Diary: October 3 2010

Well tomorrow is Arc day at Longchamp and although not the strongest renewal of the race it presents quite a puzzle for punters. I am inclined to side with the British and Irish challenge rather than the home team. Cape Blanco has had quite a busy season and there are perhaps just slight doubts over his stamina. Workforce was so impressive in the Derby but then beat only the pacemaker home in the King George so is difficult to weigh up. Perhaps the safest bet is Fame and Glory with 4 Group 1 wins on his CV.

Elsewhere on the card Kasbah Bliss looks the one to beat in the 12.05. He was only beaten a short head in this last season.

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In the 12.35 Planet Five looks over priced. Both the trip and the going will suit him. Prohibit and Arctic are others that look attractively priced while at shorter odds last year’s winner Total Gallery and the in form filly Lady of the Desert command respect.

There are some doubts about Goldikova’s ability to handle really soft ground and if she does not show her best from then Mudlark Regal Parade could pull off a surprise in the 2.20.

Today’s picture is courtesy of the artist Karen Davies.

Diary: October 2 2010

I will start tonight’s bulletin with a look at The Cambridgeshire at Newmarket (3.40).

Brunston will not have the ground in his favour and the same can also be said of The Cayterers, who is also just a pound or two higher in the handicap that would be ideal. Mirrored would have a chance on his best form but it is some time since he has shown that. He has seemed a bit unlucky on more than one occasion this season but has also tended to run too freely. The likely strong gallop should suit him and he is one that could pop up at a big price. Sweet Lightning has done well for me this season with a couple of wins. He should again run well but perhaps the handicapper knows too much about him at this stage of the season.

I have whittled the field down to 5. Ransom Note has won big handicaps at Ascot and York. He could be better than a handicapper and he is proven in big fields. Steel Tango is a Group 3 winner over course and distance and looks over priced. Elliptical is well handicapped and is a winner at this trip. His second last time out to Forte Dei Marmi was highly commendable. He has winning form on soft ground. Start Right has won twice this season and ran really well from a poor draw at The Curragh last time. High Twelve is a recent winner on the all weather and could be well in here under a 4 lbs penalty.

If pushed to narrow things down further I would go for Start Right and Ransom Note.

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The first race is at 1.55 where Musharakaat, third in the May Hill, has an each way chance at around 10/1.

On a day of big fields 27 line up for the 2.25. Fury won for us first time up and I am inclined to stick with him here.

The Group 1 race at 2.00 is quite tricky. Spacious will run her race as usual and should be thereabouts as should Strwaberrydaiquiri. Music Show has possibly the best form on show but it is possible that Seta has more to offer than she has shown so far and there does seem to be some stable confidence behind her.

In the 4.50 I will take a chance on Medicean Man who will handle the ground and is blinkered first time. The stable are going well at present.

At Epsom I would suggest a small interest in Kithonia and Aestival while in the 4.25 Guest Book could be of interest dropped back in trip.

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In the valuable 2 year old race at Redcar (3.20) I quite like the chance of Codemaster who was a winner at Newmarket in August. The 4.35 is an interesting listed race. Stewards Cup hero Evens and Odds steps up from handicap company and has a chance at a big price. Inler has changed stables and could improve on a couple of disappointing efforts this season but for my selection I will go for Kingsfort for Godolphin who have won 3 of the last 6 runnings of the race.

Dispol Kylie hasn’t won for a long time but she ran with promise last time out and Paul Hannigan has the ride which must be a plus in the 5.45, while Zaplamation could go well at decent odds in the 6.15.

At Longchamp Distant Memories will relish the ground in the 3.50.  Another English challenger that will appreciate the going is High Heeled in the 3.15.

Today’s pictures are courtesy of the artist Sue Malkin (see link below for more details on this artist).

Sue Malkin

Bye for now.