Diary: October 23 2006

Paul Nicholls supplied me with a couple of winners today thanks to Pepperoni Pete and the hugely impressive Kauto Star, and there were promising runs from most of our other list horses.  I was also pleased that Miss Mitch who was featured in last nights preview was also a winner.

  

The racing tomorrow does not look very exciting and I see that there is a morning inspection at Leicester.

  

Hurricane Thomas showed some promise when 3rd at Nottingham last time and any step up on that form would see him on the premises in the 2.20 at Lingfield.

  

Ardmaddy comes from a winning family and he also should benefit from his debut effort here earlier in the month in the 3.20.

  

In Full Cry represents the list to follow in the 4.50 where he makes his AW debut.  His form this season has been pretty disappointing.

  That is about it for tonight.

Continue reading “Diary: October 23 2006”

Diary: October 22 2006

It was not at all a bad day for our list to follow with wins for Ungaro (11/8), Blue Splash (5/2), Taranis (4/5), Glenfinn Captain (9/4), Bleak House (3/1) and Mostashaar (7/2).

  

Taranis was well in at the weights on his chase form and he was confidently ridden by Ruby Walsh I thought.  The last hurdle was omitted and Walsh used this to his advantage angling his mount into the rail to deliver his perfectly timed challenge.

  

The best run from our listers in defeat came from Intrepid Jack who beat all bar course specialist Texas Gold in the sprint at Lingfield.

  

Elsewhere, a couple of horses from last season’s list to follow, Lennon and Penzance clashed in the novice chase at Aintree.  Lennon, aptly named for a win at the Merseyside track got the better of things and maintained the good run that Graham and Andrea Wylie are having with their horses.

 

  

The one that got away was Authorized.  I gave him a good write up when he made his debut but overlooked him today as the Newbury card was under threat from the weather and I didn’t give it enough time. He was always going well in the Racing Post Trophy and won quite comfortably at 25/1.  Can’t win ‘em all!

  

I am looking forward to watching the Aintree racing on the box tomorrow.  There are a few runners from our list to watch out for and two of them go in the first at 2.15. Paul Nicholls saddles Silverburn who is a full brother to his useful stable mate Denman.  Silverburn won a bumper at Wincanton last season over 2 miles in soft ground.  The extra half mile here should suit him.  Pangbourne is our other runner.  He won the Festival bumper here last season but is said to be not the most straightforward horse to train and he wears blinkers and an eyeshield.

 

 

 

In the handicap hurdle at 2.50 Model Son looks to take advantage of his lenient rating compared to his mark over fences.

  

Our list runner in the 3.20 is Emma Lavelle’s Cloudy Lane.  He looked a useful prospect over the brush hurdles at Haydock last season.  I am not sure that the Aintree track will suit him.  This will be a tough little race as there is sure to be support for the Paul Nicholls trained Turko and there are also some good reports about Ferdy Murphy’s L’Antartique.

  

All eyes will be on Kauto Star in the 3.50.  He is likely to be one of Paul Nicholls main hopes for glory at Cheltenham in March. He faces interesting rivals, in Nyrche, Stable companion Armaturk, the evergreen Mister McGoldrick and Inca Trail, Best Mates brother.  This will be a fascinating contest as the 2.5 mile trip might not be ideal for any of them.  Kauto Star did win at the distance in France though and he is taken to get the better of Armaturk who usually goes well at Aintree.

  

Robert Alner seems to have his string in good heart and he runs the mare Miss Mitch in the Towcester novice hurdle at 4.05.  She is a former Irish points winner and her future no doubt lies over fences but she may well be up to winning a contest like this.

  

Down at Wincanton Wayne Hutchinson rides Pepperoni Pete in the 1.35.  He has winning bumper form and is considered a bright prospect for novice hurdles.  De Soto could be the main danger if he is fully would up after a shin injury.  He finished runner up to Missed That in the 2005 Cheltenham Festival Bumper.

 

In the 2.05 Emma Lavelle saddles Supreme Copper.  Although his form figures are far from impressive he has hinted at some ability in his runs and I am hopeful that he will pay his way on our list to follow.

 

 

Closed Shop won a Bangor bumper last season and makes his hurdles debut in the 4.50.

 

 

Bye for now.

Continue reading “Diary: October 22 2006”

Diary: October 21 2006

This evening bulletin will only cover Saturday – I will be back tomorrow evening with a preview of Sunday’s racing.

  

With Newbury subject to an inspection I will start off with the jumps meeting at Aintree where some of the major trainers have runners.

  

The card starts with a novice hurdle where the ex French pair Pouvoir and Poquelin look the ones to keep in mind.  Pouvoir won a handicap on the flat for Freddie Head while Poquelin was second in a Group 3 at Chantilly in May.  Both are held in high regard by their respective trainers and the market might be the best guide to the likely winner.

  

Paul Nicholls trains Poquelin and he has another French purchase in action in the novice chase at 1.40.  Good Spirit was a winner both on the flat and over hurdles in France.  He gets a handy weight allowance here and will be hard to beat.  Penzance won on his only start over fences in May and is the likely danger.

  

Bleak House cost Graham and Andrea Wylie £200,000 guineas at the sales after he had won a bumper at Haydock.  He looks an exciting prospect and makes his debut over hurdles at 3.20.

  

In the 3.55 Blue Splash looks reasonably treated and should act on the ground.

  

There are a couple of horses from our list to follow in the 1.25 at Chepstow.  Although he has some fancied runners at Aintree Paul Nicholls has Ruby Walsh riding for him at Chepstow so perhaps we should take note.  He saddles Granit Jack in the 1.25.  Granit Jack cost a lot of money and is apparently held in high regard by connections.  Scribano Eile is another who is the source of some very encouraging reports.  He is already a winner between the flags as well as a bumper and novice hurdle.

  In the 1.55 I will be following the Nicholls/Walsh combo again.  Taranis has gone up in the weights a fair bit after winning 4 times last season over fences.  He runs over hurdles in the 1.55 where he is more leniently treated.  

Mister Quasimodo did well for our list to follow last season and I have kept him on for a second term.  He makes his debut over fences in the 2.30 and I am hopeful of a good run.  His dam was placed in the Grand National.

  

My main fancy at Fairyhouse is Glenfinn Captain in the 3.55.  He won a Grade 2 novice chase at Fairyhouse on his last start and that form looks solid.  He should act on the ground and while he will get further this 2 miles trip should be OK for him as he doesn’t lack speed.

  

Ungaro looks the type to do well over fences and he makes his debut over the larger obstacles in the 2.35 at Kelso.  Dominic Elsworth takes the ride for trainer Keith Reveley.

  

Turning to the flat we have two runners from the list in the 2.20.  Intrepid Jack, a winner last time out who acts on the sand is preferred to King Orchisios.

  

In the listed race at 2.55 Resignation is my tentative suggestion.

  

In the 4.30 Debutant Loulwa is a half sister to a couple of decent 2 year winners and is one to note.

  

Mostashaar and Regal Royale represent the list to follow in the 5.30.  Mostashaar is the selection.

  

In the 2.40 at Newbury Dragon Dancer is fancied to get his first career win with Alfie Flits the danger.

  

In the 4.50 Austrian who has winning form in the mud has his first run for over a year while our other runner is Public Forum who has rather lost his way since winning at 7/1 at the start of the season.

  Be lucky

Continue reading “Diary: October 21 2006”

Diary: October 20 2006

With the turf season drawing to a close those back end maidens for 2 year olds are worth watching as they often throw up horses to follow for next season.

  

The 2.00 has a few juveniles worth noting.  Limbo King made an encouraging debut when 3rd at the Berkshire track earlier this month.  He should go well here but there are also some interesting newcomers, in particular Cavalry Twill and Spanish Moon. The latter is a full brother to Spanish Sun who won his only start as a 2 year old.

  

The top weight Ebn Reem is my each way selection for the nursery at 2.30.

  

Woodins Way and Fabine look likely types on breeding for the 4.10.

  

Zowington and Kenmore represent the list to follow in the 4.40.  Both should appreciate the soft ground with Zowington, who won this race last year is preferred.

  

At Lingfield Sunlight is my fancy for the 2.20.  He is related to numerous winners and was a sound second on his debut.  Final Curtain is another who should come on for his debut when he was 5th.

  

In the 5.05 Snark runs from our list to follow.  He is a course winner but his efforts this term have not been encouraging.

  We have one list horse in action over the jumps at Fakenham.  Aces Four did well last season over hurdles culminating in a win at Perth in a valuable race.  He always looked like being better over fences so his debut here over the larger obstacles will be worth noting.  Good ground suits him best and he may want further than this in time.

Continue reading “Diary: October 20 2006”

Diary: October 19 2006

There were a few winners from the horses featured last night.  Iktitaf got his hurdling campaign off to a winning start in the listed contest at Punchestown but Leading Run was made to work harder to maintain his 100% record on the same card.

  

Galactic Star kept the flat list to follow ticking over although he made quite hard work of things at Nottingham.  He was staying on at the finish though and should get further.

  

More impressive was Metaphoric who won on his debut in the Motivator colours.  He came from first to last under an educational hands and heels ride from Jamie Spencer.  Could make a decent 3 year old over middle distances next season.

  

The beat action tomorrow is at Punchestown, where all eyes will be on Gold Cup winner War of Attrition who makes his seasonal bow in the 4.15.

  

In the 2.45 Female will be expected to make a winning hurdles debut in the 2.45.  This mare had some smart bumper form last season.

  See you tomorrow.

Continue reading “Diary: October 19 2006”

Diary: October 17 2006

A couple of horses featured in last nights preview, Exmoor (3rd at 15/2) and Height of Fury (2nd at 17/2) would have repaid each way support today.

  

There are meetings in the UK tomorrow.  In the 2.00 at Bath Hughie Morrison’s Duty Free can be expected to come on for his 5th over course and distance.  The 4 that beat him were all previous winners.

  

In the 2.30 Star Strider has put in some solid efforts but after  9 runs without a win is looking a bit exposed.  There have been some good reports about the unraced Apache Scout.

  

The 3.00 was won by a Barry Hills runner in 2004 and this time round he has entered Tasleem who pulled too hard on his debut run at Newmarket.

  

Scotch Pancake represents our list to follow in the 3.30.  She is a half sister to the Irish 2,000 Guineas winner Indian Haven.  She was a beaten favourite at Kempton last time and has a bit to prove here.

  

Our list horse in the 4.30 is Coup D’Etat who is yet to win this term.  He is not badly handicapped and his half brother Frank Sonata handles this ground so has each way chances.

  

Minnis Bay is my selection in the Lingfield 1.50 after a promising 2nd at Wolverhampton last time.

  

There are two horses from the list to follow in action at Exeter.  Natal and Manorson go in the novice chase at 3.10.  On their hurdles form Natal should come out on top.

  Bye for now

Continue reading “Diary: October 17 2006”

Diary: October 16 2006

There is so much racing these days that catching up with all that has been happening is tough after you have been out of circulation for a few days.

  

Our list to follow has had a few successes over the last week.  Alambic is top of the flat “leaderboard” among the list to follow on the flat with 6 wins but Peppertree Lane moved into a clear second with a 5th win at Ascot last Saturday.  He clearly revels in soft ground and could well turn into a listed or group 3 performer next term.

  

On the same Ascot card Book of Music registered his first success of the campaign.  I haven’t watched the video but this race was by all accounts a real thriller with Book of Music just getting up in the final strides.  There was a dead heat for second with our old friend Zero Tolerance in 4th.  Book of Music is another who seems to appreciate cut in the ground.

  

The biggest priced winner from our list was Innocent Air at 16/1.  John Gosden’s filly had won a listed race as a juvenile but had not shown much sparkle this season.  She came back to her best a t Newmarket though and made every yard to win well.  She will not run again in the UK apparently.

 

Inrepid Jack won a 5 furlong sprint handicap at Bath to register his first success of the season.

  

Our 5th winner from the flat list was Bygone Days who got the better of a couple of other “listers,” Borderlescott and Tax Free in what was quite a competitive Group 3 sprint at Newmarket.

  

I see that Aiden O’Brien’s Aussie Rules won a Grade 1 at Keeneland in the USA.

  

Hard Act to Follow gave our jumps list a win at Wetherby in the week.  He is owned by Graham and Andrea Wylie who had such a great start to their much publicised venture into racehorse ownership with 3 winners at the 2005 Cheltenham Festival.  Things did not go so well for them last season but in Hard Act to Follow they appear to have a promising chaser to go to war with. Another horse from our list, King of Confusion showed promise in second place.

  

There was also a win for Justified who made a  return to action in the 2m 1f Listed contest at Limerick, coming home to win with something in hand from Tumbling Dice. Connections will be keen to avoid right-hand tracks from now on with him as he again showed a tendency to jump left.

  

There was also success for our jumps list on the flat with Iktitaf and Detroit City taking the Irish and English Cesarawitch handicaps.  Detroit City, who runs in the Rooster Booster colours often looks to be struggling in running but he is a powerful type and had too much for his rivals at Newmarket yesterday.  Inchnadamph ran a fine race in second going one better than his third in the race last season.

  

I have tried to keep a closer than usual eye on the 2 year old scene this season.  There were a few impressive performances from juveniles last week, not least from Jeremy Noseda’s Kafuu who made a winning debut at York.  I am not sure he beat much but he certainly travelled well for Frankie Dettori and he looks a potentially smart colt. There was also a taking performance from Go on be a Tiger who quickened well to win a maiden at Newbury.  I imagine that trainer Mick Channon would have been particularly pleased with this one as he trained the dam, Queen’s Logic, a talented filly whose career was blighted by injury.

  

I made a note of Brian Meehan’s Greyt Big Stuff earlier in the season after reading some favourable comments by the trainer.  He was in the frame twice in his first 4 outings and finally got off the mark when dropped in class at Southwell on Thursday.

  

John Dunlop’s Maid to Believe was another to break her duck when she won at 25/1 in a Leicester maiden.  She is a half sister to 3 juvenile winners so was always likely to score as a 2 year old.  The extended mile at Leicester played to her strengths as she is related to a hurdles winner and clearly is not short on stamina.  She looks the type that her trainer does well with in handicaps as a 3 year old.

  

Another that we might be seeing in handicaps next season is John Gosden’s Ekhtiar who won at the second attempt in what looked a fair maiden at Lingfield where he overturned an odds on favourite.  I see that he followed up with another win at Lingfield today.

  

Other two year old winners were Vaunt and Cheap Street.  Vaunt followed up his win over the minimum trip in a Bath maiden with a course and distance follow up in a nursery.  He looks an out and out sprinter.

  

Cheap Street just held on under Nicky Mackay to land the spoils in a Newmarket nursery at 17/2.  This was his 3rd win of the season.

  

From a personal viewpoint I was pleased to see Tredegar win for the Elite Racing Club.  His win in a 7 furlong Newmarket maiden was his first success after showing promise in his 2 earlier runs.  Like another of the club’s recent winners Tredegar has moved to Paul Cole’s yard.  He looks likely to appreciate some give in the ground.

  

Turning to Monday’s action the Pontefract card gets under way with a tricky looking nursery.  8 out of the last ten winners have carried between 8.10 and 9.2, which would narrow the field down to just 6 possibles if you believe in following trends.  Incidentally Arcalis is a past winner of the race when ridden by a certain K Fallon back in 2002.  Arcalis of course went on to win the Supreme Novices Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival.

  

Height of Fury represents our list to follow in the 2.50.  This son of Saddlers Wells remains a maiden after 7 starts although his best effort was on his latest outing when 2nd at Goodwood.  He has place claims here but has gone up a couple of pounds since his last run.

  

Sir Nod won at Beverley last time out and has gone up 3 lbs in the weights as a result.  He beat Paddywack at Beverley and that horse has franked the form by winning since.  Sir Nod runs in the 3.20 and Tom Eves has the ride.

  

The only other runner from our list to follow is Exmoor who goes in the 5.00 at Windsor.  He has already won for us at 8/1 but has struggled somewhat since.  I see that he wears blinkers for the first time tomorrow.

  Bye for now

Continue reading “Diary: October 16 2006”

Diary: October 6 & 7 2006

The main flat action tomorrow is at York where there are a few runners from our list to follow.

  

Mutawaffer has not won for over 3 years now and although he should handle the ground in the 2.20 at York he is difficult to fancy.  Our other runner in this handicap is the bottom weight In Full Cry.  I usually strike lucky with Mark Johnston but this one is yet to win a race this season.  Does not have an obvious chance here.

  

The improving Queen’s Best has been raised 8 lbs for an impressive win at Ascot last time out but has a good chance of following up successfully in the 3.25.  Royston Ffrench takes the ride.

  

Eau Good has the best form of those in the 4.00.  He is blinkered for the first time and looks the likely winner as long as the blinds work.  The unraced Kafuu from Jeremy Noseda’s stable looks one to keep an eye on.

  

Harrison’s Flyer has an each way chance in the 4.35, a race he won last season.

  

Halla San has been a very successful selection for our list to follow in the last 2 years.  He has both ground and trip in his favour and should again give us a run for our money in the 5.05.

  

At Lingfield Stagehand looks worth an interest in the 3.35.

  

Ekhtiaar did not seem to sdtay over a mile last time and is dropped in trip in the Lingfield 4.10.

  

Course and distance winner Bouboulina can be fancied on the pick of her form in the 4.45.

  

Our list runner in the 5.15 is Three Thieves who has changed stables since he went on the list.  Hard to fancy on recent form.

  

On Saturday we have the following runners from the list to follow on the flat.

  

Ascot 2.10 Peppertree Lane.  Going for 5th win of the campaign.  The more rain the better.

  

4.30 Book of Music who didn’t get a clear run last time.

  

York 3.45 Obe Brave & Indian Trail

  

5.25 Gifted Musician

  I am taking a short break and the next update will be October 15.

Continue reading “Diary: October 6 & 7 2006”

Diary: October 5 2006

My main hope at Nottingham today was the Godolphin maiden Seabow who built on his recent second at the Midlands track with a comfortable win.  Another runner from our list to follow, Galactic Star was 2nd and as this was after an absence of a year this one should be open to improvement.

  

The only flat meeting tomorrow is at Lingfield where Queensgate looks the form pick in the nursery at 1.50.

  

Our only “lister” is High Reach in the 4.20.  Although reasonably handicapped High Reach has shown little in recent outings and is best watched at present.

  

Over the jumps at Worcester the ex French Fixateur looks of interest in the 2.10.

   

In the 4.40 Big Business looks one to keep an eye on.  He is a half brother to the useful Bob Bob Bobbin.

 

Continue reading “Diary: October 5 2006”