Diary: May 26 & 27 2008

 

There is not too much that catches my eye over the next couple of days. In the 5.15 at Chepstow tomorrow Michael Jarvis runs Albarouche who was 3rd behind Dar Re Mi at Sandown, albeit quite a long way behind the winner. This sister to Derby runner up Dragon Dancer should be suited by the additional 2 furlongs at Sandown and is likely to acquit herself well.

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I marked Al Samha down as a horse to follow when he won at Wolverhampton in March but he was a big disappointment when he reappeared at Windsor last time. He is worth another chance in the 3.15 at Redcar. Fujin Dancer, another Wolverhampton winner ran well when 4th to Collection at York and seems to be going the right way.

The big race at Redcar is the Zetland Gold Cup at 3.50. The last 8 winners have all carried 9 stone or more and if we apply that statistic to the field we eliminate 5 of the 15. Rio Riva is best on soft ground so assuming we get no rain I am prepared to put a line through him. The consistent Monte Alto has a good record at this trip and should go well. Smart Instinct should come on for his run 12 days ago and is another to consider. Smart Enough would have a chance if he stays which he might, given his pedigree while Docofthebay ran better than the bare form suggests last time.

Film Maker has shown some promise in his two runs to date and is one to look out for in the 4.25.

In the 5.30 Kalokairi is the sort that John Dunlop does well with.

In the 2.00 at Leicester on Wednesday I am interested in Cecily, a half sister to a number of winners including Violette, and Prowl who is by One Cool Cat out of a sister to an Oaks winner.

In the 3.00 Mark Johnston’s Hamilton winner Tawzeea should be in the shake up while Kiwi Bay should be competitive off a mark of 75.

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Caribbean Coral may have been given a chance by the handicapper in the 4.10 at Redcar.

Today’s photograph’s are by kind permission of Ann Duffield Racing (Pacific Bay that runs in the opener at Redcar on Tuesday), and Turfpix (former Triumph Hurdle winner Penzance).

 

Diary: May 25 2008

 

Not a vintage day for me on the tipping front, after Another Decree obliged late on Friday at 16/1. I did have Fleeting Spirit in the big sprint at Haydock though.

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Staying with the sprinters but at a rather lower level there is a competitive handicap at Newmarket tomorrow at 4.05. Phantom Whisper will love the ground but has reserved his best from for Windsor. Beaver Patrol is a course and distance winner, goes on the ground and the stable have been in form. Baby Strange has gone up 5 lb for his win at Newbury but at the weights may have a bit to find with Cape who beat him by a neck at Doncaster last month. Firm ground is not certain to suit either of these though but Premio Loco will be quite at home on it. He tackles 6 furlongs for the first time here but his form last season looks very solid and I would just give him the edge. He certainly hasn’t looked devoid of speed in his runs over longer trips.

Diary: May 24 2008

The race that caught my eye this afternoon was the Newmarket 4.40 where Punjabi held off the fast finishing Mad Rush. Both horses look set for a profitable campaign, in particular the runner up who did not get a clear passage.

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Moving on to Saturday I will tackle the meetings in the UK in alphabetical order.

With only 7 runners we can perhaps non pay quite so much attention as usual to the draw bias at Beverley in the 2.55. Utmost Respect ran pretty well in the Duke of York Stakes and although he is giving weight to everything else he gets my selection. 5 furlongs on fast ground suit Aegean Dancer but I am not sure that Beverley is necessary his sort of track.

Mr Crystal was an easy winner of a moderate handicap at Newcastle but has gone up 9 lbs as a result. He is only a 4 year old and may still be competitive off his revised mark. He runs in the 4.25.

I had a brief look at the Catterick 3.50. Dig Deep is decent on his day but may need to come down a few pounds. The same might be said of Sir Nod. In the end I decided to leave this one alone.

The 2.05 looks the sort of sprint handicap that we should eb abel to work out. The first thing that struck me about the top weight Indian Trail is that Frankie Dettori has won 2 from 3 on him. He is a course and distance winner and 6 of his 7 wins have come on good to firm. He is on a high enough mark though, as is Green Manalishi, another course and distance winner.

Northern Fling won at Doncaster last month in a race that has worked out pretty well. He seems to act on any ground and although he has gone up in the weights there may be further improvement to come from him. Knot in Wood is a horse I have followed in the last couple of years. I just get the feeling about him that he needs to come down the weights a little before he will win again. When Ebraam gets his favoured conditions, 5 furlongs and fast ground, he is pretty consistent and he is one for the shortlist. Indian Trail, Northern Fling and Ebraam are the 3 that interest me most.

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Anna Pavlova who runs in the 2.35 won on this card last season. She is best on soft ground though. Maid to Believe should win races this season and could go well at a price.

Connections had high hopes for Endless Luck but he disappointed at Sandown behind Centennial. He reverts to a mile in the 3.05 and could be a different proposition this time. Tiger Dream was long odds on when winning at Thirsk but made rather hard work of it. Unbreak My Heart won twice last season and then looked a progressive sort when runner up at Sandown in the Esher Cup on his reappearance.

Fleeting Spirit was second to Natagora in the Group 1 Cheveley Park Stakes last season. She is my fancy for the Haydock 3.35.

Cape Vale, a half brother to Moss Vale, was only beaten a head over 6 furlongs at Haydock a couple of weeks ago. He was staying on well at the finish last time and the extra distance may well suit him.

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Stimulation was 7th in the 2,000 Guineas and before that had won the Free Handicap, and the second that day has won since. He looks the one to beat in the 2.50 at Newmarket. Calming Influence won his only start last season in a York maiden and looked a decent prospect that day.

In the 4.35 the 3 that interest me are Meydan Dubai, Toto Skyllachy and Glorious Gift. I will give the nod to Meydan Dubai.

Over at The Curragh I have a feeling that New Approach may be able to reverse the Newmarket form with Henrythenavigator, while Jupiter Pluvius could spring a surprise.

Pictures are by kind permission of Lisa Miller – Equestrian Art (see links)

 

Diary: May 23 2008

 

Winners have been in rather short supply this week but at least Bukit Tinggi won for us at Haydock today and looks a horse to follow.

Pacific Pride is hardly a prolific winner with a strike rate of only 2 from rather a lot. However, he has only been raised 2 lbs for his win at Ripon a couple of weeks back and he is still on a lenient mark if you look at his 2 year old form. He could go in again at Haydock in the 7.20 tomorrow.

Missioner just found one too good for him on his reappearance at Yarmouth but could well go one better in the Haydoch 8.20. La Fortalesa showed promise on both his starts last season and is another to consider in this race.

Rossini’s Dancer remains a maiden after 5 starts but his 2nd at Beverly last time out entitles him to go close in the Newcastle 5.05.

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The 4.40 at Newmarket looks an interesting race. Punjabi could be an absolute snip. His last run on the flat was when he finished 3rd at Lingfield off a mark of 73 over a mile. Since then he has proved himself a top class hurdler with Nicky Henderson, finishing 3rd in the Champion Hurdle, and most recently winning the Irish Champion Hurdle at Punchestown. He may well turn out to be a much improved animal over this trip of 12 furlongs and his handicap rating of 75 could be a complete nonsense. These sort of theories don’t always work out of course and another to consider would be Mad Rush who has had an injury and been off the course for a long while. He was only beaten narrowly by the subsequent Park Hill Stakes winner though and on that form would be a serious threat in this.

There seem to be a number of two year olds around this season with names connected to footballers and Bryan Smart’s Go Nani Go is one such. He looked a sharp sort when making a winning debut at Musselburgh and could well follow up in the 7.30 at Pontefract.

There will likely be an odds on jolly in the 9.00 but only 3 of the last 7 favourites have obliged in this race. In search of something at a working man’s price I thought of Another Decree and Merrion Tiger.

Good luck

Photograph by courtesy of Mark Usher Racing

Diary: May 22 2008

 

Sixties Icon looks like being odds on for the Goodwood 2.50 tomorrow but at around 11/4 Blue Ksar could represent the value. The question mark remains about the form of the Godolphin horses though.

At Haydock Camelot Communion (pictured below) should be all the better for her run at Pontefract last month and has an each way chance.

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Bukit Tunggi was only beaten a head in 2nd at Doncaster earlier in the month and the 4th horse in that race has won since. He would be my selection in the 3.00 where Plane Painter could also go well.

In the 3.35 I have narrowed it down to 3. Thannaan is the obvious choice on the basis of a comfortable success at Folkestone last month that has since been franked by the runner up. A mark of 80 looks quite lenient. Majeen looks the obvious danger on the basis of two seconds on his last couple of starts in 2007. One that could run well at a bigger price is Shanafarahan who showed promise last season and would be interesting if settling better as he took a keen hold on his final run last season.

Iron Cross showed zilch over 3 runs as a juvenile but it would be no surprise if he found the longer trip of the 7.40 at Salisbury a very different proposition.

Lastly in the 8.40 I will take a chance with Sheer Bluff each way on the basis of his fair 2nd at Great Leighs 3 weeks ago.

Photograph by kind permission of Ann Duffield Racing

2008 Two Year Olds to Follow

Two Year Olds to Follow

Only rabbits proliferate more than horses to follow guides to the flat these days. No bad thing of course on the basis that the more information we have the merrier we will be. There are not so many that concentrate on the latest crop of 2 year olds however and so to help fill that void I have compiled a list of 50 juveniles that I hope will provide readers with some interest and hopefully a winner or two.

I have not concentrated particularly on early season types and I hope that at least some of the horses go on to have successful careers beyond their first season. In coming up with the list I have looked at pedigrees, concentrated on certain trainers and thrown in a generous dollop of personal opinion (and just a pinch of guesswork.) Anyway, here are my “50 to follow.”

I make no excuses for starting with half a dozen juveniles trained by Sir Michael Stoute. Not a man to have too many 5 furlong early winners but in the longer term there is no better trainer to follow. One of the most exciting 2 year olds on this list is Baryna, by Pivotal, and the first foal of the multiple Group 1 winning filly Russian Rhythm, who was outstanding in a generation that contained the likes of Soviet Song and Six Perfections. Like Russian Rhythm, Echelon runs in the red and white of Cheveley Park Stud. Although not quite in the class of the 2003 1,000 Guineas winner, Echelon is a classy filly in her own right and a winner of 9 races, including a Group 1. Her half sister Expressive, is by first season sire Falbrav and very much one to look out for.

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Spanish Sun had a short but successful career for the Stoute team. She only ran 3 times, but won the Ribblesdale Stakes at Royal Ascot. Spanish Sun’s brother, Spanish Moon, has already won twice, including a listed race this season. All this bodes well for the aptly named Cordoba, a daughter of Spanish Sun. Maraahel has been a great servant to connections and of his 8 career wins all bar one have been at Group 2 or 3 level. Maraahel’s half brother, Almuktahem, is another with Sir Michael Stoute. Remarkably 3 of Maraahel’s wins have come in the Huxley Stakes at Chester (he almost made it 4 in a row this season.) My next two selections also have connections with the Roodeye.

Arabian Gulf has only raced 3 times to date, but ran Soldier of Fortune to a short head in the Chester Vase last season. His half sister Dream Win, by Oasis Dream, looks of interest.

Danehurst won 10 times in all, the last of these being a listed race at Chester where she was returned at evens. That does not tell the whole story though as after forfeiting ground with a poor start, the five-year-old mare still looked hopelessly placed many lengths behind the leaders as the field turned for home. She then had to be switched at least twice to get a run and still had five lengths to make up on Golden Nun passing the furlong marker.
To her enormous credit she then responded to her jockey’s strong riding to produce a late burst which got her up to win a couple of strides before the post. Those who managed to get the 21’1 offered in running on Betfair about the even-money chance deserved every penny. Her second foal, a filly called Pole Position by Pivotal and is the last of my selections from Sir Michael Stoute’s yard, for the moment anyway.

My next 4 are all from Roger Charlton’s stable, starting with what I hope will be one of my bankers. Ffestiniog won in listed company as a 2 year old but it is as a brood mare that she has really excelled as her first 6 offspring have all been winners. They include Eisteddfod, still going strong at the age of 7, Brecon Beacon, Tredegar and Harlech Castle. The latest is a colt called Border Patrol, let’s hope that he maintains the family tradition. You may remember Tante Rose, a filly that won the Sprint Cup at Haydock, just edging out Somnus. Her first, and sadly only foal is a filly called Rose Diamond, again with Roger Charlton. Speciosa’s win in the 1,000 Guineas was a triumph for the underdog as she came from a stable more used to getting winners in novice hurdles around the gaffs. Her half brother, Classically is by the sire, Indian Haven, himself a surprise classic winner from an unfashionable stable when taking the Irish 2,000 Guineas in 2003. I followed a horse called Mutajarred last season with some success as he won 3 times and has to date never been out of the first 4. His half sister, Little Conker who is my next selection from Roger Charlton’ string.

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One of the success stories of the 2004 season was the performance of sprinter Pivotal Point taking the Stewards Cup en route to the Diadem Stakes. Sylvester Kirk now trains this one’s half brother, called True Decision. Simianna was down the field in several of the races won by Pivotal Point that season. One win from 19 attempts hardly seems to qualify Simianna for a special mention on the face of it.  The bare statistics do not tell the full story however as she was given few favours by the handicapper but put up a string of fine efforts in defeat.  Her only win came at Newmarket at 11/2 but she repaid each way support 5 times at odds of 22/1, 10/1, 16/1, 6/1 and 20/1. Her first foal, Jan Mayen, a filly by Halling, is with Mark Johnston.

Baltic King beat Pivotal Point by a neck in 2003 at Ascot and was a smart sprinter, especially on quick ground, and he won the Wokingham in 2006. His sister, La Belle Dane will be trained this season by Jeremy Noseda. Greensward a colt with Brian Meehan is from a family I have followed for years. The dam, Frizzante won the Group 1 July Cup and is a half sister to Zidane and Firenze. The latter pair were both out of a mare called Juliet Bravo, named after an old TV series about a woman police office.

Countess Zara trained by Andrew Balding comes from a particularly strong sprinting family. Her dam, Lochridge, won 5 times including in listed company and this is her first foal. The second dam Lochsong was a champion Sprinter winning 15 times including 3 at Group 1 level.

Sticking with the sprinters, Hughie Morrison is one of the trainers I like to follow and of course has had considerable success with Sakhee’s Secret recently. He has the half sister called Some Sunny Day so it will be interesting to see how this one progresses.

One of the good things about sprinters is that they tend to have lengthy careers. A case in point is Continent who won twice last season at the age of 10. A real hold up horse his finest hour came in 2002 when he won the July Cup (Danehurst was 3rd). His half brother Euston Square, another by Oasis Dream, is with John Gosden. Caribbean Coral is another grand old sprinter still going at the age of 9 with a liking for Epsom and Chester. His half brother, Trip Switch is with Willie Muir.

Dandy Nicholls is undoubtedly the sprint king and one of his most consistent performers in recent times has been Tax Free, winner of the Palace House Stakes among other decent prizes. His half brother Green Beret is in training with John Gosden. Monsieur Bond, a tough, consistent sprinter is a first season sire. One of his first crop, Sharav, a half brother to Bygone Days, a smart Group 3 winner for Godolphin and will be trained by Eve Johnson Houghton. Impressible (E Alston) like many in this list this filly is by Oasis Dream a winner of 3 Group 1 races at sprint distances. She is a half sister to Reverence, a high class sprinter who won the Nunthorpe and also to Quiet Elegance, a winner last season as a juvenile and this season at 22/1!

I am old enough to have watched Mick Channon at The Dell and his achievement to reach the top in two entirely different sporting fields is a remarkable one. He held classic hopes for his filly Queen’s Logic a few years back but, after she had won 4 Group races but injury cut short her career. Queen’s Logic, herself a half sister to Dylan Thomas, has already produced one winning 2 year old, and hopefully will have another in Dunes Queen (M Channon). Sweet Lily won 4 times for Mick Channon as a juvenile. Her half brother, Eddie Boy is with Michael Bell and is apparently well thought of by connections.

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Footstepsinthesand was an emphatic winner of the 2,000 Guineas in 2005 and was unbeaten in his short career. His full sister Pelinnore is with Ed Vaughan, who has 30 odd horses under his care at Newmarket. Dubawi was a disappointing favourite behind Footstepsinthesand but bounced back to win the Irish Guineas. He is by the ill fated wonder horse Dubai Millenium, who only enjoyed one year at stud before his death. Godolphin have a half sister to Dubawi named Suba.

In his first season at stud One Cool Cat covered 156 mares! He was effective at 5 to 7 furlongs and is likely to get some speedy individuals. William Haggas has an interesting filly by One Cool Cat, called Adoring. She is a half sister to Galeota who won the Mill Reef Stakes as a 2 year old, and has gone on to taste listed success at age 3 and 5.

I am looking forward to following the fortunes of Paisley, a filly with Luca Cumani and very much a long term prospect. You may remember the dam Pongee that won the Lancashire Oaks and was a half sister to Pukka who was 9th in North Light’s Derby and won both on the flat and over hurdles.

I once backed a horse called L’Affaire Monique to land a Chepstow maiden at 11/2. She is related to Short Skirt and her third foal, a colt called Bourne is with Luca Cumani and I will be following this one with interest. I have a good memory for my winning bets, there aren’t that many of them! A few years ago I was on a horse called Smirk when he won a Goodwood handicap at 12/1. Smirk went on to win in listed company and is out of a mare that has produced several winners. Smirk’s half sister Cartoon is with Michael Jarvis, so could not be in better hands.

Le Vie Dei Colori ran up 12 wins in Italy and France, including the Italian 2,000 Guineas, before joining Luca Cumani in 2005. His best run was his last when beating Sleeping Indian in a Group 2 at Newmarket. Sleeping Indian was trained by John Gosden and Gosden now has a half brother to Le Vie Dei Colori called Seminole, by Indian Ridge. Sleeping Indian himself is by Indian Ridge and won 6 races for Gosden including a Group 2 at Newmarket and the Group 3 Hungerford Stakes. Gosden has this one’s half sister called Pleasant Cape. Staying with John Gosden I am including a couple more of his juveniles in this list, Stage Performance, a full sister to English Ballet, and Take the Hint, a Montjeu filly closely related to Group 3 winner Stronghold.

Autumn Glory has his place in the record books as the first winner on a Group race in Britain on the all weather. He got the better of Court Masterpiece at Lingfield in 2005 over a mile. His half brother Unwavering is as the name suggests by 2,000 Guineas winner Refuse to Bend. He is with Henry Cecil and is certainly one to watch out for.

Dr Faustus is a winner already this season for Sir Michael Stoute. Godolphin train this one’s half sister though, a Cape Cross filly called Manaaqeb. I am including 3 more on my list that are related to horses that have won this season as 3 year olds. Apple Charlotte, with Henry Cecil, a half sister to Arthur’s Girl, Monitor Closely, a half brother to Stone of Scone by Oasis Dream with Peter Chapple-Hyam and Labisca, a half sister to Free Handicap winner Stimulation, by High Chaparral, with Hughie Morrison.

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There was no more spectacular winner in 2002 than Just James who came from being tailed off 2 furlongs out at Newmarket to swoop to victory with a quite remarkable turn of foot.  He actually won 2 of his 6 starts that season, including the Group 3 Jersey Stakes with both wins at odds of 20/1. Backing 20/1 winners is certainly a Lovely Thought and that is the name of Just James’ half sister trained by William Haggas.

I remember a horse called Sabbeeh absolutely bolting up in a Ripon maiden a few years back. As a 4 year old he was 2nd in a Group 2 at Goodwood. His half brother Green Agenda is trained by Mark Johnston. Penny Cross was a typical Mark Johnston 3 year old, tough and consistent she won 3 times and was placed on a number of occasions. Her first foal Quinsman is with John Hills and there are already promising reports about him. John Hills is an underrated trainer. He has an inexpensive purchase called Miss Mojito that is related to several winners. The dam is a half sister to Far Lane that won the Group 3 Darley Stakes a few years ago.

Another I have high hopes for is Alexander Loyalty a full sister to Bahama Mama who was a very speedy 2 year old, a listed winner and runner up in the Flying Childers. Like her sister, Alexander Loyalty is with Jeremy Noseda. Another that looks a good bet to win races is Cecily, trained by Sir Mark Prescott. Her half sister Violette won 4 times as a juvenile including a Group 3 at Ayr.

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Julie Camacho does well with the ammunition at her disposal. Rio Riva has been a consistent sort for her running well in some big handicaps. She now trains his half sister Southern Scarlet. Another northern trainer that I like to follow is Alan Swinbank. He has a two year old by High Chaparral, called Olympian Dancer that I will include on my list, partly because the sire was a favourite of mine.

I remember watching Aiden O’Brien’s Gypsy King get up on the line to land the Dee Stakes under Kieren Fallon. He went on to finish 5th in the Epsom Derby but sadly suffered a fatal injury in his next race. Marcus Tregoning has the full brother to Gypsy King called Uncle Keef.

Amanda Perret’s front runner Tungsten Strike has landed some decent prizes, including the Henry ll Stakes. Brian Meehan trains the half sister Arabian Mirage, yet another by Oasis Dream. Furmigadelagiusta won twice on the flat for Luca Cumani before moving to Karl Burke who sent him out to win over hurdles. He has also presented quite a test for the race commentators! His half brother, Fenoman is by Pivotal and is with Luca Cumani.

I was keen to include horses by some of the more likely first season sires, and we have already had a few such as Refuse to Bend and Falbrav. I wanted at least one by the top class Australian sprinter Exceed and Excel and I have decided on Hellbender who is with Sylvester Kirk. The dam is a half sister to Feet So Fast who was pretty smart over 6 furlongs and was a winner at the Shergar Cup meeting when ridden by Mick Kinane. Exceed and Excel has already sired winners in Australia.

Acclamation was a favourite sprinter of mine. He won 6 times in his career including the Group 2 Diadem Stakes at Ascot at the nice price of 9/1. He has actually done well at stud but it is his half brother Hunting Horn that I am putting up as the 50th and final selection on my list. I am finishing where I started as Hunting Horn is trained by Sir Michael Stoute.

Reflecting on Acclamation’s career, his trainer Gerald Cottrell said: “We were hoping he could run for another year and it’s going to be sad losing him, we won’t have another one as good as him. He’s so placid, eats well and was so easy to train.” Let’s hope that the same can be said of my “50.”

All photos by kind permission of Ann Duffield Racing

Diary: May 21 2008

 

Well, Monday’s preview yielded a few winners so let’s hope that the trend continues!

Up at Ayr tomorrow in the 2.35 I looked at the top weight Gunfighter. He likes fast ground so we can safely ignore his last run at Doncaster. He won a couple of races at the back end of last season and is one to keep a close eye on.

The Goodwood card looks tricky and I must say I am struggling to come up with too many pearls of wisdom. In the 2.15 Ed Dunlop’s Formation does not look badly handicapped and could be an each way shot.

Turning to the 2.50 the race won by Savarain on the track over a furlong further 2 weeks ago looked a decent heat and he could well go in again. Whistledownwind has only had 3 runs and was runner up to Centennial at Sandown on his last start. There is a suspicion that he may need some cut in the ground as he won his maiden last season on soft. There is perhaps a question mark about the stable form with only 1 winner from the last 22 but many of the losers have been placed.

You may have seen the comments of Mikey64 about the 3.25. He’s is not a bad judge of things Goodwood and Dove Cottage clearly goes well at this track. He will need to win off a career high mark but that is not beyond the bounds of possibility. Dangers may be the lightly raced Royal Jasra and all weather winner Apache Fort.

In the 4.00 I am hoping for a big run from Rosa Grace (pictured below) who was 4th in the Rockfel Stakes at Newmarket last season.

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Count Ceprano was 6th in the Victoria Cup over 7 furlongs and was running on at the finish. He should be suited by the mile in the 5.45.

At Sandown Tropical Paradise who runs in the 6.00 is the subject of good reports. City Stable was disappointing on his seasonal reappearance but might be worth another chance in the 7.35.

Unleashed ran with some promise on his only run last season but then sustained an injury. He could be one to follow. He runs in the 8.10.

Diary: May 19 & 20 2008

 

We managed to get a few winners on Saturday, notably in the Lockinge. There are plenty of meetings over the next two days and something of interest in most of them.

At Bath in the 4.30 I wondered about Stow. He was 3rd at Pontefract on his reappearance and wouldn’t need to improve much from that to take a hand here.

Sir Mark Prescott has had winners recently and could well be poised for a few more. He runs Aleatricis (pictured below)  in the 2.40 at Musselburgh. The dam won twice as a 3 year old for Prescott and this horse looks on a very low mark for his pedigree.

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As a juvenile First Avenue was 6th to Twice Over on his debut at Newmarket and went on to confirm that promise by winning a Yarmouth maiden. He makes his handicap debut in the 7.40 at Windsor and is my selection.

Regal Step (pictured below)  has shown plenty of speed in her 3 runs to date and with Ryan Moore booked to ride looks to have a good chance in the 8.40 at Windsor.

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Moving on to Tuesday, Baybshambles represents our list to follow in the 3.20 at Beverley. He has a good draw but may not want the ground too firm. In the 3.50 Crocodile Bay should be all the better for a recent run. He seems versatile when it comes to underfoot conditions but may be besr on genuinely good ground.

Lanterns of Gold was a winner at Redcar last season and looks the sort to progress as a 3 year old. She comes from a stable in form and runs in the 4.20.

In the 4.50 I am interested in another Sir Mark Prescott 3 year old. Astrodome is a half brother to the prolific winner Alambic and should appreciate the step up in trip to 12 furlongs.

Fearless Warrior didn’t cut much ice on his reappearance at Salisbury 16 days ago but may be suited by more of a test of stamina and would be my each way pick in the 8.50.

In the 2.30 at Southwell I am a bit surprised that recent Wolverhampton winner Reclamation is kept to a mile. I still think she looks the sort to run up a sequence though.

Diary: May 18 2008

 

I will have a look back at today’s racing on Sunday evening but just a quick word about tomorrow.

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The Godolphin team received a major boost in the Lockinge and this may signal a return to better form for their horses. I see that they have the classy Literato in the Group 1 Prix D’Ispahan at Longchamp. The trip may be a bit sharp for him but his performance may be a further pointer to the wellbeing of the Godolphin operation.

Today’s picture is by kind permission of Mark Usher Racing.

 

Diary: May 17 2008

At the time of penning these notes last night’s preview had “bagged” two winners in Clowance and Full Speed.

Sir Michael Stoute’s team are flying at the moment and he introduced the well bred Dancer in Demand in the Newbury 1.35 tomorrow. He is related to the likes of North Light, Gamut and Researched.

In the 2.10 Malt or Mash and Regal Flush (both pictured below, Malt or Mas is the grey)are the pair that most interest me. Malt or Mash went from strength to strength last term recording 4 wins including the November Handicap at Doncaster. He steps up to 13 furlongs tomorrow. He has gears and if this turns into a tactical affair he may well take a hand in the finish. He is best on fast ground. Regal Flush was another progressive horse last season winning heritage handicaps at Goodwood and Haydock before finishing 4th in the St Leger. The Godolphin horses have tended to need their first run so I am not going to go overboard with a tip for him but he should win if producing his best form.

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The Lockinge at 2.45 is quite a puzzle. Cesare is likely to be a leading fancy. He has 9 career wins, 7 of them over this trip of a mile. Four of those wins have come at Ascot and he is yet to win at Group 1 level.

Peter Chapple-Hyam will have a big say in the outcome of this race as he has 3 runners. Al Qasi is the choice of Alan Munro. His chance is difficult to assess as he tackles a mile for the first time and he has never won over further than 6 furlongs. He should be all the better for his run when 2nd at Leicester 3 weeks ago, and if he stays and the ground is on the easy side he would have a chance. Tariq is pretty adaptable with regards to ground. He won the Lennox Stakes over 7 furlongs at Goodwood last season but is another that has to prove his stamina at this trip. Medicine Path ran up a hat trick of wins over this trip during the winter and spring but ran unaccountably poorly last time at Sandown. He seems to act on any ground.

Creachadoir represents Godolphin. He has never won beyond Group 3 level but was 2nd in both the French and Irish 2,000 guineas. Phoenix Tower has had injury problems but has won all 4 career starts, the last in a Group 3 race at Newmarket. The enigmatic Rob Roy runs for the in form Sir Michael Stoute yard but he could only finish 6th when he last ran in this race. I quite like Creachadoir in this but I am also going to put up Majestic Roi who ran well to beat Nannina and Echelon in the Sun Chariot at Newmarket last October. Mares have a good recent record in the Lockinge having won 3 of the last 4 runnings.

The 3.20 has been won by Mark Johnston and Sir Michael Stoute over the last 3 years and both have fancied runners this time. William Blake is unbeaten after 3 starts and has looked a typical Johnston 3 year old. A relentless galloper he may well try to make all. He won well at Beverley and may still be ahead of the handicapper despite a hike in the weights of 8 lbs. Colony won a competitive handicap at Sandown last month and has also gone up 8 lbs. Perhaps a less obvious contender but one worth having a look at is Whitcombe Minister.

There is a nice balance of progressive types and more established sprinters in the 3.55. Royal Rock has won 4 of his 8 career starts most recently at Yarmouth 19 days ago. He is steadily going up in the ratings but may yet have more to offer. Another recent winner is Jimmy Styles who won over course and distance last season and more recently won an Ascot handicap last week. Baby Strange (pictured below) had top class form as a 2 year old but then suffered a serious injury and didn’t race at 3. He has shown signs recently of a return to form and would certainly command respect here on his best form. Signor Peltro is a bit hard to predict but is capable on his day. He has a first time visor and comes from a stable in form.

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The fillies’ handicap at 4.30 will take some sorting out. I can’t say I have studied the form in any detail but the James Fanshawe filly Falconry (pictured below) who won a Doncaster maiden last season before coming last in the Group 1 Cheveley Park Stakes looks a likely sort for a race like this.

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Amaakin is very much a talking horse but if he lives up to the hype he would be hard to beat in the 5.00.

It is mainly guesswork in the 5.35 but I will put forward Film Maker who created a good impression when 5th in a maiden at Newmarket last season.

At Newmarket I like the look of Oceana Gold (pictured below) in the 2.25. He has a good record at the track.

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The Fifth Member has won on both good to firm and heavy and could be a fun horse to follow this year. He lines up in the 4.10

In the 4.45 I am interested in Exceptional Art who is by the first season sire Exceed and Excel.

Up at Thirsk Smarterthanuthink makes his handicap debut in the 3.10. He ran 3 times over sprint trips last season but now tackles a mile which should suit him.

Tom Tate has his horses in good form. He runs Inspector Clouseau in the 3.45. He won at Thirsk last season and also ran 2nd to Alexander Castle at Newcastle. He looks likely to pay his way in handicaps this season.

Recent Kempton winner Valery Borzov has a plum draw in the 4.20 and looks set to win again.

At Doncaster’s evening meeting Pegasus Prince goes for a hat trick in the 6.10 after a couple of wins on the all weather. He has a turf pedigree and looks to have an each way shout at 15/2. In the 7.45 Charles Parnell and Sir Nod are the two I like best.

Finally, in the 8.20 Throne of Power looks of interest. He didn’t get much luck in running last time but is a really good looking sort.

Good luck

Photos by kind permission of British 2YO Racing