Month: October 2009

It is something of a day of destiny for Sea the Stars tomorrow. Already confirmed as the best horse we have seen for quite a while he could join the all time greats with a win in the Arc at Longchamp. Will he do it? He is the likely winner but taking a very short price about him could be unwise. The Arc is inevitably a bit of a rough race and there is no lack of quality opposition. Vision D’Etat and Conduit look likely to give the hot favourite most to do while a late swoop from Youmzain can’t be ruled out. They would be my first 4 home.

In the Prix de L’Abbaye I will stick with that old favourite Borderlescott with Benbaun the main danger. Midday can give Henry Cecil a winner in the 2.30 while it would be great to see Yeats sign off with a win in the 4.45 where Askar Tau could be an each way shout.

There is also jumping action around the country.

At Kelso in the 5.40 Jurisdiction is an interesting runner4. He won a bumper at Newton Abbot in May and although he may find it hard to win again here under a penalty he looks a fair long term prospect.

At Uttoxeter Moorlands Teri can give Tim Vaughan a winner in the 2.35.

Today’s picture is courtesy of the artist Sally Martin.

The Newmarket card tomorrow opens with a race for 2 year odld fillies at 1.50 that is a two horse race according to the tipsters. In search of value I will put up the Godolphin runner Siyaadah against the big two. She won well on her debut and there may have been something amiss when she disappointed next time out. There are a couple of others to note for future reference in Song to the Moon and House Point. Both are likely to need their first run but are interesting prospects for the future.

Sir Michael Stoute has his team in great form and his Markazzi could be a value bet in the 2.25 after an impressive win at Leicester. Kona Coast could run into a place at a huge price while the other John Gosden entry Meezaan is an interesting newcomer.

My list to follow is represented by Fantasia and Spacious in the 3.00 but they may be battling for the minor honours as Ghanaati has by far the best form on show.

And so to the Cambridgeshire at 3.40 and a little matter of 36 runners to sort out!

Swop is worth careful consideration despite unimpressive recent form figures. He caught the eye at Doncaster last time and may just be coming into form at the right time. He was 3^rd in this last year and is now on a higher mark but his trainer targets these big handicaps and he is one for the shortlist. The versatile grey Nanton has been in fine form all season and is a horse I like. He is 8 lbs higher than last year when he was second but he has probably improved since then. Fight Club is an intriguing entry from a stable better known for their jumpers. He hasn’t run for over a year and was last on his previous two starts but he was a Group 2 winner in Germany 4 years ago and a reproduction of that sort of form would make him a live contender. He may well need soft ground however.

The lightly raced Tryst could turn out to be better than a handicapper and is another to take seriously. There are two points against him; his lack of experience and the possibility that fast ground may not suit him. Charm School is very capable on a going day and to be fair to him his form has improved since he was gelded. The likely strong pace will suit him and he seems to go on any ground. Applause is a lightly raced type with claims. She missed the break at Ascot last time out but before that had won a Redcar handicap on fast ground. Greylami and Almiqdaad are others to consider in a very open race. Applause looks to have been laid out for this and is the selection. The Paul Cole trained Moynahan may be worth a small each way saver.

At Epsom I fancy last time out winner Dylanesque to follow up in the 2.35 where she should be suited by the step up to 7 furlongs.

I have been following Raines Cross this season as I like his underrated trainer. A winner at Salisbury on his last start I can see him running a big race in the 3.10.

Sovereign Remedy won a Nottingham maiden at the start of the season and has run well since in decent handicaps. He looks to have a good chance in the 4.20. Course and distance winner Chadwell Spring looks over priced and is a viable each way alternative. There is a runner from my list to follow in the 4.55. Ebyain does not really look good value at around 7/2 however.

Pastoral Player won well on his debut at Newbury and will do for me in the Redcar 3.15. The only runner from my list to follow at Redcar is Musaalem in the 3.55 but he has a bit too find at the weights with some of his rivals.

There are a few list runners in action at Longchamps. We have Cat Junior in the 2.40 where Border Patrol is another interesting British challenger. In truth though it is hard to see Goldikova being beaten. Spring of Fame runs in the 3.45 but though consistent is probably not quite up to winning at this level. Pipedreamer on the other hand looks to have a winning chance in the 4.20.

My only selection at Gowran Park is China Rock in the 5.25. At Fontwell recent Worcester winner William’s Wishes is turned out again quickly in the 3.30 and should win again.

Today’s pictures are courtesy of the artist Ruth Buchanan.

The main action tomorrow is on the flat at Newmarket. In the Cheveley Park Stakes at 2.30 Lady of the Desert looks to have the best form and is likely to prove difficult to beat. The main danger may come from the French challenger Special Duty who was second to Arcano at Deauville. In the Middle Park at 3.05 I will stick with Showcasing who was my tip when winning at York on his last start.

In the first race of the day at 1.25 I will take a chance with the Godolphin runner Sweet Sonnet who shaped well when second in a listed race at Salisbury and should appreciate the fast ground.

There are some interesting runners in the 3.40. Andrew Balding saddles Tartan Trip who showed signs of ability when 4^th at York despite running green. Sir Michael Stoute saddles two. Mushreq should certainly come on for his 4^th at Newmarket in August. Ryan Moore rides Total Command who is a full brother to Arabian Gulf. These 3 are all worth watching.

I thought about Chock A Block for the 4.15. He put up a more promising performance when 3^rd to Twice Over at Doncaster. With only 3 career starts he may well have scope to improve.

I have been following Bab Al Salam this season and been rewarded with 3 wins in quick succession. There may well be more to come from him but I am going to look elsewhere for the winner of the 4.50 as I like the look of the Michael Jarvis trained Alainmaar. He was beaten by Stoic at Newmarket and that horse has gone on to score twice. Alainmaar then won in good style at Pontefract and his mark of 97 could well be lenient.

At Lingfield Jachol is due a win. He has been in the frame numerous times but remains a maiden. He surely has a race in him and looks to get off the mark in the 5.35.

Wolverhampton next and Galiotto is another one that is still a maiden despite several near misses. He tackles a longer trip tomorrow in the 6.50 which should suit him.

Charles Parnell should give us a run for our money in the 7.20 while Spate River is the selection in the 9.20.

Today’s picture is courtesy of the artist Margaret Barrett.