Month: November 2009

 

I am a bit short of time tonight so I have tried to pick out a few runner of interest from each of the  meetings tomorrow.

At Aintree the consistent Wendel likes plenty of give in the ground and should have conditions to suit him in the 1.10. 

Border Tale is on a mark he should be competitive from.  He runs in the handicap hurdle at 12.50 up at Musselburgh but in his case the rain needs to stay away.  Classy hurdler Tazbar makes his chase debut in the 1.25.  He should win this on his way to bigger and better things over fences.

At Towcester my best bet is Lady Carolina a winning pointer who showed promise over hurdles when second at Southwell in February.

At Navan Good Fella could run well at a big price in the 2.35 while my two against the field in the 3.05 are Sports Line and Solstice Knight.

My thanks to Sarah Clegg for the photo of horses jumping the Canal Turn at Aintree.

There is top class racing tomorrow at both Ascot and Haydock. Starting at Ascot the mare’s handicap hurdle at 1.30 is being run for the first time so we have no stats to guide us from past seasons. The two that head the weights, Easter Legend and Ravello Bay, are my fancies. The latter had a consistent campaign last season with form figures that read 2132. Only beaten a short head by Argento Luna at Newbury on his last start he could still be well treated. Easter Legend has shown a tenacious attitude in her races and finished last season with a battling second to a Paul Nicholls runner in a competitive handicap at Cheltenham in April. Ravello Bay looks the most likely winner with Easter Legend in with an each way shout.

In the 2.05 I think the winner will come from either Cornas or Master Medic.

The Ascot Hurdle at 2.35 is a particularly intriguing contest and a case could be made for all 8 runners. The presence of front runner Lough Derg should make it a true test so the winner will need to get the trip. Straw Bear has not enjoyed himself over fences and reverts to the smaller obstacles here. He does of course have top class from over timber having won the Christmas Hurdle at Kempton back in 2007. Red Moloney was a smart horse on the flat and won 3 times over hurdles last season. He likes a flat track but his recent defeat at the hands of Katies Tutor leads me to think that there are others in the field tomorrow with a better chance. The admirable Katchit (pictued below) has a Champion Hurdle on his CV but failed to win a race last season and although he might make the frame I can’t see him winning somehow.

Elusive Dream injured himself at Ascot last Christmas and didn’t make much impression on his recent comeback run. He is a horse that likes decent ground. Triumph Hurdle winner Zaynar gives the impression that he will stay this longer trip. Time For Rupert is a likable sort who ended last season by winning a valuable handicap hurdle at Aintree over an extended 3 miles. Finally, Karabak who was runner up in the Ballymore Novices Hurdle and is a course and distance winner is another to consider seriously. Time For Rupert could go well at a decent price but Zaynar and Karabak may well fight out the finish.

The Grade 2 chase at 3.10 features a couple of real old favourites in Monet’s Garden and Voy Por Ustedes as well as promising newcomer Planet of Sound. Monet’s Garden has only run at Ascot twice, winning one and finishing runner up to Kauto Star. He also has the benefit of a recent run, and that a winning one. Voy Por has not won first time out in any of the last 3 seasons but there may have been excuses each time. I will give Alan King’s horse my selection.

At Haydock the consistent SA Suffitt carries top weight in the 12.45 although talented conditional Harry Haynes is excellent value for his 5 lbs claim. Two miles might be a bit short for SA Suffitt but in testing conditions that might not matter so much. He is consistent and should go well having won on soft ground before.

I liked the way that Mr Thriller won at Chepstow last month and I will take him to follow up in the 1.15. Peddler’s Cross won his only Irish point to point and is well regarded by connections. He should go well in the 1.45.

The 2.20 over the fixed brush hurdles at Haydock is a competitive looking affair. Diamond Harry may well start favourite on the back of a successful hurdles campaign last season where his only defeat came when far from disgraced in the Ballymore Hurdle. He gets on well with jockey Timmy Murphy and the stable are in good form. Pause and Clause was 3^rd in the Coral Cup last season and should be suited by these obstacles as he has already been schooled over fences. The soft ground may be against him tomorrow however. Wendel will not mind the ground as he won on heavy at Ascot last season. He jumps well and travels in his races and at around 14/1 there are worse outsiders. Recent Kelso winner McMurrough is another to consider although soft ground would probably not be in his favour. The consistent Pennek stays well and like most of these will be going novice chasing in due course. He won on the soft in France so the ground should be OK. Ring the Boss is another for the short list although the stable form could give cause for concern. I have followed Diamond Harry from the start of his career and I would like to see him win here – he may well do so but he does have his quirks. Wendel the mudlark has each way claims as does the honest Pennek.

In the Betfair Chase it would seem to be between the first 5 in the betting. The testing ground will suit Halcon Generlardais but he has always looked just short of the very top class and unless this turned into a real mudbath I don’t think he will have the necessary gears. Imperial Commander seems to struggle over this trip and is passed over for that reason. Madison Du Berlais is useful on his day and as long as all 8 runners stand their ground he looks the each way bet in the race. Notre Pere will love the ground but comes into the race after a fall at Down Royal. He has a stone to find with Kauto Star but he stays well and is likely to try and run the finish out of his distinguished rival. Kauto Star (pictured below) has an impressive strike rate and has won this twice in the past. He can put in the odd substandard run but he is entitled to be ranked with the all time greats and should prevail.

In the 3.25 The Vicar can give Henrietta Knight a win. A course winner on heavy ground when accounting for subsequent winner SA Suffit last season he ticks the right boxes.

At Huntingdon I like High Jack and War Footing in the 1.35. On the basis that the rgound may not be soft enough for War Footing I will narrowly prefer High Jack. In the 2.45 Borora may find the trip on the sharp side and the two I prefer are Bob Bob Bobbin, a very good second at Aintree recently and the evergreen Mister McGoldrick from the in form stable of Sue Smith. The latter has a very capable conditional jockey reducing his weight and gets the nod.

There is an inspection planned at Gowran Park in the morning. If racing goes ahead my selection is Taking Stock in the 1.40.

Today’s pictures are courtesy of the artist Lisa Miller.

There is a lot of satisfaction to be derived from tipping a horse that actually wins, so imagine my jubilation when 3 of the blighters that I tipped last night managed to get their heads in front. Fair enough the odds were skinny (and in one case positively suffering from malnutrition!). Still a winner is a winner and if you got on early you could have had 6/4 about Sereth.

The well fancied Paul Nicholls runner Vico was beaten today (although I wouldn’t write him off just yet) and Nicholls has another likely favourite in the Ascot 12.55 tomorrow in Red Harbour. He has the course form having won twice in bumpers at the Berkshire track last season but he was a little disappointing on his hurdles debut at Exeter where he could only finish 3^rd. It is possible that the heavy ground that day counted against him and although rain is forecast for Ascot tomorrow that track rarely gets too soft these days. Emma Lavelle saddles another fancied runner in this with Prior’s Glen who ran well in a couple of decent bumpers last season. The winners of both those races have since been beaten when reappearing over obstacles which perhaps tempers the enthusiasm a tad. Red Harbour may well win but his price will be short, artificially so perhaps and I will take a chance on Prior’s Glen as the value.

Nicky Henderson saw a couple of his novice chasers win today and saddles another promising recruit tomorrow in Zemsky who runs in the 1.30. A winner over hurdles at Plumpton and Perth last season he also has a couple of Irish point to point successes on his CV which is encouraging for a would be steeplechaser.

Alan King’s horses have tended to need their initial run of the season but one that managed to win impressively first time out was Manyriverstocross at Chepstow. He looks to follow up in the Ascot 2.05. Chepstow form does not always translate to other tracks but this horse was useful on the flat and has strong claims. The highly rated bumper winner Vino Griego is likely to be his main danger but Manyriverstocross is the selection.

Aconitum and Tara Taylor I the two I like in the 3.35 at Exeter. The latter has the assistance of AP McCoy which is no bad thing and both ground and trip should suit. Tara Taylor is the selection.

Bumper winner Wymott was second on his hurdles debut and should go well in the 12.15 at Kelso. The extra distance shouldn’t trouble him and he is my idea of the winner.

Little Josh fell on his last outing but based on previous hurdles and chase form he looks the one to be on in the 1.50.

Finally, Garleton was entered in the Northumberland National the other day when the Hexham meeting was washed out.  He runs in the Kelso 3.00 tomorrow and the stable clearly have confidence in his stamina.  He comes into the race in good form and Sue Smith had a winner this week with Nirvana Swing.  Garleton looks the one they have to beat in this.

Today’s picture is by courtesy of Emily Russell.

 

Nirvana Swing gained a well deserved win at Market Rasen this afternoon. He is a typical big staying chaser from Sue Smith’s yard and was well ridden by his conditional jockey. Ballybriggan was second in his race and should be up to winning a race or two and with the only Irish selection coming in, albeit at cramped odds it wasn’t such a bad day.

Starting with the meeting at Hereford tomorrow Ballingaddy looks an interesting runner in the 3.20. He won a point to point at Athenry in April 2008 before joining Alan King. His best effort under rules was a 4^th at Doncaster in January. Off a mark of 95 and with Charlie Huxley taking 3 lbs off he looks value at around 10/1.

Sereth won 5 times on the flat in Germany including couple of listed races. His best effort in the UK was when 3^rd behind Darley Sun in the Cesarewich. If he takes to hurdling then his class on the flat will make him difficult to beat in the 12.40 at Huntingdon tomorrow.

There is a very hot novice chase at 2.10. Micheal Flips, Dave’s Dream and Numide are all exciting prospects having shown a decent level of form over hurdles. Dave’s Dream has always looked a chaser in the making and with AP McCoy in the saddle I will burden him with my selection.

Vico won both his point to points in the west country and is rated a top prospect at the Paul Nicholls stable. He makes his hurdling debut in the 1.00 at Wincanton tomorrow.

Carole’s Legacy has decent form both in bumpers and over hurdles and should make a winning debut over fences in the 2.00.

My thanks to Ruth S Harris for her photo of Hereford racecourse.

Garleton won at Hexham on his seasonal reappearance and returns to that track tomorrow for the Northumberland National over 4 miles at 2.20. He won twice over fences last season and has had a wind operation since. He jumps well in the main but his better form has been on good ground and there may be a question mark over his ability to handle testing conditions over such a marathon trip. I will stick with him although the ground is a concern.

Bakkybriggan won a bumper last season at Wetherby when he was trained by Victor Dartnall. He has changed stables since and John Quinn runs him at Market Rasen in the novice hurdle at 12.40. He looked to have plenty of potential when winning his bumper.

Nirvana Swing has finished runner up on his last two starts and deserves to get his head in front. He runs in the 2.10.

Picaroon won at Market Rasen last Boxing Day but disappointed when he next visited the Lincolnshire track in the summer. His last run when 5^th to Harry Tricker at Sandown was not a bad effort and he is worth considering in the 2.40. In the same race Friendly King, a winner at Fakenham last season, does not look on a bad mark. This is a tricky race with the likely favourite River Logic from a stable bang in form. I am going to take a chance with the outsider Friendly King.

At Clonmel Fionnegas comes into the 12.35 with a 100% record. He looks a progressive sort and is difficult to oppose.

My thanks to David Hebb for use of his photo of “the betting jungle” at Market Rasen.

 

Last night’s preview yielded a couple of odds on winners and a 10/1 second so not too bad.

The meeting at Folkestone tomorrow looks quite interesting and there are a couple of horses that I have been waiting for in the 1.10. Rigadin de Beauchene is a half brother to a Welsh National winner and will probably need further than this trip in time. He showed enough in his couple of runs in bumpers to suggest there is more to come and he is one to keep an eye on. For this race though I prefer Aegean Dawn, another well related individual who impressed many good judges when winning a bumper at Kempton in February.

I also considered Vodka Brook (1.40) and Nikos Extra (2.40) although neither would want the ground too testing.

 

There are jumps meetings at Leicester, Plumpton and Cork tomorrow. At Leicester I will put up Devon Native as a “sporting” bet. A winner at Southwell in the summer a recent run at Uttoxeter should put her spot.

There are a couple of interesting runners in the Plumpton 1.50. Coin of the Realm won on the flat at Epsom in the summer. On his previous efforts over hurdles he has raced a little too keenly but if he settles he should go close. The Betchworth Kid makes his hurdles debut. Rated over 100 on the flat he was 3^rd in the Goodwood Cup this year and if he can jump he will be a very useful recruit to the winter game.

In the 2.20 Bensalem makes his eagerly awaited chase bow for trainer Alan King. His only defeat over hurdles last season came at the hands of Diamond Harry in a Grade 2 and he looks just the sort to make a chaser. Den of Iniquity is another runner to look out for in this race. He has always appealed as a chaser in the making.

Luska Lad was 3^rd in a hot race at Down Royal the other week. He looks to have an easier task in the 1.30 at Cork tomorrow and is the selection.

Today’s picture is courtesy of Katy Sodeau.

Winners, winners, winners!!!

Last night’s preview yielded 5 winning tips plus Jurisdiction, advised each way, which was third at 10/1. For the record the winning quartet was; Pistolet Noir (7/2), Pettifour (8/11), Tranquil Sea (11/2), Lie Forrit (11/4) and Quel Esprit (4/9).

The first couple of races at Cheltenham tomorrow will be informative but are not really betting propositions. Tataniano was most impressive when winning at Exeter and looks a really nice prospect. A clear round will surely see him home in the 1.10.

Master Minded makes his reappearance in the 1.45 where his only serious danger, and that could be a considerable danger, will be Well Chief. Well Chief is better off at the weights than when runner up to Master Minded in the Champion Hurdle and in theory should come close to reversing the form. I have a gut feeling that Master Minded will come out on top again – but I wouldn’t put money on it.

The Greatwood Hurdle at 2.20 is a much more competitive affair. James De Vasy comes into the race in good heart having won well at Chepstow last month. Although he has gone up in the weights as a result of his win he stays and handles soft ground so he is definitely one for any short list. Philip Hobbs has won this race in the past with both Rooster Booster and Detroit City and is represented by Cockney Trucker this time. He was 3^rd in the County Hurdle over course and distance and runs off the same mark here. That puts him in with a very good chance if he handles the ground OK. Medermit was only beaten a neck in the Supreme Novices over course and distance and handles cut in the ground. He has top weight but 3 recent winners of the race have carried 11 stone 10 to victory. Ronald Des Mottes won twice over hurdles last season and has won on soft and heavy ground so must come onto the equation. Northern challenger Issaquah is another to consider but my two against the field would be Cockney Trucker and Medermit.

I don’t have a strong view on the 2.55. I see Great Endeavour, third behind Lie Forrit this afternoon, is down to run but must be a doubt after his efforts today. If David Pipe does turn him out again I suppose that would be a tip in itself.

Reve De Sivola won the Persian War Novice Hurdle at Chepstow and could well follow up in the 3.30 a race that the stable won last season with Diamond Harry. Reve De Sivola handles soft ground, has run well at Cheltenham before and his stable are going well. Bobby Ewing could be the danger. An Irish points winner he won at the first time of asking over hurdles at Uttoxeter. He is yet to encounter soft ground. Ballyoliver may be better than his bare form suggests and could run into a place at a silly price. Lastly at Cheltenham Lidar is my selection in the 4.00.

At Market Rasen Sir Boreus Hawk looks worth an each way interest in the 1.35.

At Punchestown Sizing Europe should be able to continue his progress over fences in the 1.05 although the ground would be a slight concern. A small saver on China Rock is recommended.

In the 2.05 Venalmar and Lenabane look the pair to concentrate on. Clan Tara was only beaten a head by the highly rated Pandorama on his chase bow last month and can go one better in the 12.35.

Hurricane Fly and Solwhit clash in the 2.40. This is an intriguing race and will give us an indication of just how good Hurricane Fly is. A race to watch rather than bet on.

The picture of Detroit City is by kind permission of the artist Emily Russell.

My selection in the 12.50 at Cheltenham tomorrow is Pistolet Noir, trained by Nick Williams. He made a pleasing debut at Chepstow where he was third behind Olofi. This pair meet again tomorrow but I just feel that Pistolet Noir may have the greater scope for improvement and I am hoping that he will reverse the form.

There is a disappointing turnout of only 3 runners for the 1.20 and it may turn into a tactical affair. Toby Jug abd Kanpai both have winning form over fences but I am going to take a chance with the chasing debutant Pettifour. A classy hurdler he is built to do well over the larger obstacles and his stable traditionally do well at this time of year

Maljimar was only run out of it close home in the William Hill Trophy by the ill fated Wichita Lineman last season and he is one of my fancies for the 1.55. He probably wouldn’t want the ground too soft. One that won’t mind soft ground is the dour stayer Russian Trigger ho won a couple of long distance handicaps last season including the Midlands National.

Our Vic (pictured below) carries top weight in the Paddy Power Gold Cup at 2.35. He has been a grant servant to the Pipe team and has won plenty of prize money. He won this race in 2005 but at the age of 11 there may be younger challengers that make more appeal.

Paul Nicholls has 3 fancied runners. Ruby Walsh has elected to ride Poquelin but there may be a doubt about the horse’s ability to handle the ground if it gets really testing. Tatenen won’t mind the mud. He started last season brightly but in the end rather under achieved. He stays well though and the trip should suit him. Chapoturgeon won the Jewson at the Festival last season but has gone up in the weights as a result. I would be hopeful that he will run a big race.

Tartak was a progressive horse last season but ran poorly on his reappearance at Aintree. Ballyfitz and According to Pete are others to consider but I will take a chance with Tranquil Sea, a horse I have always liked. He does not have a good record at Cheltenham and the Irish have not won this race for some years but he could be on a good mark and he has plenty of ability.

In the 3.10 I like the chances of the lightly raced Lie Forrit whom was probably unlucky when unseating on his last start at Aintree. Soft ground will suit him. Great Endeavour did well for David Poipe last season winning 3 times over hurdles. He may be going chasing later in the season but in the meantime he comes into this race with a decent chance. Andytown in the other one that gets on to my short list. He clearly likes Cheltenham and is yet to taste defeat there. He has gone up a fair way in the weights but has the benefit of AP McCoy in the saddle and cannot be written off. Lie Forrit is the selection though.

Moving on to Uttoxeter I have a short list of 3 for the 1.05. Sullumo and Midnight Chase are respected but I will take a chance with Vamizi who ran 4^th to the useful Bensalem over hurdles a year ago at Chepstow. My only selection at Wetherby is Jurisdiction each way in the 3.55.

At Punchestown rising star Dunduib should win the 1.50 but will hardly be a betting proposition. The 3.30 looks to be between Quel Esprit and Hugo de Vindecy with a slight preference for the former.

Today’s pictures are courtesy of the artist Lisa Miller.

Neither of the selections from last night’s preview actually ran so at least we had no losers!

The 3 day Cheltenham meeting starts tomorrow and I will concentrate mainly on that. The day kicks off with an amateur riders handicap chase at 1.15. Hoopy won the race last year and although he has gone up in the weights since then I am hopeful that he will run a big race again. He is ridden by one of the best amateurs around and he has had a recent run over hurdles so should be fit.

The 1.50 looks tricky with a couple of decent Irish challengers plus a promising Paul Nicholls runner. Some Present was runner up in the Champion bumper at Cheltenham in the spring and has since won over hurdles at Punchestown. He was subsequently beaten in a falsely run race and that run can probably be ignored. Loosen My Load won bumpers at Cork and Galway, the latter a particularly competitive event beating The Jigsaw Man. He then won over hurdles at Listowel before being beaten into 2^nd spot in a Grade 3 race at Tipperary. A big chasing type he may want further than 2 miles in time. Tito Bustillo won twice on the flat in France before joining Paul Nicholls, one of those wins coming in a valuable handicap at Longchamp. He got off the mark in good style over hurdles at Chepstow. Not an easy one to call but Some Present sets a fair standard and he will do for me.

I do not have a particularly strong view on the 2.25. Ferdy Murphy has his horses running well and he has Beggars Cap in this, a horse who needs good ground to be seen at his best. If conditions are in his favour he would be my tentative suggestion.

Garde Champetre and Silver Birch (pictured below) finished first and second in the La Touche Cup at Punchestown in April. I fancy Garde Champetre to confirm the form in the 3.00 tomorrow particularly as he has the benefit of a recent run.

My short list for the 4.05 consists of Little Josh and Knockara Beau. I will let my readers decide between them.

I have a couple of selections at Newcastle. 12.25 Premier Sagas and 12.55 Lord Larsson. The former was one of the better bumper horses in the north last season. Lord Larsson was a consistent performer over hurdles last season but unseated his rider early on when making his chase debut at Bangor. He looks a chasing type and hopefully will give us a run for our money.

Bye for now

The picture of Silver Birch is by courtesy of the artist Sarah Aspinall.