.45, the last race on the card, as it means finally in Italian. Frankie Dettori has the ride keeping up the Italian connection.  Finalmente is a progressive sort who won 3 times last season and could well be better than handicap class.  This trip might be on the short side for him though.

  

Secret Ploy is an interesting runner in the 2.25.  The 7 year old makes his flat debut.  He has some very decent bumper form and ridden by a capable claimer he could well eb good enough if he handles the fast ground.

  

Danzig River does not win too often and may not be the most genuine.  He was well ridden by claimer Adele Rothery when winning last week at Leicester.  The combination look to follow up in the 4.40 at Thirsk.

  

A winner at Pontefract last season, the American bred Flores Sea should have another win or two in him.  He runs in the 5.15.

  

River Thames made a pleasing return when 4th at Thirsk recently and he looks well handicapped in the Goodwood 3.05.  The 10 year old course and distance winner Smokin’ Beau could be the danger.

  

The unraced Destour is well bred and looks one to watch in the 4.50.

  

Before moving on to Sunday I want to give a mention to a couple of Luca Cumani’s handicappers that could be worth keeping an eye on this season.  Futun (Newmarket 5.45) and Minority Report (Thirsk 3.00).

  

On Sunday Pinpoint heads the weights in the 1.45 having won the Newbury       Spring Cup. The runner up that day, Royal Oath has a 3 lbs pull in the weights. I have kept Superseus on my list to follow for another year after he served me well last season.  He might just find the ground a bit too lively unless we get some rain.  I think the finish may concern Pinpoint and Royal Oath again.

  

St Leger winner Sixties Icon makes his seasonal bow in the Jockey Club Stakes at 2.30.  With slight fitness and going doubts I would keep a watching brief on Sixties Icon.

  

Finsceal Beo apparently means living legend in gaelic and the filly seeks to grab a slice of immortality in the 1,000 Guineas.  She has the best form on show and is my selection.  Sander Camillo was a bit disappointing when beaten on her return to action in the Nell Gwyn and the main danger may come from Arch Swing.  The other one from our list to follow is Princess Valerina but she has disappointed in her 2 runs this season.

  

Tax Free already has a win under his belt and will take some stopping in the Palace House Stakes at 3.45.  He is just preferred to Presto Shinko who is better over 6 furlongs.

  

Dance of Light showed promise when 5th on her debut last season in a maiden against colts. She runs in the 4.55 where she is bred to appreciate the 10 furlongs.

  

I will be interested to see how Peppertree gets on in the 4.40 at Salisbury. Although a 4 year old she has very few miles on the clock and is the type her trainer does well with.

  

Monolith stays longer than the mother in law and was a winner of the Pontefract Cup last season.  He may find the trip a bit of the short side in thye 3.55 at Hamilton.  One of his rivals Balyan won the Ladies Derby at The Curragh in 2004 if you are interested – well he still won even if you aren’t interested.  The race is named after Collier Hill.

  

Our old friend Seafield Towers makes his reappearance after an absence of 634 days in the Hamilton 5.40. He wins but rarely but he ahs won at 20/1 and 33/1 so you never know.

  

I know some of my readers follow Million Percent.  He runs in the 5.15 at Salisbury.  His last 5 wins have come on the all weather though.

  

I will be back on Sunday evening.  Hope you back a winner or two.

 

Continue reading “Diary: May 5 & 6 2007”

Diary: May 4 2007

Thgere are two meetings on the flat tomorrow.  I will start with Lingfield where I have a couple of interests in the 3.30.  I decided to retain Zidane on my list to follow for another season after he won twice last term. He makes his AW debut here and also tackles 7 furlongs for only the second time, having been well beaten on the other occasion.He has plenty of class though and I shouldn’t think the trip will be a problem.  Eistedfodd has already won on the AW this season and should be in the shake up.  This looks a very open contest indeed and probably best watched.

 

 

Mia’s Boy is apparently well regarded by connections and will be expected to win the 5.30.  He was 6th in a pretty hot maiden on his only start as a juvenile.

  

Terentia is very quick over the minimum trip and registered 3 wins over last season.  She is a tough sort and should go well in the 3.50 where she gets weight from her 7 rivals.  She certainly has each way claims.

 

 

That is all for tonight but don’t forget to tune in tomorrow evening when I will be taking a look at the first of the English classics.

 

Continue reading “Diary: May 4 2007”

Diary: May 3 2007

I fancied Cesare to win at Ascot today and he didn’t disappoint.  He won the Hunt Cup there last year and has always been something of a favourite of mine.

  

Elsewhere Raccoon broke a 25 run losing sequence in the sprint handicap at Nottingham. Interestingly Seb Sanders rode him and the horse’s form figures with Sanders on board now read 131.  Food for thought perchance?

  

Looking ahead to tomorrow, Coup D’Etat is on a 13 race losing run coming into the 5.30 at Folkestone. He has slipped down the weights and looks well handicapped now.  He could be interesting this season.

  The lightly raced Count Ceprano was 4th at Windsor 10 days ago.  That should have put him right and he looks fairly treated off a mark of 84 in the 8.35 at Wolverhampton.  

Take care.

 

Continue reading “Diary: May 3 2007”

Diary: May 2 2007

The only runner featured yesterday was beaten into second place.

  

I only have time for a very short update tonight, but normal service will be resumed tomorrow.

  

There are two runners from our list to follow in the Ascot 3.20, Dunelight and Illustrious Blue.  Neither can be ruled out but I think that Cesare will be difficult to beat.

  

Hawridge Prince has won all 3 starts over 2 miles so must have a chance in the 3.55 as long as he handles the fast ground.

 

Continue reading “Diary: May 2 2007”

Diary: April 29 2007

The jumps season ended with 2 excellent performances from horses on our list to follow.  Dempsey made all in the Celebration Chase and outclassed his rivals while Reveillez lost nothing in defeat when filling the runner up spot behind the remarkable Hot Weld in the “Whitbread.”

  

There were also a few winners from the list on the flat.  For the record they were Forroger, Regime, Tetouan and Dylan Thomas.

  

I was pleased to see old New Seeker win at Leicester after I had given him a positive write up and two other horses that were featured in my preview, Raucous and Halla San were the first two home in the stayers handicap at Ripon.

  

Peppertree Lane recorded his 6th career win in the last race on the card at Ripon. This was his first win on fast ground but I would be wary of supporting him on that sort of surface in a stronger race in the future.

  

There are plenty of meetings tomorrow but not a lot of quality.

  

In the 7.10 at Windsor Linda Green is worth a close look. She likes Windsor but her wide draw would be a bit of a negative.

  

The only runner from our list to follow is Dig Deep in the 3.30 at Wolverhampton.  His form figures at the track read 112 so he has to have a chance.  One of his rivals will be Desert Opal.  I was annoyed at missing this one’s last run when he won at 18/1.  He had conditions bang in his favour that day so that certainly represents a missed opportunity.  That win came at Nottingham in a fast time from an unfavourable draw.  He has gone up 9 lbs for that success but is another with a good record at Wolverhampton having won there 6 times.

  

Bye for now.

 

Continue reading “Diary: April 29 2007”

Diary: April 28 2007

Race of the day today was definitely the valuable hurdle race that opened the card at Sandown.  Neither Penzance nor Arcalis came to the race in much form but they were involved in a thrilling finish.  The camera couldn’t separate them and the result was a dead heat. They were both winners at the 2005 Cheltenham Festival with Penzance taking the Triumph Hurdle and Arcalis the Supreme Novices.

  

Tomorrow is the final day of the 2006/7 jumps season and Sandown stages a top class mixed meeting.

  

The first runner from our list to follow is Midas Way in the 2.10.  I thought he would win over hurdles this season based on his old flat form but after a couple of promising placed efforts his form has rather tailed off. 

  

The two races that follow are both top class steeplechases.

  

In the Celebration Chase at 2.40 Dempsey is the obvious form pick.  His 2nd to Voy Por Ustedes in the Champion Chase was an excellent run and added to that Dempsey has an excellent record at Sandown where his form figures read 112U1.  The other one that I would consider is Yes Sir who came back to form at Ayr last week making all and running his rivals ragged.  He will certainly love the ground and won over hurdles on his only previous visit to Sandown.

  The Betfred Gold Cup at 3.20 is one of the most famous steeolechases on the calendar. Reveillez and Alderburn are my fancies here. Both are progressive, well handicapped and act on the ground.  

The action switches to the flat for the Classic Trial at 4.25. Al Tharib showed promise as a 2 year old finishing 3rd in both his runs.  His sire was 3rd in the Derby and Al Tharib should be suited to the 10 furlong trip.  Petara Bay is already a winner this season scoring a battling win at Newmarket earlier this month. Asperity comes from an in form stable and did little wrong last season.  After being narrowly beaten by the experienced Duke of Tuscany on his debut he then ran out an easy winner at Newmarket.  Regime ran 4 times last season with his best run coming when runner up at The Curragh from a bad draw.  Tough one to call but I will make Asperity my selection.

  

The 4.55 looks a tricky handicap.  Bailieborough would be my cautious each way selection.

  

At Haydock tomorrow evening I am interested in a couple of runners in the 7.15.  Forroger was a winner at Newmarket last season and look to be on a winnable mark.  I am not sure that the ground will be right for him though as he likes it soft. Manipulate is my selection.  He had 3 runs last season and can be expected to improve considerably on his efforts so far.  His trainer does well with this type of horse.

  

Rhaam was 6th of 13 in a decent Newmarket maiden 10 days ago and will strip fitter for that run.  He runs in the 8.15. 

  

Michael Bell saddles Gull Wing in the 3.30 at Leicester. Gull Wing won the last of her 3 runs last season at Wolverhampton.  She looks the type to improve at 3.  Hayley Turner rides.

  

In the 4.05 New Seeker will have the fast ground he loves.  He goes well fresh and as he stays 8 furlongs hopefully the stiff finish at Leicester over 4 furlongs will not inconvenience him.

  

I am interested in Wing Express in the 5.05. He is a half brother to 6 winners and the same trainer jockey combination won this race 2 years ago with Futun.

  

Tetouan went on my list to follow for two reasons.  His promising 2nd at Lingfield in March and his pedigree.  He is a half brother to Pongee and is also related to Alexandrova.  He was a disappointing beaten favourite on his last run but I am not giving up on his just yet.  He runs in the 5.35 where the step up to a mile may help. The other runner from our list to follow in this race is Feeling Wonderful. She won her only start last season in the mud at Catterick and, as the saying goes, could be anything. 

  

The oddly named Osteopathic Remedy represents our list to follow in the Ripon 2.30. He won first time out last season at Ayr and was not disgraced when 4th at York next time when he was noted doing his best work at the finish.   

  

There are some old friends in the 3.40.  Dr Sharp would need rain but in form Halla San must be respected but his stamina might be suspect.  Raucous is a very lightly raced type who won a maiden here over 12 furlongs last season.  He may well stay this sort of trip judged on his pedigree.  The horses from our current list to follow in this race are Bollin Derek and Macorville.  The trip will not be a problem for Bollin Derek but he would probably appreciate some rain.  The dour stayer Macorville is another that would be more at home in soft ground.

  

That is all for tonight.  I will be back on Sunday evening.

   

Continue reading “Diary: April 28 2007”

Diary: April 28 2007

Race of the day today was definitely the valuable hurdle race that opened the card at Sandown.  Neither Penzance nor Arcalis came to the race in much form but they were involved in a thrilling finish.  The camera couldn’t separate them and the result was a dead heat. They were both winners at the 2005 Cheltenham Festival with Penzance taking the Triumph Hurdle and Arcalis the Supreme Novices.

  

Tomorrow is the final day of the 2006/7 jumps season and Sandown stages a top class mixed meeting.

  

The first runner from our list to follow is Midas Way in the 2.10.  I thought he would win over hurdles this season based on his old flat form but after a couple of promising placed efforts his form has rather tailed off. 

  

The two races that follow are both top class steeplechases.

  

In the Celebration Chase at 2.40 Dempsey is the obvious form pick.  His 2nd to Voy Por Ustedes in the Champion Chase was an excellent run and added to that Dempsey has an fine record at Sandown where his form figures read 112U1.  The other one that I would consider is Yes Sir who came back to form at Ayr last week making all and running his rivals ragged.  He will certainly love the ground and won over hurdles on his only previous visit to Sandown.

  

The Betfred Gold Cup at 3.20 is one of the most famous steeplechases on the calendar. Reveillez and Alderburn are my fancies here. Both are progressive, well handicapped and act on the ground.

  The action switches to the flat for the Classic Trial at 4.25. Al Tharib showed promise as a 2 year old finishing 3rd in both his runs.  His sire was 3rd in the Derby and Al Tharib should be suited to the 10 furlong trip.  Petara Bay is already a winner this season scoring a battling win at Newmarket earlier this month. Asperity comes from an in form stable and did little wrong last season.  After being narrowly beaten by the experienced Duke of Tuscany on his debut he then ran out an easy winner at Newmarket.  Regime ran 4 times last season with his best effort coming when runner up at The Curragh from a bad draw.  Tough one to call but I will make Asperity my selection.  

The 4.55 looks a tricky handicap.  Bailieborough would be my cautious each way selection.

  

At Haydock tomorrow evening I am interested in a couple of runners in the 7.15.  Forroger was a winner at Newmarket last season and look to be on a winnable mark.  I am not sure that the ground will be right for him though as he likes it soft. Manipulate is my selection.  He had 3 runs last season and can be expected to improve considerably on his efforts so far.  His trainer does well with this type of horse.

  

Rhaam was 6th of 13 in a decent Newmarket maiden 10 days ago and will strip fitter for that run.  He runs in the 8.15. 

  

Michael Bell saddles Gull Wing in the 3.30 at Leicester. Gull Wing won the last of her 3 runs last season at Wolverhampton.  She looks the type to improve at 3.  Hayley Turner rides.

  

In the 4.05 New Seeker will have the fast ground he loves.  He goes well fresh and as he stays 8 furlongs hopefully the stiff finish at Leicester over 4 furlongs will not inconvenience him.

  

I am interested in Wing Express in the 5.05. He is a half brother to 6 winners and the same trainer jockey combination won this race 2 years ago with Futun.

  

Tetouan went on my list to follow for two reasons.  His promising 2nd at Lingfield in March and his pedigree.  He is a half brother to Pongee and is also related to Alexandrova.  He was a disappointing beaten favourite on his last run but I am not giving up on his just yet.  He runs in the 5.35 where the step up to a mile may help.

  

The oddly named Osteopathic Remedy represents our list to follow in the Ripon 2.30. He won first time out last season at Ayr and was not disgraced when 4th at York next time when he was noted doing his best work at the finish.   

  

There are some old friends in the 3.40.  Dr Sharp would need rain but in form Halla San must be respected although his stamina might be suspect.  Raucous is a very lightly raced type who won a maiden here over 12 furlongs last season.  He may well stay this sort of trip judged on his pedigree.  The horses from our current list to follow in this race are Bollin Derek and Macorville.  The trip will not be a problem for Bollin Derek but he would probably appreciate some rain.  The dour stayer Macorville is another that would be more at home in soft ground.

  

That is all for tonight.  I will be back on Sunday evening.

   

Continue reading “Diary: April 28 2007”