Diary: August 17 2010

Tomorrow sees the start of York’s 4 day Ebor meeting.

The sprint handicap that opens the York card at 1.45 is an open looking affair. Barney McGrew won the race last year off a mark of 100 – he is now on 108 which could prove a problem. Last year’s runner up Hamish McGonigall has been in good form this season and has a good record at York. He is another that has gone up in the weights but I wouldn’t rule him out. Damien hasn’t won since his racecourse debut over 2 years ago. Cheverton is well handicapped but will not want the ground too firm. Oldjoesaid is another that is well handicapped although it is some time since he showed his best form. Walvis Bay was a well backed winner at Ripon earlier this month and does not have too many miles on the clock. Judge ‘n Jury has dropped to a winnable mark, does well in big fields and wins at this time of year. If pushed for a selection I would go for Walvis Bay.

In the 2.50 Derby 3rd Rewilding looks to have an outstanding chance for his in form stable.

Rip Van Winkle returned to form in the Sussex Stakes and is my selection in the 3.25 where he should be ideally suited by the trip.

In the 4.40 I am going for a couple of outsiders in Sweet Lightning and Markazzi.

At Kempton the progressive Byrony, a course and distance winner looks the one to be on in the nursery at 6.50.

 

Diary: August 16 2010

If you watched The Morning Line on Saturday you will have noted that Richard Hoiles gave Mistoffelees as his charity bet and the 4 year old won at 4/1 for his inexperienced rider. The horse looks one to follow and it will be interesting to see how he gets on with a more experienced jockey on board.

The National Stud Stakes at Newmarket went to the previously frustrating Dafeef, well ridden by Ted Durcan. The placed horses Deacon Blues and Bated Breath lost nothing in defeat and all 3 are worth noting for the future.

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Lucky Windmill was an emphatic winner of a maiden at Pontefract this afternoon for trainer Alan Swinbank. This horse ran twice last season over inadequate trips and I was waiting for his third run to see what his handicap mark would be. He won by rather a long way today and the handicapper is likely to be quite hard on him. He won over a mile today and there may well be further improvement to come, possibly if he is tried over further.

Selections for Monday.

Kempton 3.00 Wulfrida

4.00 Mass Rally

Windsor 5.40 Higgy’s Ragazzo

7.40 Official Style

Today’s picture is courtesy of the artist Katy Sodeau.

Diary: August 14 2010

The success in the Stewards’ Cup seems a long time ago now as we are suffering from something of a losing run.

Villefranche is a nice little bay in the South of France with a decent restaurant near the sea front that does wonderful salads. Michael Bell introduces the 2 year old Miss Villefranche tomorrow in the Doncaster 2.50. She comes from a winning family who all have names connected to the same area France. Miss Villefranche is out of the mare Miss Corniche who was a listed winner at 10 furlongs and her full sister Miss Eze won first time out as a juvenile, although that was on soft ground. Miss Villefranche is certainly an interesting runner.

In the 3.25 The Scorching Wind has dropped to a winnable mark if he can recapture his form. Mistoffelees won well at Yarmouth before disappointing at Ascot. He is worth another chance in the 5.45.

Dangerous Midge was a runaway winner of the Old Newton Cup at Haydock and may be able to take the step up in class in his stride in the Newbury 2.30. Fast ground does seem to suit him best however so we will need to take that into account.

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Bated Breath should continue his winning sequence in the Newmarket 3.20 where Deacon Blues looks the danger.

The big race at Ripon is the 3.30. Noverre to Go has run well in a couple of big handicaps since his win at Newmarket in May. He comes into the equation but would probably not want the ground too soft. Johannes is a course and distance winner and taking into account the 3 lbs that his able rider can take off is on a mark where he could be competitive. Course specialist Tajneed must have a major chance for sprint king Dandy Nicholls while Wildcat Wizard and Tiddlywinks who were 3rd and 4th at Goodwood last month should both go well. Tajneed will take some beating here as he has everything in his favour even I suspect the draw. Looking for a spot of value though I will go for Tiddliwinks who ran well at Goodwood when not well drawn.

Today’s picture is courtesy of the artist Jo Stockdale.

Diary: August 12 2010

Another rather ordinary days racing tomorrow.

At Goodwood the 3 year olds Spoken and Botanist make most appeal in the 7.35. Spoken is going for a hat trick of wins. He is not surprisingly going up in the weights but may still be ahead of the handicapper. Botanist ran three times last season ending with a win at Leicester. He is lightly raced and is another potential improver. Spoken is the selection.

Botanist is trained by Sir Michael Stoute as is Warm Memories who runs in the 3.05 at Salisbury. Warm Memories is a half brother to Doctor Freemantle and although his form to date is moderate he may be capable of better.

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Fair Trade is my each way selection in the 4.15 while in the 5.20 I fancy Lombok who was only beaten a short head at Brighton 6days ago.

Brian Meehan’s Field Day looks to have a solid chance in the 5.05 at Deauville.

My thanks to the artist Karen Davies for today’s picture.

Diary: August 11 2010

The racing is fairly mundane stuff at the moment. There are plenty of meetings though if you simply must have a bet!

Fastnet Storm is the sort of handicapper that pops up occasionally at rewarding odds. He runs at Beverley in the 4.20 but on recent form he would be hard to fancy as he has only beaten 3 horses in his last 3 runs. He runs over 10 furlongs tomorrow which is probably his best trip.

Liberty Cap has an each way chance in the nursery at Salisbury (3.00) while in the 4.05 Ceilidh House returns to the track after a bit of a break. She was next to last in the Oaks where she may not have handled the track and is worth another chance.

Sir Mark Prescott has won the 8.20 at Sandown 3 times in the last 7 year s and his Tuscan Gold could well add to that tally tomorrow. He is my bet of the day.

Diary: August 7 2010

Our losing run continues although things could have been different. It is always a fine line between success and failure at this game and it was a case of what might have been with Lombok beaten a short head.

Tomorrow is Shergar Cup day at Ascot where the jockeys team up with horses that they do not usually ride. It is the sort of meeting where results can be unpredictable and my strategy is usually to look for longer priced horses. In the opener at 2.10 I will go for Captain Carey who has been running well this season with 3 wins under his belt already.

Fareej showed some signs of a return to form on his last start and at 16/1 looks value in the 2.45. Bernie the Bolt has run in the Chester Cup where he had a hopeless draw and the Northumberland Plate, where he was hampered. He looked a promising sort last season and is worth another chance in the 3.55. In the 5.05 the pair I like are Deacon Blues, who has looked a progressive sprinter this season and Star Rover who has gradually been coming back to his best and could be ready to strike.

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Up at Haydock Comedy Act, a course and distance winner, goes for his fourth success this year and with Paul Hannigan in the plate looks to have a good chance in the 1.50.

Hannigan partners Our Joe Mac in the 2.20. This lightly raced 3 year old drops back to a mile after an unsuccessful effort at further. He is a little less exposed than some of his rivals and could go well.

Distant Memories has only been out of the first two twice in his 10 starts. He acts well on soft ground and looks to be in with a reasonable shout in the 2.50.

Poet’s Place was runner up to Jonny Mudball aat Newcastle a couple of runs ago and that form looks quite solid. He disappointed at Ascot last time over 7 furlongs but is back to 6 tomorrow in Haydock’s 4.35.

First time blinkers may do the trick for Putra One in the Newmarket 2.05 while in the 3.25 both Clinical and Musharakaat looks capable of further improvement.

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In the 3.40 I will put forward a couple of outsiders in Mata Keranjang and Primeaval. The 4.55 looks a tricky heat. Top weight Wells Lyrical was runner up in the Northumberland Plate last season. It is worth noting that all his career wins have come on good going. I tipped Plymouth Rock when he won on his racecourse debut so he is something of a favourite of mine. He has not actually won since but is yet to finish out of the first 4. Bollin Felix is something of a mudlark and will need conditions in his favour while Act of Kalanisi come here on the back of a narrow defeat at Southwell and is another for the short list. Plymouth Rock looks the percentage call.

The well bred Cloud’s End is unexposed and her current handicap mark of 80 could underestimate her ability. She looks well treated in the 5.35.

At Redcar my only selection is last time out winner Escape Artist in the 5.20.

Today’s pictures are courtesy of the artist Jane Dunn.

Diary: August 5 2010

After a remarkably unsuccessful day on the tipping front things can surely only get better!

There are plenty of race meetings tomorrow although not a lot of quality. At Brighton in the 3.30 Aestival could get back to winning ways while in the 6.00 at Folkestone the consistent Dungannon should go close.

It might pay to side with Sweetie Time up at Haydock in the 2.40. Not only is she a course and distance winner but her win also came with some give in the ground, a handy attribute given the rain recently in the north west.

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Another that will handle the soft going is Layla’s Dancer in the 4.10. He comes into the race on the back of a decent effort at Chester 4 days ago and his jockey Paul Hannigan will certainly be looking for winners. Another worth considering in this race is Think it’s all over. He handles the ground, is a winner last time out, has a good attitude and the stable seem to be running into form.

Finally I will try a bit of an outsider in the 3.50 at Yarmouth. Kenyan Cat is still a maiden but his last run was quite encouraging and he is dropping a little in the weights.

Today’s picture is courtesy of the artist Margaret Barrett.