Diary: May 22 2008

 

Sixties Icon looks like being odds on for the Goodwood 2.50 tomorrow but at around 11/4 Blue Ksar could represent the value. The question mark remains about the form of the Godolphin horses though.

At Haydock Camelot Communion (pictured below) should be all the better for her run at Pontefract last month and has an each way chance.

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Bukit Tunggi was only beaten a head in 2nd at Doncaster earlier in the month and the 4th horse in that race has won since. He would be my selection in the 3.00 where Plane Painter could also go well.

In the 3.35 I have narrowed it down to 3. Thannaan is the obvious choice on the basis of a comfortable success at Folkestone last month that has since been franked by the runner up. A mark of 80 looks quite lenient. Majeen looks the obvious danger on the basis of two seconds on his last couple of starts in 2007. One that could run well at a bigger price is Shanafarahan who showed promise last season and would be interesting if settling better as he took a keen hold on his final run last season.

Iron Cross showed zilch over 3 runs as a juvenile but it would be no surprise if he found the longer trip of the 7.40 at Salisbury a very different proposition.

Lastly in the 8.40 I will take a chance with Sheer Bluff each way on the basis of his fair 2nd at Great Leighs 3 weeks ago.

Photograph by kind permission of Ann Duffield Racing

2008 Two Year Olds to Follow

Two Year Olds to Follow

Only rabbits proliferate more than horses to follow guides to the flat these days. No bad thing of course on the basis that the more information we have the merrier we will be. There are not so many that concentrate on the latest crop of 2 year olds however and so to help fill that void I have compiled a list of 50 juveniles that I hope will provide readers with some interest and hopefully a winner or two.

I have not concentrated particularly on early season types and I hope that at least some of the horses go on to have successful careers beyond their first season. In coming up with the list I have looked at pedigrees, concentrated on certain trainers and thrown in a generous dollop of personal opinion (and just a pinch of guesswork.) Anyway, here are my “50 to follow.”

I make no excuses for starting with half a dozen juveniles trained by Sir Michael Stoute. Not a man to have too many 5 furlong early winners but in the longer term there is no better trainer to follow. One of the most exciting 2 year olds on this list is Baryna, by Pivotal, and the first foal of the multiple Group 1 winning filly Russian Rhythm, who was outstanding in a generation that contained the likes of Soviet Song and Six Perfections. Like Russian Rhythm, Echelon runs in the red and white of Cheveley Park Stud. Although not quite in the class of the 2003 1,000 Guineas winner, Echelon is a classy filly in her own right and a winner of 9 races, including a Group 1. Her half sister Expressive, is by first season sire Falbrav and very much one to look out for.

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Spanish Sun had a short but successful career for the Stoute team. She only ran 3 times, but won the Ribblesdale Stakes at Royal Ascot. Spanish Sun’s brother, Spanish Moon, has already won twice, including a listed race this season. All this bodes well for the aptly named Cordoba, a daughter of Spanish Sun. Maraahel has been a great servant to connections and of his 8 career wins all bar one have been at Group 2 or 3 level. Maraahel’s half brother, Almuktahem, is another with Sir Michael Stoute. Remarkably 3 of Maraahel’s wins have come in the Huxley Stakes at Chester (he almost made it 4 in a row this season.) My next two selections also have connections with the Roodeye.

Arabian Gulf has only raced 3 times to date, but ran Soldier of Fortune to a short head in the Chester Vase last season. His half sister Dream Win, by Oasis Dream, looks of interest.

Danehurst won 10 times in all, the last of these being a listed race at Chester where she was returned at evens. That does not tell the whole story though as after forfeiting ground with a poor start, the five-year-old mare still looked hopelessly placed many lengths behind the leaders as the field turned for home. She then had to be switched at least twice to get a run and still had five lengths to make up on Golden Nun passing the furlong marker.
To her enormous credit she then responded to her jockey’s strong riding to produce a late burst which got her up to win a couple of strides before the post. Those who managed to get the 21’1 offered in running on Betfair about the even-money chance deserved every penny. Her second foal, a filly called Pole Position by Pivotal and is the last of my selections from Sir Michael Stoute’s yard, for the moment anyway.

My next 4 are all from Roger Charlton’s stable, starting with what I hope will be one of my bankers. Ffestiniog won in listed company as a 2 year old but it is as a brood mare that she has really excelled as her first 6 offspring have all been winners. They include Eisteddfod, still going strong at the age of 7, Brecon Beacon, Tredegar and Harlech Castle. The latest is a colt called Border Patrol, let’s hope that he maintains the family tradition. You may remember Tante Rose, a filly that won the Sprint Cup at Haydock, just edging out Somnus. Her first, and sadly only foal is a filly called Rose Diamond, again with Roger Charlton. Speciosa’s win in the 1,000 Guineas was a triumph for the underdog as she came from a stable more used to getting winners in novice hurdles around the gaffs. Her half brother, Classically is by the sire, Indian Haven, himself a surprise classic winner from an unfashionable stable when taking the Irish 2,000 Guineas in 2003. I followed a horse called Mutajarred last season with some success as he won 3 times and has to date never been out of the first 4. His half sister, Little Conker who is my next selection from Roger Charlton’ string.

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One of the success stories of the 2004 season was the performance of sprinter Pivotal Point taking the Stewards Cup en route to the Diadem Stakes. Sylvester Kirk now trains this one’s half brother, called True Decision. Simianna was down the field in several of the races won by Pivotal Point that season. One win from 19 attempts hardly seems to qualify Simianna for a special mention on the face of it.  The bare statistics do not tell the full story however as she was given few favours by the handicapper but put up a string of fine efforts in defeat.  Her only win came at Newmarket at 11/2 but she repaid each way support 5 times at odds of 22/1, 10/1, 16/1, 6/1 and 20/1. Her first foal, Jan Mayen, a filly by Halling, is with Mark Johnston.

Baltic King beat Pivotal Point by a neck in 2003 at Ascot and was a smart sprinter, especially on quick ground, and he won the Wokingham in 2006. His sister, La Belle Dane will be trained this season by Jeremy Noseda. Greensward a colt with Brian Meehan is from a family I have followed for years. The dam, Frizzante won the Group 1 July Cup and is a half sister to Zidane and Firenze. The latter pair were both out of a mare called Juliet Bravo, named after an old TV series about a woman police office.

Countess Zara trained by Andrew Balding comes from a particularly strong sprinting family. Her dam, Lochridge, won 5 times including in listed company and this is her first foal. The second dam Lochsong was a champion Sprinter winning 15 times including 3 at Group 1 level.

Sticking with the sprinters, Hughie Morrison is one of the trainers I like to follow and of course has had considerable success with Sakhee’s Secret recently. He has the half sister called Some Sunny Day so it will be interesting to see how this one progresses.

One of the good things about sprinters is that they tend to have lengthy careers. A case in point is Continent who won twice last season at the age of 10. A real hold up horse his finest hour came in 2002 when he won the July Cup (Danehurst was 3rd). His half brother Euston Square, another by Oasis Dream, is with John Gosden. Caribbean Coral is another grand old sprinter still going at the age of 9 with a liking for Epsom and Chester. His half brother, Trip Switch is with Willie Muir.

Dandy Nicholls is undoubtedly the sprint king and one of his most consistent performers in recent times has been Tax Free, winner of the Palace House Stakes among other decent prizes. His half brother Green Beret is in training with John Gosden. Monsieur Bond, a tough, consistent sprinter is a first season sire. One of his first crop, Sharav, a half brother to Bygone Days, a smart Group 3 winner for Godolphin and will be trained by Eve Johnson Houghton. Impressible (E Alston) like many in this list this filly is by Oasis Dream a winner of 3 Group 1 races at sprint distances. She is a half sister to Reverence, a high class sprinter who won the Nunthorpe and also to Quiet Elegance, a winner last season as a juvenile and this season at 22/1!

I am old enough to have watched Mick Channon at The Dell and his achievement to reach the top in two entirely different sporting fields is a remarkable one. He held classic hopes for his filly Queen’s Logic a few years back but, after she had won 4 Group races but injury cut short her career. Queen’s Logic, herself a half sister to Dylan Thomas, has already produced one winning 2 year old, and hopefully will have another in Dunes Queen (M Channon). Sweet Lily won 4 times for Mick Channon as a juvenile. Her half brother, Eddie Boy is with Michael Bell and is apparently well thought of by connections.

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Footstepsinthesand was an emphatic winner of the 2,000 Guineas in 2005 and was unbeaten in his short career. His full sister Pelinnore is with Ed Vaughan, who has 30 odd horses under his care at Newmarket. Dubawi was a disappointing favourite behind Footstepsinthesand but bounced back to win the Irish Guineas. He is by the ill fated wonder horse Dubai Millenium, who only enjoyed one year at stud before his death. Godolphin have a half sister to Dubawi named Suba.

In his first season at stud One Cool Cat covered 156 mares! He was effective at 5 to 7 furlongs and is likely to get some speedy individuals. William Haggas has an interesting filly by One Cool Cat, called Adoring. She is a half sister to Galeota who won the Mill Reef Stakes as a 2 year old, and has gone on to taste listed success at age 3 and 5.

I am looking forward to following the fortunes of Paisley, a filly with Luca Cumani and very much a long term prospect. You may remember the dam Pongee that won the Lancashire Oaks and was a half sister to Pukka who was 9th in North Light’s Derby and won both on the flat and over hurdles.

I once backed a horse called L’Affaire Monique to land a Chepstow maiden at 11/2. She is related to Short Skirt and her third foal, a colt called Bourne is with Luca Cumani and I will be following this one with interest. I have a good memory for my winning bets, there aren’t that many of them! A few years ago I was on a horse called Smirk when he won a Goodwood handicap at 12/1. Smirk went on to win in listed company and is out of a mare that has produced several winners. Smirk’s half sister Cartoon is with Michael Jarvis, so could not be in better hands.

Le Vie Dei Colori ran up 12 wins in Italy and France, including the Italian 2,000 Guineas, before joining Luca Cumani in 2005. His best run was his last when beating Sleeping Indian in a Group 2 at Newmarket. Sleeping Indian was trained by John Gosden and Gosden now has a half brother to Le Vie Dei Colori called Seminole, by Indian Ridge. Sleeping Indian himself is by Indian Ridge and won 6 races for Gosden including a Group 2 at Newmarket and the Group 3 Hungerford Stakes. Gosden has this one’s half sister called Pleasant Cape. Staying with John Gosden I am including a couple more of his juveniles in this list, Stage Performance, a full sister to English Ballet, and Take the Hint, a Montjeu filly closely related to Group 3 winner Stronghold.

Autumn Glory has his place in the record books as the first winner on a Group race in Britain on the all weather. He got the better of Court Masterpiece at Lingfield in 2005 over a mile. His half brother Unwavering is as the name suggests by 2,000 Guineas winner Refuse to Bend. He is with Henry Cecil and is certainly one to watch out for.

Dr Faustus is a winner already this season for Sir Michael Stoute. Godolphin train this one’s half sister though, a Cape Cross filly called Manaaqeb. I am including 3 more on my list that are related to horses that have won this season as 3 year olds. Apple Charlotte, with Henry Cecil, a half sister to Arthur’s Girl, Monitor Closely, a half brother to Stone of Scone by Oasis Dream with Peter Chapple-Hyam and Labisca, a half sister to Free Handicap winner Stimulation, by High Chaparral, with Hughie Morrison.

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There was no more spectacular winner in 2002 than Just James who came from being tailed off 2 furlongs out at Newmarket to swoop to victory with a quite remarkable turn of foot.  He actually won 2 of his 6 starts that season, including the Group 3 Jersey Stakes with both wins at odds of 20/1. Backing 20/1 winners is certainly a Lovely Thought and that is the name of Just James’ half sister trained by William Haggas.

I remember a horse called Sabbeeh absolutely bolting up in a Ripon maiden a few years back. As a 4 year old he was 2nd in a Group 2 at Goodwood. His half brother Green Agenda is trained by Mark Johnston. Penny Cross was a typical Mark Johnston 3 year old, tough and consistent she won 3 times and was placed on a number of occasions. Her first foal Quinsman is with John Hills and there are already promising reports about him. John Hills is an underrated trainer. He has an inexpensive purchase called Miss Mojito that is related to several winners. The dam is a half sister to Far Lane that won the Group 3 Darley Stakes a few years ago.

Another I have high hopes for is Alexander Loyalty a full sister to Bahama Mama who was a very speedy 2 year old, a listed winner and runner up in the Flying Childers. Like her sister, Alexander Loyalty is with Jeremy Noseda. Another that looks a good bet to win races is Cecily, trained by Sir Mark Prescott. Her half sister Violette won 4 times as a juvenile including a Group 3 at Ayr.

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Julie Camacho does well with the ammunition at her disposal. Rio Riva has been a consistent sort for her running well in some big handicaps. She now trains his half sister Southern Scarlet. Another northern trainer that I like to follow is Alan Swinbank. He has a two year old by High Chaparral, called Olympian Dancer that I will include on my list, partly because the sire was a favourite of mine.

I remember watching Aiden O’Brien’s Gypsy King get up on the line to land the Dee Stakes under Kieren Fallon. He went on to finish 5th in the Epsom Derby but sadly suffered a fatal injury in his next race. Marcus Tregoning has the full brother to Gypsy King called Uncle Keef.

Amanda Perret’s front runner Tungsten Strike has landed some decent prizes, including the Henry ll Stakes. Brian Meehan trains the half sister Arabian Mirage, yet another by Oasis Dream. Furmigadelagiusta won twice on the flat for Luca Cumani before moving to Karl Burke who sent him out to win over hurdles. He has also presented quite a test for the race commentators! His half brother, Fenoman is by Pivotal and is with Luca Cumani.

I was keen to include horses by some of the more likely first season sires, and we have already had a few such as Refuse to Bend and Falbrav. I wanted at least one by the top class Australian sprinter Exceed and Excel and I have decided on Hellbender who is with Sylvester Kirk. The dam is a half sister to Feet So Fast who was pretty smart over 6 furlongs and was a winner at the Shergar Cup meeting when ridden by Mick Kinane. Exceed and Excel has already sired winners in Australia.

Acclamation was a favourite sprinter of mine. He won 6 times in his career including the Group 2 Diadem Stakes at Ascot at the nice price of 9/1. He has actually done well at stud but it is his half brother Hunting Horn that I am putting up as the 50th and final selection on my list. I am finishing where I started as Hunting Horn is trained by Sir Michael Stoute.

Reflecting on Acclamation’s career, his trainer Gerald Cottrell said: “We were hoping he could run for another year and it’s going to be sad losing him, we won’t have another one as good as him. He’s so placid, eats well and was so easy to train.” Let’s hope that the same can be said of my “50.”

All photos by kind permission of Ann Duffield Racing

Diary: May 21 2008

 

Well, Monday’s preview yielded a few winners so let’s hope that the trend continues!

Up at Ayr tomorrow in the 2.35 I looked at the top weight Gunfighter. He likes fast ground so we can safely ignore his last run at Doncaster. He won a couple of races at the back end of last season and is one to keep a close eye on.

The Goodwood card looks tricky and I must say I am struggling to come up with too many pearls of wisdom. In the 2.15 Ed Dunlop’s Formation does not look badly handicapped and could be an each way shot.

Turning to the 2.50 the race won by Savarain on the track over a furlong further 2 weeks ago looked a decent heat and he could well go in again. Whistledownwind has only had 3 runs and was runner up to Centennial at Sandown on his last start. There is a suspicion that he may need some cut in the ground as he won his maiden last season on soft. There is perhaps a question mark about the stable form with only 1 winner from the last 22 but many of the losers have been placed.

You may have seen the comments of Mikey64 about the 3.25. He’s is not a bad judge of things Goodwood and Dove Cottage clearly goes well at this track. He will need to win off a career high mark but that is not beyond the bounds of possibility. Dangers may be the lightly raced Royal Jasra and all weather winner Apache Fort.

In the 4.00 I am hoping for a big run from Rosa Grace (pictured below) who was 4th in the Rockfel Stakes at Newmarket last season.

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Count Ceprano was 6th in the Victoria Cup over 7 furlongs and was running on at the finish. He should be suited by the mile in the 5.45.

At Sandown Tropical Paradise who runs in the 6.00 is the subject of good reports. City Stable was disappointing on his seasonal reappearance but might be worth another chance in the 7.35.

Unleashed ran with some promise on his only run last season but then sustained an injury. He could be one to follow. He runs in the 8.10.

Diary: May 19 & 20 2008

 

We managed to get a few winners on Saturday, notably in the Lockinge. There are plenty of meetings over the next two days and something of interest in most of them.

At Bath in the 4.30 I wondered about Stow. He was 3rd at Pontefract on his reappearance and wouldn’t need to improve much from that to take a hand here.

Sir Mark Prescott has had winners recently and could well be poised for a few more. He runs Aleatricis (pictured below)  in the 2.40 at Musselburgh. The dam won twice as a 3 year old for Prescott and this horse looks on a very low mark for his pedigree.

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As a juvenile First Avenue was 6th to Twice Over on his debut at Newmarket and went on to confirm that promise by winning a Yarmouth maiden. He makes his handicap debut in the 7.40 at Windsor and is my selection.

Regal Step (pictured below)  has shown plenty of speed in her 3 runs to date and with Ryan Moore booked to ride looks to have a good chance in the 8.40 at Windsor.

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Moving on to Tuesday, Baybshambles represents our list to follow in the 3.20 at Beverley. He has a good draw but may not want the ground too firm. In the 3.50 Crocodile Bay should be all the better for a recent run. He seems versatile when it comes to underfoot conditions but may be besr on genuinely good ground.

Lanterns of Gold was a winner at Redcar last season and looks the sort to progress as a 3 year old. She comes from a stable in form and runs in the 4.20.

In the 4.50 I am interested in another Sir Mark Prescott 3 year old. Astrodome is a half brother to the prolific winner Alambic and should appreciate the step up in trip to 12 furlongs.

Fearless Warrior didn’t cut much ice on his reappearance at Salisbury 16 days ago but may be suited by more of a test of stamina and would be my each way pick in the 8.50.

In the 2.30 at Southwell I am a bit surprised that recent Wolverhampton winner Reclamation is kept to a mile. I still think she looks the sort to run up a sequence though.

The Way Through the Woods

 

They shut the road through the woods
Seventy years ago.
Weather and rain have undone it again,
And now you would never know
There was once a road through the woods
Before they planted the trees.
It is underneath the coppice and heath,
And the thin anemones.
Only the keeper sees
That, where the ring-dove broods,
And the badgers roll at ease,
There was once a road through the woods.

Yet, if you enter the woods
Of a summer evening late,
When the night-air cools on the trout-ringed pools
Where the otter whistles his mate.
(They fear not men in the woods,
Because they see so few)
You will hear the beat of a horse’s feet,
And the swish of a skirt in the dew,
Steadily cantering through
The misty solitudes,
As though they perfectly knew
The old lost road through the woods. 
But there is no road through the woods.

Rudyard Kipling

Diary: May 18 2008

 

I will have a look back at today’s racing on Sunday evening but just a quick word about tomorrow.

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The Godolphin team received a major boost in the Lockinge and this may signal a return to better form for their horses. I see that they have the classy Literato in the Group 1 Prix D’Ispahan at Longchamp. The trip may be a bit sharp for him but his performance may be a further pointer to the wellbeing of the Godolphin operation.

Today’s picture is by kind permission of Mark Usher Racing.

 

Diary: May 17 2008

At the time of penning these notes last night’s preview had “bagged” two winners in Clowance and Full Speed.

Sir Michael Stoute’s team are flying at the moment and he introduced the well bred Dancer in Demand in the Newbury 1.35 tomorrow. He is related to the likes of North Light, Gamut and Researched.

In the 2.10 Malt or Mash and Regal Flush (both pictured below, Malt or Mas is the grey)are the pair that most interest me. Malt or Mash went from strength to strength last term recording 4 wins including the November Handicap at Doncaster. He steps up to 13 furlongs tomorrow. He has gears and if this turns into a tactical affair he may well take a hand in the finish. He is best on fast ground. Regal Flush was another progressive horse last season winning heritage handicaps at Goodwood and Haydock before finishing 4th in the St Leger. The Godolphin horses have tended to need their first run so I am not going to go overboard with a tip for him but he should win if producing his best form.

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The Lockinge at 2.45 is quite a puzzle. Cesare is likely to be a leading fancy. He has 9 career wins, 7 of them over this trip of a mile. Four of those wins have come at Ascot and he is yet to win at Group 1 level.

Peter Chapple-Hyam will have a big say in the outcome of this race as he has 3 runners. Al Qasi is the choice of Alan Munro. His chance is difficult to assess as he tackles a mile for the first time and he has never won over further than 6 furlongs. He should be all the better for his run when 2nd at Leicester 3 weeks ago, and if he stays and the ground is on the easy side he would have a chance. Tariq is pretty adaptable with regards to ground. He won the Lennox Stakes over 7 furlongs at Goodwood last season but is another that has to prove his stamina at this trip. Medicine Path ran up a hat trick of wins over this trip during the winter and spring but ran unaccountably poorly last time at Sandown. He seems to act on any ground.

Creachadoir represents Godolphin. He has never won beyond Group 3 level but was 2nd in both the French and Irish 2,000 guineas. Phoenix Tower has had injury problems but has won all 4 career starts, the last in a Group 3 race at Newmarket. The enigmatic Rob Roy runs for the in form Sir Michael Stoute yard but he could only finish 6th when he last ran in this race. I quite like Creachadoir in this but I am also going to put up Majestic Roi who ran well to beat Nannina and Echelon in the Sun Chariot at Newmarket last October. Mares have a good recent record in the Lockinge having won 3 of the last 4 runnings.

The 3.20 has been won by Mark Johnston and Sir Michael Stoute over the last 3 years and both have fancied runners this time. William Blake is unbeaten after 3 starts and has looked a typical Johnston 3 year old. A relentless galloper he may well try to make all. He won well at Beverley and may still be ahead of the handicapper despite a hike in the weights of 8 lbs. Colony won a competitive handicap at Sandown last month and has also gone up 8 lbs. Perhaps a less obvious contender but one worth having a look at is Whitcombe Minister.

There is a nice balance of progressive types and more established sprinters in the 3.55. Royal Rock has won 4 of his 8 career starts most recently at Yarmouth 19 days ago. He is steadily going up in the ratings but may yet have more to offer. Another recent winner is Jimmy Styles who won over course and distance last season and more recently won an Ascot handicap last week. Baby Strange (pictured below) had top class form as a 2 year old but then suffered a serious injury and didn’t race at 3. He has shown signs recently of a return to form and would certainly command respect here on his best form. Signor Peltro is a bit hard to predict but is capable on his day. He has a first time visor and comes from a stable in form.

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The fillies’ handicap at 4.30 will take some sorting out. I can’t say I have studied the form in any detail but the James Fanshawe filly Falconry (pictured below) who won a Doncaster maiden last season before coming last in the Group 1 Cheveley Park Stakes looks a likely sort for a race like this.

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Amaakin is very much a talking horse but if he lives up to the hype he would be hard to beat in the 5.00.

It is mainly guesswork in the 5.35 but I will put forward Film Maker who created a good impression when 5th in a maiden at Newmarket last season.

At Newmarket I like the look of Oceana Gold (pictured below) in the 2.25. He has a good record at the track.

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The Fifth Member has won on both good to firm and heavy and could be a fun horse to follow this year. He lines up in the 4.10

In the 4.45 I am interested in Exceptional Art who is by the first season sire Exceed and Excel.

Up at Thirsk Smarterthanuthink makes his handicap debut in the 3.10. He ran 3 times over sprint trips last season but now tackles a mile which should suit him.

Tom Tate has his horses in good form. He runs Inspector Clouseau in the 3.45. He won at Thirsk last season and also ran 2nd to Alexander Castle at Newcastle. He looks likely to pay his way in handicaps this season.

Recent Kempton winner Valery Borzov has a plum draw in the 4.20 and looks set to win again.

At Doncaster’s evening meeting Pegasus Prince goes for a hat trick in the 6.10 after a couple of wins on the all weather. He has a turf pedigree and looks to have an each way shout at 15/2. In the 7.45 Charles Parnell and Sir Nod are the two I like best.

Finally, in the 8.20 Throne of Power looks of interest. He didn’t get much luck in running last time but is a really good looking sort.

Good luck

Photos by kind permission of British 2YO Racing

Diary: May 16 2008

Well it wasn’t the easiest of days on the tipping front at York. The opener went to a 33/1 shot and two odds on favourites were turned over.

Tartan Bearer won the Dante showing a willing attitude in the process. He should come on plenty for the run and has to be a serious Derby contender. Twice Over probably didn’t like the ground but it would be no surprise to see him revert to a mile in the future. Another that looked uncomfortable on the quick ground was Lang Shining in the Hambleton Stakes. I was pleased to see Arthur’s Girl win for Geoff Wragg at Salisbury. The trainer lost one of his best horses, Ivy Creek last weekend.

There are plenty of meetings to go at tomorrow, with again York taking centre stage. There are several with chances in the handicap at 2.10. Birkside reappears after winning over course and distance on Wednesday. He was given a good ride by David Allan on Wednesday but is apprentice ridden this time, presumably to offset the 6 lbs penalty. The claimer has won on him twice before though. This race is much tougher than the last one but Birkside seems to be going the right way and cannot be ignored. Pippa Greene is a horse I am very keen on this season. The problem could be the ground though as his form has been with some ease in the ground.

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Formerly trained by Aiden O’Brien, Basalt in now with Tim Pitt and won twice on the all weather in February. He should strip fitter for his run at Chester last week and is one for a rather lengthy shortlist. Peruvian Prince is a smart handicapper and ran well here over 10 furlongs on Ebor day when beaten a head by Greek Well. He handles the ground and is not out of it although he might just need to come down a pound or two more.

Sugar Ray is a lightly raced horse that won last time out at Bath. He has been working with Tartan Bearer at home and is likely to be popular. Pevensey is a useful sort on his day. Best on good ground he is currently 1 lb higher than his highest winning mark. Like Pevensey, Furmigadelagiusta has been hurdling. He won twice on the flat last season but may not be suited by fast ground. Johnny Murtagh is an eye catching jockey booking though. Dansili Dancer won the Old Newton Cup at Haydock last season on good to firm and with his stable in form I will burden him with my each way selection..

I thought about Royal and Regal for the 2.40 but the ground may not suit. I think I will leave this race alone.

The David Nicholls pair of Buachaill Dona and Machinist both come into the 4.20 on the back of a very promising run. Barney McGrew is on my list to follow but has not shown much in his two runs so far and is best watched for the moment. Atlantic Story is potentially very well handicapped based on his all weather mark but the odd thing is he is tackling this trip for the first time. Another worth a mention is Damika who has run well on all 3 of his starts this season without winning.

Last season’s first and second, Wyatt Earp and Zomerlust line up again with the former 2 lbs better off this year. He loves fast ground and is a major player.

Full Speed has been running consistently and is my each way selection in the 4.55.

Moving to Newbury Fat Boy was only beaten a nose by Stimulation in the Free Handicap and that form looks solid. He is certainly the one to beat. Although Skadrak was a beaten favourite at Wolverhampton last month the winner has won again since so I wouldn’t rule him out.

In the 2.50 my two against the field would be Clowance and Rosa Grace. Clowance has only run twice and won a maiden over course and distance 4 weeks ago. Rosa Grace (pictured below)  won a couple of small races last season and was not disgraced when upped in class.

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Game Park has shown enough in 4 starts to warrant respect in the 2.30 at Newmarket, while at Hamilton my selection is Spin Cycle in the 6.20.

Mr Crystal has been running well over hurdles with wins at Perth and Kelso and he should go well back on the level in the 7.50 at Newcastle.

Macedon has plenty going for him in the 8.25. Goes well fresh, stable in form, distance winner, goes on the ground and likes a straight track.

Good luck

Photo by kind permission of British 2YO Racing

Diary: May 15 2008

Some of my tips went awry at York but at least I can claim Birkside who scored for the eleventh time of his career in the 3.45, and also Collection who won the last race on the card. Full marks to the canny Mike S who e-mailed me with a tip for Assertive. The curse of the high draw continued in Assertive’s race. Only US Ranger of the first 7 home came from a single figure stall so he is clearly one to take out of the race.

Tomorrow’s York card gets underway with a handicap over the minimum trip at 1.40. Green Park ran well when 2nd at Chester last week and I am tempted to go for him but I have a suspicion that he is best on soft ground. The Dandy Nicholls pair of Tournedos and Strike up the Band are both well drawn but I am not sure that York is the ideal track for either of them. Aegean Dancer would be my fancy. He hasn’t been easy to train but he won some good races last season and his last 4 wins have come in double figure fields. He acts on any ground. Old River Falcon likes York but might find the ground a bit too lively.

Sir Michael Stoute’s older horses have to be respected and his Promising Lead is the clear form pick in the 2.10. Samira Gold has been described by her trainer as “a bit delicate” but if she is fit and well she could be the danger.

I don’t think I will get too heavily involved in the Dante at 2.40. Centennial didn’t impress particularly when winning the Sandown Classic Trial but he may not have been fully wound up that day and he was progressive last season. Stoute won this with North Light in 2004, and Golan’s brother Tartan Bearer may turn out to be the real deal, but on the evidence of his win in a Leicester maiden that is guesswork. Twice Over (pictured below)  is unbeaten and battled well to get the better of Raven’s Pass at Newmarket. Raven’s Pass didn’t do that form any harm in the 2,000 gns and the Henry Cecil colt has to be the form pick. Just how far he will stay is a debatable but he is out of a sister to Passage of Time.

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The 3.10 is tricky. New Seeker has his ground but his runs at the end of last season were far from encouraging. The admirable Blythe Knight won the race last season but would not want the ground too firm. I would give the lightly raced Lang Shining a good chance if he handles the ground.

Docofthebay did little wrong last season. He runs in the 3.45 where his turn of foot could be decisive in this small field.

Tom Tate’s West With The Wind impressed me on both his runs last season. He should go well in the 6.55 at Newmarket, the stable are in good form and both trip and track should suit.

Glorious Gift and Without a Prayer represent my list to follow in the 8.00. I would not be sufficiently confident about either to tip them though.

Arthur’s Girl has shown bits of promise in 2 runs for Geoff Wragg. She runs in the 1.50 at Salisbury which will qualify her for a handicap mark. She is one to keep an eye on.

Be lucky!

Picture by kind permission of 2YO Racing

Diary: May 14 2008

 

The meeting at York this week traditionally gives pointers to the Derby and Oaks. The Musidora Stakes at 2.40 tomorrow sees several of the leading Oaks fancies in competition. Dar Re Mi (pictured below) won a decent looking maiden at Sandown and sets the Standard. She blitzed her rivals at Sandown winning by 7 lengths and looks potentially high class.

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Cape Amber won a 7 furlong maiden at Newmarket last season before an injury prevented her from running again. She is not guaranteed to get this trip but I think the likelihood is that she will. The form of the Newmarket maiden has not worked out particularly well but Amber Queen is clearly well thought of by connections and is respected. Sovereign’s Honour ran behind both Dar Re Mi and Cape Amber beaten by just over 8 lengths and 7.25 lengths respectively. Sir Michael Stoute’s filly looks to have scope but there seems no reason why she should turn the tables on her two conquerors. At 25/1 Cruel Sea is no forlorn hope. A winner at Doncaster on her only start as a juvenile she did well to finish 2nd in a listed contest at HQ despite racing keenly. She clearly gets this trip, acts on the ground and should improve. The unknown factor is the Ballydoyle runner Moonstone, runner up on her only start at Leopardstown last month. She is very well bred and as they say could be anything. I am going to be boring here and select Dar Re Mi.

The 3.10 looks a hot sprint. I am going to throw in a potentially key stat here in that the last 10 winners have been drawn in single figures. This would rule out some otherwise likely contenders such as US Ranger, Soldiers Tale and Utmost Respect. So let’s have a look at some of those drawn low. Prime Defender (2) likes fast ground but has never won a race with more than 8 runners. Hoh Mike (3) is probably better over the minimum trip and possibly with some ease in the ground. Haatef (4) could be a leading light in the sprint division this season but is yet to win with an F in the going description. Beaver Patrol (5) likes fast ground but has never won outside of handicap company. Assertive (6) handles the ground and comes here on the back of a good run at Newmarket where he was just touched off by Zidane. He has only won once in his last 20 starts though and never at this level. Beckermet (7) is probably not good enough at this level and he is best in small fields.

My problem now is that I have ruled out the entire field! Well something has to win and I am going to go with Haatef – not too many miles on the clock and 3 from 3 at this trip.

I don’t have a strong view on the 3.45. Pontefract winner Ella will appreciate the step up in trip but her win came in heavy ground. Birkside has some good form on the all weather and ran creditably the other day when 4th at Doncaster. We know he stays. Sin City hasn’t had a lot of racing but was 2nd on both his starts last season. He is a talented horse who has a decent prize in him. He may well stay further than this later in the season.

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I would be inclined to try and find something each way at a reasonable price in the 4.55. Tarkheena Prince won a mile maiden at Nottingham and looks a nice type with a decent attitude. Fujin Dancer at the bottom of the handicap won at Wolverhampton last month and like Tarkheena Prince is lightly raced. Collection looks on a handy mark. He was 6th behind Perks at Doncaster and with only 3 runs behind him should have come on for that run.

I wondered about Diminuto in the 8.30 at Bath as he has run well at the track in the past.

Good luck.

Photograph of Dar Re Mi by kind permission of British 2YO racing