Diary: November 17 2009

 

Last night’s preview yielded a couple of odds on winners and a 10/1 second so not too bad.

The meeting at Folkestone tomorrow looks quite interesting and there are a couple of horses that I have been waiting for in the 1.10. Rigadin de Beauchene is a half brother to a Welsh National winner and will probably need further than this trip in time. He showed enough in his couple of runs in bumpers to suggest there is more to come and he is one to keep an eye on. For this race though I prefer Aegean Dawn, another well related individual who impressed many good judges when winning a bumper at Kempton in February.

I also considered Vodka Brook (1.40) and Nikos Extra (2.40) although neither would want the ground too testing.

Diary: November 16 2009

 

There are jumps meetings at Leicester, Plumpton and Cork tomorrow. At Leicester I will put up Devon Native as a “sporting” bet. A winner at Southwell in the summer a recent run at Uttoxeter should put her spot.

There are a couple of interesting runners in the Plumpton 1.50. Coin of the Realm won on the flat at Epsom in the summer. On his previous efforts over hurdles he has raced a little too keenly but if he settles he should go close. The Betchworth Kid makes his hurdles debut. Rated over 100 on the flat he was 3rd in the Goodwood Cup this year and if he can jump he will be a very useful recruit to the winter game.

hurdlers_race_plumpton

In the 2.20 Bensalem makes his eagerly awaited chase bow for trainer Alan King. His only defeat over hurdles last season came at the hands of Diamond Harry in a Grade 2 and he looks just the sort to make a chaser. Den of Iniquity is another runner to look out for in this race. He has always appealed as a chaser in the making.

Luska Lad was 3rd in a hot race at Down Royal the other week. He looks to have an easier task in the 1.30 at Cork tomorrow and is the selection.

Today’s picture is courtesy of Katy Sodeau.

Diary; November 15 2009

Winners, winners, winners!!!

Last night’s preview yielded 5 winning tips plus Jurisdiction, advised each way, which was third at 10/1. For the record the winning quartet was; Pistolet Noir (7/2), Pettifour (8/11), Tranquil Sea (11/2), Lie Forrit (11/4) and Quel Esprit (4/9).

The first couple of races at Cheltenham tomorrow will be informative but are not really betting propositions. Tataniano was most impressive when winning at Exeter and looks a really nice prospect. A clear round will surely see him home in the 1.10.

Master Minded makes his reappearance in the 1.45 where his only serious danger, and that could be a considerable danger, will be Well Chief. Well Chief is better off at the weights than when runner up to Master Minded in the Champion Hurdle and in theory should come close to reversing the form. I have a gut feeling that Master Minded will come out on top again – but I wouldn’t put money on it.

The Greatwood Hurdle at 2.20 is a much more competitive affair. James De Vasy comes into the race in good heart having won well at Chepstow last month. Although he has gone up in the weights as a result of his win he stays and handles soft ground so he is definitely one for any short list. Philip Hobbs has won this race in the past with both Rooster Booster and Detroit City and is represented by Cockney Trucker this time. He was 3rd in the County Hurdle over course and distance and runs off the same mark here. That puts him in with a very good chance if he handles the ground OK. Medermit was only beaten a neck in the Supreme Novices over course and distance and handles cut in the ground. He has top weight but 3 recent winners of the race have carried 11 stone 10 to victory. Ronald Des Mottes won twice over hurdles last season and has won on soft and heavy ground so must come onto the equation. Northern challenger Issaquah is another to consider but my two against the field would be Cockney Trucker and Medermit.

Detroit City

I don’t have a strong view on the 2.55. I see Great Endeavour, third behind Lie Forrit this afternoon, is down to run but must be a doubt after his efforts today. If David Pipe does turn him out again I suppose that would be a tip in itself.

Reve De Sivola won the Persian War Novice Hurdle at Chepstow and could well follow up in the 3.30 a race that the stable won last season with Diamond Harry. Reve De Sivola handles soft ground, has run well at Cheltenham before and his stable are going well. Bobby Ewing could be the danger. An Irish points winner he won at the first time of asking over hurdles at Uttoxeter. He is yet to encounter soft ground. Ballyoliver may be better than his bare form suggests and could run into a place at a silly price. Lastly at Cheltenham Lidar is my selection in the 4.00.

At Market Rasen Sir Boreus Hawk looks worth an each way interest in the 1.35.

At Punchestown Sizing Europe should be able to continue his progress over fences in the 1.05 although the ground would be a slight concern. A small saver on China Rock is recommended.

In the 2.05 Venalmar and Lenabane look the pair to concentrate on. Clan Tara was only beaten a head by the highly rated Pandorama on his chase bow last month and can go one better in the 12.35.

Hurricane Fly and Solwhit clash in the 2.40. This is an intriguing race and will give us an indication of just how good Hurricane Fly is. A race to watch rather than bet on.

The picture of Detroit City is by kind permission of the artist Emily Russell.

Diary: November 14 2009

My selection in the 12.50 at Cheltenham tomorrow is Pistolet Noir, trained by Nick Williams. He made a pleasing debut at Chepstow where he was third behind Olofi. This pair meet again tomorrow but I just feel that Pistolet Noir may have the greater scope for improvement and I am hoping that he will reverse the form.

There is a disappointing turnout of only 3 runners for the 1.20 and it may turn into a tactical affair. Toby Jug abd Kanpai both have winning form over fences but I am going to take a chance with the chasing debutant Pettifour. A classy hurdler he is built to do well over the larger obstacles and his stable traditionally do well at this time of year

Maljimar was only run out of it close home in the William Hill Trophy by the ill fated Wichita Lineman last season and he is one of my fancies for the 1.55. He probably wouldn’t want the ground too soft. One that won’t mind soft ground is the dour stayer Russian Trigger ho won a couple of long distance handicaps last season including the Midlands National.

Our Vic (pictured below) carries top weight in the Paddy Power Gold Cup at 2.35. He has been a grant servant to the Pipe team and has won plenty of prize money. He won this race in 2005 but at the age of 11 there may be younger challengers that make more appeal.

our vic

Paul Nicholls has 3 fancied runners. Ruby Walsh has elected to ride Poquelin but there may be a doubt about the horse’s ability to handle the ground if it gets really testing. Tatenen won’t mind the mud. He started last season brightly but in the end rather under achieved. He stays well though and the trip should suit him. Chapoturgeon won the Jewson at the Festival last season but has gone up in the weights as a result. I would be hopeful that he will run a big race.

Tartak was a progressive horse last season but ran poorly on his reappearance at Aintree. Ballyfitz and According to Pete are others to consider but I will take a chance with Tranquil Sea, a horse I have always liked. He does not have a good record at Cheltenham and the Irish have not won this race for some years but he could be on a good mark and he has plenty of ability.

chelt1

In the 3.10 I like the chances of the lightly raced Lie Forrit whom was probably unlucky when unseating on his last start at Aintree. Soft ground will suit him. Great Endeavour did well for David Poipe last season winning 3 times over hurdles. He may be going chasing later in the season but in the meantime he comes into this race with a decent chance. Andytown in the other one that gets on to my short list. He clearly likes Cheltenham and is yet to taste defeat there. He has gone up a fair way in the weights but has the benefit of AP McCoy in the saddle and cannot be written off. Lie Forrit is the selection though.

Moving on to Uttoxeter I have a short list of 3 for the 1.05. Sullumo and Midnight Chase are respected but I will take a chance with Vamizi who ran 4th to the useful Bensalem over hurdles a year ago at Chepstow. My only selection at Wetherby is Jurisdiction each way in the 3.55.

At Punchestown rising star Dunduib should win the 1.50 but will hardly be a betting proposition. The 3.30 looks to be between Quel Esprit and Hugo de Vindecy with a slight preference for the former.

Today’s pictures are courtesy of the artist Lisa Miller.

Diary: November 13 2009

Neither of the selections from last night’s preview actually ran so at least we had no losers!

The 3 day Cheltenham meeting starts tomorrow and I will concentrate mainly on that. The day kicks off with an amateur riders handicap chase at 1.15. Hoopy won the race last year and although he has gone up in the weights since then I am hopeful that he will run a big race again. He is ridden by one of the best amateurs around and he has had a recent run over hurdles so should be fit.

The 1.50 looks tricky with a couple of decent Irish challengers plus a promising Paul Nicholls runner. Some Present was runner up in the Champion bumper at Cheltenham in the spring and has since won over hurdles at Punchestown. He was subsequently beaten in a falsely run race and that run can probably be ignored. Loosen My Load won bumpers at Cork and Galway, the latter a particularly competitive event beating The Jigsaw Man. He then won over hurdles at Listowel before being beaten into 2nd spot in a Grade 3 race at Tipperary. A big chasing type he may want further than 2 miles in time. Tito Bustillo won twice on the flat in France before joining Paul Nicholls, one of those wins coming in a valuable handicap at Longchamp. He got off the mark in good style over hurdles at Chepstow. Not an easy one to call but Some Present sets a fair standard and he will do for me.

I do not have a particularly strong view on the 2.25. Ferdy Murphy has his horses running well and he has Beggars Cap in this, a horse who needs good ground to be seen at his best. If conditions are in his favour he would be my tentative suggestion.

Garde Champetre and Silver Birch (pictured below) finished first and second in the La Touche Cup at Punchestown in April. I fancy Garde Champetre to confirm the form in the 3.00 tomorrow particularly as he has the benefit of a recent run.

silver_birch

My short list for the 4.05 consists of Little Josh and Knockara Beau. I will let my readers decide between them.

I have a couple of selections at Newcastle. 12.25 Premier Sagas and 12.55 Lord Larsson. The former was one of the better bumper horses in the north last season. Lord Larsson was a consistent performer over hurdles last season but unseated his rider early on when making his chase debut at Bangor. He looks a chasing type and hopefully will give us a run for our money.

Bye for now

The picture of Silver Birch is by courtesy of the artist Sarah Aspinall.

Diary: November 12 2009

It was not a good day for champion trainer Paul Nicholls who had several well fancied runners beaten. The valuable steeplechase at Bangor went to Martin Todhunter’s That’s Rhythm who looks on the upgrade and can take a hand in some of the better staying chases in the north this season. Other horses to note from this race were Skipper’s Brig who ran very well in third and is one to follow in really deep ground during the winter and Nicto de Beauchene in 4th. The latter’s jumping has improved greatly over the last 12 months or so.

Hurdlers

Australia Day was made favourite at Kempton last month but slipped on landing at the first. He is worth another chance in the 2.40 at Taunton tomorrow. In the 12.55 at Clonmel my selection is Fionnegas. A dual bumper winner he then went on to open his account over hurdles at Ballinrobe. He has done nothing wrong thus far in his career and looks one to follow.

Today’s picture is by courtesy of the artist Karen Davies.

Diary: November 11 2009

Paul Nicholls is already sending out a steady stream of winners and he has a number of well fancied horses in action tomorrow. Massasoit was a winner over hurdles at Aintree last October before disappointing in a couple of subsequent efforts. He has since had a breathing operation and is not one to dismiss lightly in the 1.10 at Bangor tomorrow. I am going to oppose him though with Comhla Ri Coig who won twice over hurdles last season before finishing runner up in a Grade 1 event at Aintree.

Paul Nicholls can supply the winner in the 1.40 with Free World. This 5 year old showed plenty of ability last season but tended to weaken t the end of his races. He should have strengthened up over the summer and hopefully will be able to get his head in front more often.

ClearOverTheLast

Skipper’s Brig has recorded 6 wins in his career all on heavy ground. If the conditions at Bangor are really testing he will take some beating in the 2.10. Another to look out for in this race is That’s Rhythm who was going well in the Scottish National last season when he fell.

High Jack won a couple of times over fences last season before injuring himself at Ascot. He does not look on a bad mark and will have come on for his recent outing at Uttoxeter. With his trainer in good form he is the selection in the Warwick 1.20.

The ex French Recif de Thaix won a bumper at Sandown last season. Paul Nicholls sends him straight over fences in the Warwick 2.20. Clearly a horse well thought of by connections he looks one to follow.

Today’s picture is by kind permission of the artist Margaret Barrett.

Diary: November 10 2009

Two selection and two winners from last night’s preview!

There are 3 jumps meeting tomorrow and I will start down at Exeter where Paul Nicholls has a fancied runner in the novice chase at 2.40. Inchidaly Rock won 3 point to points in Ireland before joining the Ditcheat trainer and last season won twice over hurdles. He looks a very interesting recruit to steeplechasing and is the selection. Another horse to note in this race is Giles Cross who has winning form over hurdles and looks the type to make a chaser.

Copper Bleu who was 4th in the Supreme Novices Hurdle at Cheltenham last season makes his chase debut in the 3.10. He is another former Irish points winner and I fancy him to win on his chase bow. The main danger may come from Captain Americo who won twice over hurdles last season and is another that should make up into a decent chaser although the trip tomorrow may just be on the sharp side for him.

Ludlow

Andy Turnell trains Captain Americo and he also runs Best Oscar who is my idea of the likely winner of the novice hurdle at 4.10. An impressive winner of an Irish point to point he should jump a fence in time but he can win over hurdles this season.

At Lingfield Chilli Rose has the best form on show in the bumper at 4.00. 6th in the mare’s bumper at Aintree this mare is very well regarded by her trainer and should win. Nothing really appeals to me on the Sedgefield card.

Good luck

Diary: November 9 2009

 

Money Trix has been a difficult horse to keep sound but has plenty of ability. He returns in the 1.55 at Carlisle. He is not well in at the weights but he had gone well fresh in the past, will like the ground and may have some improvement in him.

katy 4

Over at Limerick I am interested in the Edward O’Grady trained Pesoto. The form of his second to Joncol last December reads well and the stable are in form.

Today’s picture is by kind permission of the artist Katy Sodeau (see links).

Diary: November 8 2009

 

Selections for Sunday;

Market Rasen 1.20 Mille Chief

Market Rasen 2.55 Bench Warrent

Hereford 3.05 Ballyoliver

Hereford 3.55 The Jigsaw Man

ruth harris1

Navan 3.30 Catch Me

Limerick 3.10 Askthemaster

Navan 3.00 Osana (danger Roberta Goldback)

Limerick 3.45 Weapon’s Amnesty

Navan 12.55 Noble Prince

Picture courtesy of the artist Ruth S Harris