Diary: November 9 2007

There is much to write about from the last few days now that I have my PC working again!

 

I will start with last Saturday where the highlight in Ireland was the James Nicholson Chase at Down Royal.  There was a strong British challenge from Taranis and The Listener, while the home team was represented by Justified and the former Hennessey winner Strong Flow.

 

In the event The Listener was an early faller and Ruby Walsh decided to try and make all on Taranis, a tactic he would not have employed by choice.  Paul Nicholls runner got the job done however beating Justified in workmanlike fashion.

 

Apart from Taranis, Knockavilla provided a second winner for our list to follow.  Trained by Howard Johnson he followed up wins in a point to point and a bumper with a successful debut over hurdles at Wetherby.  It was not all plain sailing for our list horses though. The last race on the card looked a penalty kick for David Pipe’s mare Gaspara but although she started at 1/2 she was turned over by Annie’s Answer, who did well for this column last season.

 

I tipped Aces Four for the Charlie Hall Chase but with the benefit of hindsight he was always likely to need the run.  He travelled and jumped well but went out like a light when things got serious.  He should be seen to better effect next time.

 

There were a couple of winners from our list on Sunday.  First Marleybow, a bumper winner, won on his hurdles debut for Howard Johnson, in similar fashion to Knockavilla the day before.  Berwick Law made headway from the back to finish 4th and looks one to take out of the race for the future.  Only 3 lined up for the intermediate chase that followed but the winner was hard to pick for much of the race until eventually L’Antartique imposed his authority on proceedings.

 

Former jockey Brendan Powell trains at Lambourn these days and he sent out Shoreacres to win the bumper at Plumpton under Mick Fitzgerald.  It was a weak race but the winner clearly has some ability and I will monitor his progress with interest.

 

The big race on Tuesday was the Haldon Gold Cup at Exeter, a race best remembered in recent years for the day Best Mate sadly died during the race.  The dry weather probably led to a below par field for this year’s renewal but despite that the winner looks one to follow.  Pablo De Charmil has notched up a hat trick for David Pipe last season and won this quite impressively.  He looks as though he may have stamina limitation but you would not bet against David Pipe finding further winning opportunities for him.

 

On Wednesday Breedsbreeze, owned by “Lucky” Jim Lewis kept things ticking over for our list to follow in the first at Chepstow but another lister The Package was beaten into 2nd after racing too freely.  On the flat at Nottingham Medicine Path got off the mark for the season.  He had been a smart juvenile having finished 3rd to Authorized with Eagle Mountain 4th but had disappointed in 3 runs this season. Although he race freely at Notting Neil Callan managed to keep him covered up at the back and when he produced him out wide he eventually quickened to win going away.  Not classic form exactly but a big improvement on his efforts earlier in the season.  We also had a winner from the flat list today with John Quinn’s Monashee Brave in the seller at Musselburgh.

 

One horse that went into my notebook from the last few days was Amour Multiple who returned from a long absence and ran well for a long way in the valuable handicap hurdle at Ascot on Saturday.  The ground would not have been ideal for him either and he looks one to keep on the right side.

 

Tomorrow at Hexham recent course and distance winner Tot O’ Whiskey looks the one to be on in the 1.50.

 

We have had a couple of late winners from our flat list to follow as the season draws to a close.  Blazing Heights might just add to the tally in the 2.30 at Musselburgh, a race he won last season.

 

See you tomorrow for a preview of the weekend’s racing.

 

Continue reading “Diary: November 9 2007”

Diary: November 3 & 4 2007

The drying ground and consequent defection of many of the better horses robbed today’s card at Uttoxeter of much of its interest.  Alan King’s Ouzbeck won well though and looks capable of holding his own in better company.

 

I tipped against Mister McGoldrick today and you do that at your peril.  He had won there 7 times from 8 starts and duly made it 8 from 9.  We grow older but not necessarily wiser I suppose.

 

At this stage of the season it always seems to me that the flat season has outstayed his welcome somewhat.  The jockey’s championship is providing most of the excitement and threatens to go to the wire though.

 

Evan Williams has an interest in the big race at Wetherby tomorrow but he is also represented at Ascot where he runs Demi Beau in the handicap chase at 1.10.  He might be a bit too high in the weights over fences but I would be interested if his trainer tries him over hurdles later in the season as he has a much more lenient mark over the smaller obstacles.

 

The handicap hurdle at 1.40 looks competitive.  Ouninpohja won 5 times on the flat a few years ago but has become a really quirky individual since.  He has the talent to win a race like this but it remains to be seen if he also has the resolution.  I was impressed with the grey Special Envoy last season.  Previously he had won on the flat in France but he excelled over hurdles winning twice, running respectively at Cheltenham and falling when in front at Aintree. He could only finish 6th last week in the race won by Don’t Push It.  It is possible that the handicapper has him in his grasp but I am not so sure.  Amour Multiple won twice last season on soft ground and his chance will depend on whether he handles quicker ground.  He is likely to go novice chasing I understand. Chivalry is one of those comparatively rare types that have won on the flat, over hurdles and fences.  He won the Cambridgeshire when he was trained by Sir Mark Prescott on the flat and was bought by Graham Wylie.  He is with Venetia Williams these days.  He has won on good to firm back in his flat days.  I quite fancy another ex Prescott flat horse, Liberate. He was 2nd to Katchit in the Triumph Hurdle last season and on his most recent run was 2nd to Alph, who also runs here, at Kempton.  This stiffer track should suit him but he may need a bit more cut in the ground.  This is an open race but I quite like both Liberate and Special Envoy.

 

Knockavilla impressed when winning his bumper at Carlisle and looks set to make a winning start to his hurdling career in the 1.20 at Wetherby.

 

Eight line up for the Charlie Hall Chase which is the centrepiece on the Wetherby card at 3.30. Kingscliffe has been a grand servant for the Alner stable. His second behind Neptune Collonges at Punchestown at the end of last season showed he is no back number and he could well run a big race.  Madison Du Berlais is best with give in the ground and although he won 3 times last season (and did this column a few favours in the process) I am going to pass him by here.  Bewley’s Berry is a horse I have always liked and was bang there in the Grand National when he fell. He broke a bone in his nose that day but as long as that experience hasn’t affected his confidence I am hoping he will enjoy a good season.  He is a course and distance winner and looks over priced at 20/1.  On the face of it the two main contenders are State of Play and Aces Four. State of Play won the Hennessey last season and has AP McCoy on board.  He is clearly a serious contender but I am going to burden Aces Four with my tip.  He looks the one horse in the field that will actually like the ground and providing he has no mental ill effects from a crashing fall on his last run in Ireland he should be up there.

 

Gaspara should prevail in the 4.05 but he will not be much of a price.

 

Over in Ireland the big race is the “James Nicholson” Chase at 2.30 where the two most likely winners are the UK trained Taranis and The Listener. I have the greatest respect for the latter who has a good record on his travels across the Irish Sea but Taranis may be better on the ground and Paul Nicholls seems upbeat about his chances.

 

On the flat Illustrious Blue represents our list to follow in the 8.20 at Kempton.  He is a bit of a Goodwood specialist and is also trying 12 furlongs for the first time and there are others in the race with more obvious claims.

 

We have 2 runners in the 3.50 at Newmarket.  Caldra has not shown a lot on recent runs and the ground may not be suitable.  Smart Enough was a winner at Bath last time out and has each way claims.

Osteopathic Remedy represents our list to follow in the 2.30 at Ayr.  He ran a shocker last week so is perhaps best watched.

 

There is jumps racing at Carlisle on Sunday and the novice hurdle at 12.50 features two runners from our list to follow.  Berwick Law looks a bright prospect on the basis of two wins in bumpers at Ayr, although both were on heavy ground.  Marleybow represents the Howard Johnson yard and the trainer rates him highly.  He comes from a winning jumping family and he won his bumper on good ground.  The main danger to these two looks likely to be Harry Wood, a dual bumper winner himself who has already had a run over hurdles when he was a promisiong 2nd at Uttoxeter.

 

Although there are only 4 runners in the 1.20 it could still be tricky to pick a winner. L’Antartique was very consistent last season with his best performance coning at the Cheltenham Festival where he landed the Jewson beating another from our list to follow, Bob Hall.  Ungaro is an obvious danger but I am hoping that L’Antartique pays his way for us this season.

 

There are plenty of old favourites in the 2.25.  Irish Raptor is the likely favourite and comes from an in form yard.  King Killone is another for the short list.  He suffered an injury last season but is a nice old fashioned chasing type who should land a arce or two during the season.  The ground may be a concern for him tomorrow though. Numero un de Solzen has never been out of the first 3 yet and stays well.  His wins have come on soft ground though.

 

Good luck and see you Sunday evening

 

Continue reading “Diary: November 3 & 4 2007”

Diary; November 2 2007

Uttoxeter stages an interesting card tomorrow and I will start there.

 

In the 1.10 Serabad looks the likely winner.  A listed race winner on the flat in France he has the benefit of a recent run.

 

Super Nick has his first run for Venetia Williams in the 1.30.  He won a couple of bumpers last season and also showed promise over hurdles.

 

There are two runners from our list to follow in the 2.40.  Alan King’s ex French Ouzbeck was 3rd on his UK hurdling debut and went into a fair few notebooks as a result.  He does look a bright prospect.  The main danger could come from The Package, trained by David Pipe.  He won a bumper at Towcester on his only start thus far and it could be significant that the ground that day was good to firm.  If the ground dries out at Uttoxeter The Package may be able to overturn the Alan King runner.

 

In the 3.15 there are 3 from our list to follow.  Nevada Royale may well start favourite. This one has a good record in point to points winning 3 out of 3.  One of these wins came on good ground.  Teamgeist is a big, old fashioned chasing sort who has shown promise on his 2 starts, one in a bumper and one over hurdles.  He does look the type to do well in this sphere.  The Real Deal won twice over hurdles last season but fell on his chasing debut last month.

 

In the 4.20 Ballaroyale represents our list.  He was 3rd in a bumper at Warwick last season when well backed.  After this he is likely to be going novice chasing.

 

In the 3.25 at Warwick the admirable Mister McGoldrick and Howard Johnsons ex flat winner, the grey Coat of Honour have sound claims.  I will take a chance of the ultra consistent Three Mirrors trained by Ferdy Murphy.

 

The 2.45 at Down Royal is an interesting contest bringing together some promising hurdlers.  Bob’s Pride could be the one to be on.  He won a Derby Trial on the flat and looked good when winning two handicaps over hurdles last April.  Both those wins came on good ground and he could eb hard to beat here.

 

Kevin Ryan sends his Ayr Gold Cup winner Advanced over to Maison Laffitte for a Group 3 contest (2.20) and he may well have found another winning opportunity.

 

The only runner from our list to follow on the flat is Cadwell who is having his first run for Tim Pitt in the 8.25 at Wolverhampton. He was 2nd on his first start this season but has run pretty dismally on his 3 subsequent starts.

 

See you tomorrow

 

Continue reading “Diary; November 2 2007”

Diary: November 1 2007

seem to be doing OK on the tipping front just lately and Otantique provided me with a winner at Huntingdon today.  In an exciting handicap chase he got the better of the front running Own Line despite ploughing through the final fence.  Own Line has a surprisingly poor strike rate for a horse with obvious ability.  I remember having him on my list to follow back a few years ago when he won a race over hurdles at 6/1.  I remember it well as I failed to back him!

 

There are 2 runners from our flat list to follow tomorrow.  Dance of Light runs in the 3.10 at Lingfield.  She was 7th in the Oaks but has not really progressed  since then.  This is her AW debut and I see that none of the newspaper tipsters go for her.

 

Mofarif runs in the 3.40.  He won a maiden in Dubai but has not shown a lot in a couple

 

There are no runners from our main jumps list but I do fancy Hilly Gale in the 1.30 at Newcastle.

 

Emma Lavelle’s horses are in good form and she could be on the mark in the 1.20 at Stratford with the tough mare Blaeberry.  She likes fast ground so should have condition in her favour.

 

That is about all tonight.

 

 

Continue reading “Diary: November 1 2007”

Irish jumpers to follow

This is the list of horses trained in Ireland that I will be following this season.  The winners are highlighted in green.

All the Cousins
Amstecos
Another Ambition
Aran Concerto
Aran leigh
Arrive Sir Clive
Beneficial Guest
Big Zeb
Black Harry
Bob’s Pride
Cellar Door
Clopf
Cooldine
De Valira
Drumconvis
Drummer First
Duty
Five Two
Freneys Well
Glencove Marina
Hide the Evidence
Iktitaf
Impudent                        
Johnnie Dillinger
Kazal
Kendor Dine
Kimberlite King
Kirbybroguelantern
Liskennet
Meadows Thyne
Mick the Man
Mother's Mistake
Nickname
Ninetieth Minute
Northern Alliance
Notre Pere
Offshore Account
Powerstation
Rock Diplomat
Salute Him
Save the Bacon
Scavenger
Schindlers Hunt
Scotsirish
Shirley Casper
Sizing Africa
Sizing Europe
Slim Pickings
Slash and Burn
Sophocles
Sublimity
Tailors Hall
Theatrical Moment
Top the harts
Townabrack
Wins Now
Zalongo

Continue reading “Irish jumpers to follow”

Diary: October 31 2007

There is only one runner from the list to follow tomorrow.  Spume runs in the lady rider’s handicap at Nottingham (4.20).  The 3 year old is a difficult one to weight up. He looked one to follow based on last season efforts when trained by Sir Michael Stoute.  He ran 3 times winning the last of these over a mile at Salisbury.

 

In 4 runs for Stoute this season he didn’t really show a great deal and moved to Danny Murphy and he duly won on his first try for the new stable, a 1 mile handicap at Thirsk off a rating of 75.  Since then he has run 6 times and only beaten 14 of his 71 rivals.  He is blinkered for the first time tomorrow and has dropped to a rating of 65.  He obviously has the ability to win a race like this but something seems to have been affecting his performances recently, or perhaps he has just lost his appetite for the game.

 

There is nothing from our list to follow over the jumps at Huntingdon. Looking at the card for something to take an interest in though I was atken by Otantique, trained by Emma Lavelle.  He won at Exeter 3 weeks ago and should have ground conditions in his favour in the 3.10.

 

At Punchestown in the 1.45 Noel Meade’s Mick the Man looks the one to beat.  He was not out of the first 3 in his 6 runs in bumpers.  The other interesting runner is Scavenger, trained by Mouse Morris.  This former points and bumper winner was let down by his jumping at Gowran Park last time but may well be better than that.

 

That’s all for tonight.

 

Continue reading “Diary: October 31 2007”

October 30 2007

The only horse mentioned last night, New Guinea, won at Leicester today at 10/11.

 

There is only 1 runner from our flat list to follow tomorrow and that is Yossi in the 4.10 at Yarmouth which is the Aylsham Slurry Services handicap.  If you have been following Yossi all season you may well be in the slurry yourself as he has only won once in 9 starts, and that was at 1/4.   He has bits of form and clearly has some ability but you couldn’t really back him with any real belief.

 

See you tomorrow

 

Continue reading “October 30 2007”

Diary: October 29 2007

Well the Breeder’s Cup was a bit of a disaster all round for the European horses, and what with that and the atrocious ground it was a bit of a disappointment I felt.

 

Much more interesting for me was the national hunt action at Aintree today where we were treated to some excellent performances.  Monet’s Garden was my tip for the Old Roan Chase and he didn’t let me down. To be fair he did have most of the important factors in his favour but nonetheless, he is a thoroughly genuine and likable sort as his jockey stated after the race.  Kauto Star must have pleased Paul Nicholls.  Getting so close to Monet’s Garden giving away a stone was a notable achievement. I wouldn’t read too much into the run of Exotic Dancer.  Cheltenham is his track and anyway he has never won first time out since arriving in the UK.

 

I wondered if Degas Art might be able to surprise Katchit but in the event Alan King’s tough little horse was in no mood to be beaten.  As they jumped the last together I thought that the flat speed of Degas Art, a listed race winner on the level, would prevail, but Katchit was the more determined of the pair.  Katchit reminds me of Mysilv, another little battler of a horse who also won the Triumph Hurdle, back in 1994 I think, without looking it up.

 

Tidal Bay got his season off to a good start when easily winning the novice chase.  He was helped by the fact that his main rival Alberta’s Run made some jumping errors.

 

There is just one runner from our flat list to follow tomorrow.  New Guinea looks to have a sound chance in the 2.50 at Leicester.

 

Bye for now

 

Continue reading “Diary: October 29 2007”

Diary: October 28 2007

Saturday did not go too badly on the tipping front.

 

“Don’t Push It had a good campaign over fences last season and should be mixing it with the best this time around. He is back over hurdles here, and as long as he settles will be hard to beat.” WON 2/1

 

“Michael Muck is probably not one of Paul Nicholls stable stars but he won a couple of races last season and he stays well.” WON 11/8

 “The rapidly improving Ibn Khaldun looks the one to be on in the 3.40.” WON 11/4 

“Heaven Knows ran with promise on his last start when 4th at Ascot and a repeat of that form would see him go close.” WON 100/30

 

“I don’t have much of a view on the Breeder’s Cup, my only real fancy being Lahudoud in the Filly & Mare Turf.”WON 10/1

 

Let’s hope for a few more tomorrow!

 

Aintree stages the best card on Sunday with the highlight being the return of last season’s Gold Cup hero Kauto Star in the Old Roan Chase at 2.40.

 

Kauto Star is one of 3 runners from our list to follow, the others being last season’s Gold Cup runner up Exotic Dancer and Monet’s Garden, winner of 2 Grade 1 races last season.  There is no denying Kauto Star’s achievement last season, winning all 6 of his races, each at a different track. 

 

Although Kauto Star got the better of Exotic Dancer when they met last season, tomorrow’s event is a handicap and the Paul Nicholls runner must give weight away all round. I don’t suppose any of them will be fully would up for this race as they will all have bigger targets later in the season. They have all won at Aintree before, as has the other one to consider, the front running Ashley Brook, so course form is not really a pointer.

 

Monet’s Garden has an unblemished record first time out and the trip suits him well so he just gets my selection.

 

The card kicks off with a national hunt novice’s hurdle where the two that stand out are Crocodiles Rock and Laborec.  The former won a couple of bumpers last season and was 6th in the Championship bumper at Cheltenham. He shaped as though 20 furlongs would be ideal for him and he looks a smart prospect.  Laborec represents the Howard Johnson yard.  He won his only start in bumpers at Hexham in taking fashion.  He is said to be a nervous individual. 

The form of Tidal Bay is hard to knock as he has never been out of the first 2 in his career so far.  He gets weight from rivals who all have inferior form over hurdles for his chase debut at 1.40. Backing novice chasers at odds on is probably a tried and tested route to penury but all being well he ought to win.  The main thereat may come from Alberta’s Run a winner of 7 of his 9 races, including his chase debut at Towcester this month.

 

Triumph Hurdle winner Katchit returns to action in the 2.10.  He is a likable little horse and has won 7 of his last 8 races.  He should win this but may have something to fear from Degas Art.  He was a winner in listed class on the flat and although he has won over hurdles his jumping has not always been fluent.  Perhaps for this reason he has been best in small fields so with only 4 runners tomorrow his hurdling technique may not be so severely tested as it would be with lots of runners around him.

 

Trainer Ferdy Murphy thinks a lot of Naiad Du Misselot who showed plenty of promise last season, including a win at Wetherby on Boxing Day.  He is stepped up in trip for the 3.15 tomorrow which on pedigree looks within his compass.

 

Ferdy Murphy also trains Marshall Hall who is my fancy for the 3.50.  He won 3 times on the bounce last season; jumps and travels well in his races and may still be improving.  My main doubt would be the going as his best form has been shown with plenty of cut.

 

In the closing bumper at 4.25 I fancy Cool Operator, a winner of his only start in point to points at Curraghmore last Easter Saturday in a good time. Said to prefer good ground he is an interesting prospect.  He is by the same sire as the likes of Afsoun and Korello Bay.  Of the others Henry Daly’s Major Suspect is worth a second look as is Room at the Top who was trained by Andre Fabre in France but never ran over there.  He is with Lucinda Russell now.

 

This is a really international weekend of racing and I am trying to cover as much of it as possible.  One of the horses from our flat list to follow, Short Skirt, runs in the Group 1 fillies amd mares race at Capannelle (Rome) tomorrow.  She won well last week at Newmarket when returning after a long absence and providing she doesn’t “bounce” could add to her tally.  She is related to the Irish St Leger winner Arctic Owl by the way.

 

At Wincanton, Martha’s Kinsman should be suited by both track and trip and has an each way chance in the 3.30.

 

That will do for tonight.

 

Continue reading “Diary: October 28 2007”

Diary: October 27 2007

There is plenty of racing over the weekend, with just about something for everyone.  With so many meetings to cover I am going to concentrate on Saturday tonight.  I will be back with a preview of Sunday’s action tomorrow evening.

 

Aintree stages the best jumps card of the season so far so where better to start this evenings offering.

 

Border Tale won at Kelso last week and trainer James Moffatt has him out again in the 2.10.  You couldn’t rule him out as he has ground conditions to suit and is a course and distance winner.

 

Mossville represents our list to follow in the 2.45. She is relatively unexposed and could be on a fair mark.

 

Kirbybroguelantern comes over from Ireland to contest the Grade 2 hurdle at Chepstow (1.25)  He is a winner of 3 bumpers but lacks hurdling experience.  He is an interesting runner though.

 

We have 2 horses from our list to follow in the 1.55. Don’t Push It and Lead On.  The latter is a very nice type who has won 2 of his 4 starts, most recently at Cheltenham last April. He may well go chasing alter in the season, he certainly has the physique for it.  Don’t Push It had a good campaign over fences last season and should be mixing it with the best this time around. He is back over hurdles here, and as long as he settles will be hard to beat.

 

Michael Muck is probably not one of Paul Nicholls stable stars but he won a couple of races last season and he stays well.  One of his wins came at Chepstow and he returns there for the 2.25. The grey Rimski for the in form Twiston-Davies yard looks the danger.

 

The 2.30 at Doncaster has an intriguing look. King Orchisios won at Catterick last week and the 3rd (How’s She Cuttin’), 4th (Bo McGinty) and 5th (Strike Up the Band) all reoppose.  I thought that both How’s She Cuttin’ and Bo McGinty ran well last week as they had unfavourable draws. King Orchisios may well go in again, and Princess Ellis is a threat but I will burden How’s She Cuttin’ with my selection.  Bo McGinty will not be far away.

 

The rapidly improving Ibn Khaldun looks the one to be on in the 3.40.

 

In the 5.15 Osteopathic Remedy , who tends to race keenly, and hasn't quite been seeing out the mile recently, has plenty going for him from a handy pitch if William Carson can just get him to save a bit for the finish. The other runner from our list to follow in this race is Flores Sea who has lost form since winning early in the season.

 

 

Down at Newbury Ivy Creek represents our list to follow in the Group 3 race at 2.50. He won a couple of listed races earlier in the season but has not quite built on that success.  His last run though, when 3rd over 10 furlongs at Ayr was encouraging.  He is back up to 12 furlongs here but would need to run right up to his best form to win. 

 

Princess Valerina has been one of the least successful horses on our flat list, failing to win from 8 starts.  She runs in the 3.25. She is 25/1 in the RP and that just about sums up her chance.

 

 

Missit ran an excellent race in the Rockfel Stakes last week and if none the worse for that looks the one to beat in the 4.00.

 

Seabow, Plum Pudding and Heaven Knows represent our list in the 4.30. Heaven Knows ran with promise on his last start when 4th at Ascot and a repeat of that form would see him go close.  Seabow likes cut in the ground and has an each way chance.  Plum Pudding has shown little since winning at Newmarket in May.  He has come down the weights as a result though and claimer Jamie Moriaty takes 3 lbs off.

 

My best bet at Naas is Sizing Africa in the 3.15.

 

I don’t have much of a view on the Breeder’s Cup,  my only real fancy being Lahudoud in the Filly & Mare Turf.  For the record the following are runners from our list to follow.

 

6.55 Passage of Time;  9.50 Dylan Thomas.

  

Good luck

Continue reading “Diary: October 27 2007”